Wednesday, March 4, 2026

Prelude to a regime change in Iran : Echoes for democratic transition

 Direct translation

Prelude to a regime change in Iran! Opposition hardens: Abolishing the constitution, democratic transition?

Reporter : Wang Duruo / Editor : Fang Xun / https://www.aboluowang.com/2026/0304/2355551.html
新民晚报》:孙德刚:伊朗前总统内贾德遇袭身亡!誓言抵抗到“最后一滴血”,伊朗能否顶住攻势?
Amid the Iranian regime facing its most severe existential crisis in history, an open petition initiated by university professors and technology professionals both within and outside Iran has rapidly spread, drawing international attention.

The core content of the petition, in its full English original statement, was posted on 3 March 2026 by Ali Sharifi-Zarchi (@SharifiZarchi), a renowned Iranian AI professor, and has been retweeted thousands of times: Declaring the Islamic Republic's constitution illegal: Since the 1979 revolution, the theocratic rule established by this constitution has completely lost its legitimacy and violates the fundamental rights and dignity of the Iranian people.

Supporting Prince Reza Pahlavi's democratic transition plan: Calling for immediate acceptance of the "roadmap for democratic transition" proposed by former Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, including: holding a free and fair national referendum to determine the country's future political system;

Drafting a new constitution to establish a secular democratic republic;

Guaranteeing freedom of speech, assembly, religion, and equal rights for women.

Demanding the immediate transfer of power from the current regime: Calling on all armed forces (including the Revolutionary Guard) to cease repression and instead protect the people and national infrastructure, cooperating with a peaceful transition.

Call for International Support: Urging all countries to recognize the Iranian people's right to self-determination, freeze the regime's overseas assets, and support democratic forces.

Signature Status: Initiators: Professors from several Iranian universities (including the University of Tehran, Sharif Polytechnic University, and Amir Kabir Polytechnic University), and scholars in AI, engineering, medicine, and other fields.

Signing Method: Publicly available Google Forms link (forms.gle/7mxUq4DcHiWCPi...), with hundreds signing in the past few hours (updating in real time). Some signatories used their real names, demonstrating high-risk courage.

Dissemination Channels: X platform, Iranian opposition Telegram channels, overseas Iranian communities, and has been widely reposted in English-language circles such as Instagram and military forums.

Background Context: Following the assassination of Ali Khamenei in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on 28 February 2026, the regime entered a dual crisis of power vacuum and war.

The Revolutionary Guard reportedly pushed for Mojtaba Khamenei's succession but internal backlash and public discontent have intensified.

Reza Pahlavi has consistently promoted a narrative of "non-violent, democratic transition" in recent years, and this petition directly echoes his propositions, seen as the first large-scale public show of support from the opposition academic community.

International Reaction: While not yet reported by mainstream Western media, it has become a hot topic in anti-Iranian regime circles.

Iranian officials have not yet responded; such petitions are usually suppressed as "incitement by foreign forces."

This petition marks a public "severing" of ties between the Iranian intellectual elite and the Islamic Republic at the regime's weakest moment, openly embracing secular democracy and the Pahlavi line. Although the number of signatures is relatively limited (several hundred), it carries strong symbolic significance in the current context of war and beheadings, potentially foreshadowing further defections or widening internal divisions.

Every Iranian missile bears the fingerprints of the CCP! Trump dismantles a century-old CCP strategy overnight; is Beijing alarmed?


On 28 February 2026, the US and Israel jointly launched "Operation Epic Fury," which decimated Iran's air defense network and missile capabilities in just a few days. Supreme Leader Khamenei was precisely eliminated, and nuclear facilities, Revolutionary Guard bases, and missile sites were bombed one after another. Iran retaliated by launching hundreds of ballistic missiles and thousands of drones, most of which were easily intercepted by US air defense systems such as Patriot and THAAD.

On the surface, this appears to be a crushing defeat for Iran, but the biggest loser behind the scenes is actually the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).

On March 3, 2026, Peter Schweizer, the American conservative investigative journalist who wrote books such as *Red-Handed: How American Elites Get Rich Helping China Win*, pointed out the sore spot on Fox News' *Ingraham Angle* program: every Iranian missile bears Chinese fingerprints.

From solid propellant, precision guidance systems, and engine components to carbon fiber composite materials and technical guidance, everything was provided by Beijing. Iran's Shahed series drones, Fateh, and Zolfaghar ballistic missiles, originally planned to reach 5,000 by 2027 and over 10,000 by 2030, were all rendered useless by Trump's intervention.

