Direct translation
Iran's central government is out of control! Warlord infighting erupts; Revolutionary Guard clashes with government forces
Editor : Fang Xun / Source: X / https://www.aboluowang.com/2026/0313/2359257.html

1. Does Iran currently have a supreme leadership?
Obviously not. If Khamenei (whose fate is unknown) were truly capable of fulfilling supreme leadership duties, then the military (Revolutionary Guard) and the government should be under his command. Iran wouldn't be experiencing the frequent clashes between the government and the military, with neither side showing any respect.
2. Has the Revolutionary Guard completely controlled the situation?
I tend to think not. Otherwise, the president and foreign minister would be courting disaster, claiming the army was disobeying orders, attacking recklessly, apologizing to neighboring countries without authorization, and insisting there were no mines laid. If a true military leader were in control, how could civilian officials dare to act so disobediently? On the contrary, this clearly indicates the civilian system is distancing itself and attempting to regain some power.
3. Is the military currently organized?
Frankly, it seems so. We can see some tactical adjustments, indicating that at least a significant portion of the military is still under effective control and capable of unified tactics.
Ronald Simmons🇺🇸🦅✝️/I believe Iran has essentially become militarized, and the central government has lost control over the regions.
However, the resistance of local military leaders will not last long, as the arms factories have been destroyed. Without a systematic military production line, relying solely on stockpiled weapons is insufficient for sustained resistance.
From the end of February until now, Iran's operational mode has shifted from primarily missile and drone-based warfare to primarily mine warfare, indicating that the Iranian Revolutionary Guard's weapon stockpile is running out.
The next step is to bomb Iran's mine-laying ships and mine depots. Once this objective is achieved, Iran will completely lose its ability to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, thereby losing all its bargaining power.