For years, the CCP secretly sold dual-use components and smuggled US technology through third parties, helping Iran transform inaccurate rockets into weapons capable of precisely hitting downtown Abu Dhabi. And now? All gone to waste. Even more damaging is the economic impact. CCP investments in Iran, primarily in Belt and Road energy projects, were mostly loans—with the Iranian government now teetering on the brink of collapse, these loans are largely unrecoverable.

Iran and Venezuela were originally China's two major sources of discounted oil, accounting for about 20% of China's oil imports, and could be settled in RMB, bypassing the dollar system and advancing its "de-dollarization" experiment.

Trump first dealt with Venezuela, then bombed Iran, directly cutting off these two cheap oil routes. From now on, if the CCP wants to buy oil, it can only return to the global market and pay in US dollars. The dream of de-dollarization has shattered, and the oil security chain has been broken.

Don't forget air defense systems. The HQ-9B missiles that the CCP sold to Iran, advertised as a hybrid upgrade of the Patriot and S-300 systems, capable of anti-stealth and anti-jamming, proved ineffective against US and Israeli stealth fighters, electronic warfare, and saturation attacks. The HQ-9Bs deployed around Natanz, the Fordow nuclear facility, and Khamenei's residence were all rendered useless. The Pakistani version previously failed during India's "Operation Sindoor," and now the Iranian version has suffered the same fate, directly damaging the CCP's reputation in arms sales.

Iranian parliamentarians previously publicly stated that "the CCP would provide HQ-9s to fill the high-altitude gap," but now Beijing is vehemently denying exports, yet it cannot escape international ridicule. Trump's actions are not just about attacking Iran, but also about dismantling China's Middle East strategy. Iran, the CCP's largest proxy, oil route, and anti-American bridgehead in the Middle East, has been completely destroyed overnight.

The CCP's century-long plan—from the Middle East to the Belt and Road Initiative, from energy security to challenging the dollar's hegemony—has been utterly ruined by Trump. Schweitzer bluntly stated: Trump not only reshuffled the cards but also directly destroyed China's. The CCP leadership in Zhongnanhai is probably terrified: rising oil prices, inflationary pressures, wasted investments, another stain on its arms sales history, and a weakening of its resolve in the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea.

Only five days into this war, the U.S. and Israel have essentially gained control of Iranian airspace, severely weakening Iran's missile stockpile and air force. And China? It can only issue a statement of condemnation in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs but dares not actually provide assistance.

The world is watching: the CCP's century-long plan has been dismantled overnight by Trump. Who is the biggest loser? The answer is obvious.

Unable to contain itself any longer! Beijing urgently calls for an end to the fighting, issuing a rare and insightful statement

Reporter : Wang Duruo / Editior : Fang Xun / https://www.aboluowang.com/2026/0305/2355839

Amid the devastating blows suffered by Iran, Beijing has also made a rare statement calling for a ceasefire. Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi spoke with Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Saar on 3 March 2026, demanding an immediate halt to military operations and emphasizing that "the true value of military strength lies not on the battlefield, but in preventing war." However, this statement has drawn widespread ridicule online.

Recently, the United States and Israel launched a large-scale military strike against Iran, successfully killing Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei and more than 40 high-ranking military and political officials, drastically escalating the situation. Following the news, the anti-American camp, represented by China and Russia, has successively called for restraint. Russian President Vladimir Putin even condemned the United States for "violating human morality and international law," drawing irony from the outside world—Russian forces are still waging war in Ukraine.

According to a statement released by the Chinese Foreign Ministry and Xinhua News Agency on March 3, Wang Yi, a member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Foreign Minister, spoke with Israeli Foreign Minister Saar at the latter's request. Wang Yi stated that China consistently advocates resolving international and regional hotspots through dialogue and consultation, and that all parties should abide by the purposes and principles of the UN Charter and refrain from using or threatening to use force in international relations. China opposes the military strikes launched by Israel and the United States against Iran. Wang Yi also stated that China has been pushing for a political solution to the Iranian nuclear issue in recent years, and noted that recent negotiations between Iran and the US have "made significant progress," including addressing Israeli security concerns. "Unfortunately, this process has been interrupted by gunfire."

During the conversation, Wang Yi made a widely discussed statement: "Military force cannot truly solve problems; instead, it will bring new problems and serious aftereffects. The true value of military strength lies not on the battlefield, but in preventing war." He also called on all parties to immediately cease military operations to prevent the conflict from escalating out of control.

However, this "admonition" quickly sparked ridicule online. Some netizens joked: "Look, even your big brother says military strength is for preventing war." "Didn't someone say that buying military equipment is for wanting to fight?" Others bluntly stated: "Why are the CCP's speeches always so laughable?" "A classic example of the guilty party accusing the innocent first."

Furthermore, Wang Yi also requested that Israel take measures to ensure the safety of Chinese personnel and institutions. Saar responded that Israel attaches great importance to the issue and will protect the safety of Chinese personnel and institutions.

Image : Israeli Foreign Minister Saar (Reuters)

Mysterious building bombed, 88 of Khamenei's successors beheaded?!

Editor : Zhongkang / Source: Overseas Life Records / https://www.aboluowang.com/2026/0304/2355550.html

The Assembly of Experts building in Qom was targeted by an Israeli Air Force airstrike on 3 March 2028, causing severe damage to the building. Israeli Defense Forces officials told several media outlets that the attack occurred at a crucial moment when some members were meeting to elect a new Supreme Leader, and that they were "counting votes." However, the actual number of the 88 members present is unclear—Israel claims the number of attendees was "far fewer than 88," while Iranian media denied that the building was being used for a meeting, stating that people had been evacuated beforehand and there were no major casualties.

Following the assassination of Khamenei on 28 February, Iran's power transition has entered a period of high tension. Currently, a three-person interim council is acting as Supreme Leader, including President Masoud Pezeshkian, Chief Justice Mohseni Ejei, and Guardian Council jurist Alireza Arafi.

Three factions are vying for power within Iran: the Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), controlling the military, economy, and proxy network, leans towards full-scale confrontation; reformist President Pezeshkian, while democratically elected, has limited real power and prefers to ease the crisis through negotiations; and hardline clerics of the Guardian Council dominate ideology and election vetting, emphasizing the purity of the regime. Tension and distrust among these three factions are evident, and the death of a key figure who once maintained the balance of power further complicates the succession process.

The smoke rising from the ruins sends a clear signal: this succession election is far more difficult than the outside world imagines.

神秘大楼被炸,伊88位“顶级智囊”被斩首?

神秘大楼被炸,伊88位“顶级智囊”被斩首?


The trigger for this turmoil can be traced back to 28 February.

That night, the Trump administration and Israel launched a joint operation codenamed "Roaring Lion." Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was tragically killed in an airstrike, along with several high-ranking officials. The Iranian Red Crescent reported a staggering 787 deaths in the attack.

On the streets of Tehran, walls once adorned with portraits of the leader are now stained with the smoke of battle. The core of power for an era collapsed instantly, plunging Iran into an unprecedented power vacuum.


神秘大楼被炸,伊88位“顶级智囊”被斩首?

Many are curious about how Iran's Supreme Leader was elected. In reality, it was not a nationwide vote but a power struggle conducted within a top-secret circle of friends.

Inside the bombed building in Tehran sat Iran's 88 most core "top advisors"—known as the Council of Experts. This group of senior clergy held the highest authority in the country for interviewing candidates. According to procedure, they would hold a closed-door, secret vote to select the next leader from a highly confidential list of candidates.

Whoever secures more than half the votes (at least 45) will become the future leader.

However, the difficulty lies in the fact that this is not simply a matter of casting a vote. Amidst the roar of US and Israeli warplanes, this vote-counting room has become one of the most dangerous places in the world. Experts must not only assess the candidates' religious credentials but also determine who can maintain stability under the threat of missiles. This "election amidst war" makes the already complex factional struggle even more protracted: electing too quickly risks instability; electing too slowly leaves a prolonged power vacuum, increasing the risk of unrest.

Tehran is currently experiencing the painful process of this "difficult birth." The interim committee, composed of the president, the chief justice, and others, is struggling to maintain order, but it is ultimately only a transitional measure.

The current situation is extremely complex: Khamenei's son, Mojitaba, was once seen as a promising candidate, but the "hereditary" label is highly controversial within Iran at this time; while veteran politicians like Larijani, despite their strong leadership, face considerable scrutiny from the military and hardliners.

As today's airstrike demonstrates, the Trump administration and Israel clearly do not intend to allow Iran a smooth transition.

Can a new leader emerge smoothly? Will he escalate to more extreme confrontation, or will he attempt to find a glimmer of hope for Iran amidst the ruins? Currently, the smoke from Tehran has not yet dissipated, and all the answers remain uncertain. This is not merely a change of power, but a major earthquake in the Middle East landscape.

Tuesday, February 24, 2026

Plane-spotting in Ho Chi Minh City : Phen's Coffee

 Photo copyright by : Gan Yung Chyan, KUCINTA SETIA


This page is under developments. Related photos of Phen's Coffee will be uploaded in due course.

Plane-spotting in Ho Chi Minh City : Cathay Coffee

 Photo copyright by : Gan Yung Chyan, KUCINTA SETIA


This is the first Cathay Coffee outlet in Ho Chi Minh City. It has three levels.







Prelude to a regime change in Iran : Echoes for democratic transition

 Direct translation Prelude to a regime change in Iran! Opposition hardens: Abolishing the constitution, democratic transition? Reporter : W...