Translation : Gan Yung Chyan, KUCINTA SETIA
News on CCP, the U.S., Japan, Thailand, Cambodia, Hong Kong
News (1) to (5) / Editor : Wen Bin / https://www.ntdtv.com/gb/2024/11/25/a103932408.html / Image : Zhongnanhai (Feng Li/Getty Images)
News (1)
Xu Chenggang, who predicted Xi's path to totalitarianism, said that the CCP's institutional genes may mutate
Xu Chenggang, a well-known Chinese economist, recently said that China is increasingly returning to the Soviet model. He predicted that the CCP's institutional genes may "mutate". As early as the beginning of the CCP leader Xi Jinping's tenure, Xu Chenggang accurately predicted that Xi would take the path of totalitarianism.
The newly elected U.S. President Trump will enter the White House in January 2025. The future direction of US-China relations and the difficulties facing the Chinese economy are increasingly attracting public attention. Xu Chenggang, a senior researcher at the Center for Chinese Economic and Institutional Studies at Stanford University, recently analyzed the economic difficulties and future trends faced by the CCP in a lecture.
News (2)
Xu Chenggang: The CCP is increasingly returning to the Soviet model
According to the Lianhe Zaobao report on 24 November 2024, Xu Chenggang said at a lecture held by the Changfeng Foundation in Taiwan on the 23rd that the key to the current problems in China's economy lies in "local debts". The CCP government recently launched a package plan to help local debts pay interest.
According to the statistical analysis of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), CCP China's local debt is now as high as 15 trillion US dollars. State-owned assets and state-owned enterprises will not go bankrupt due to debts. In addition, the CCP local government has to rely on a large amount of land transfer to have income but it has gradually dropped from 4.1 trillion yuan in 2021 to 1.7 trillion yuan in 2024. The income from land transfer has continued to shrink significantly. In addition, since 2023, private investment has dropped to zero, and the attraction of foreign investment has dropped significantly.
Xu Chenggang believes that the CCP is increasingly returning to the Soviet model. "China's decline is irreversible," he said. Although China has experienced a period of rapid development during the reform and opening up period, it has now entered a period of economic stagnation similar to the Soviet Union in the 1980s.
News (3)
The dilemma facing the CCP originates from the system
Xu Chenggang analyzed that if China's economy continues to stagnate, as the Western democratic camp launches a comprehensive blockade, a situation similar to the Cold War in the 1990s will reappear, and China will face problems such as slowing development.
He said that the dilemma facing the CCP originates from the system. Since the "reform and opening up", the ultimate goal of all the CCP's reforms has been to ensure the stability of the regime. Therefore, after the economic level reached the world's second largest economy, the Beijing authorities shifted their focus to strictly preventing peaceful evolution and color revolutions.
Xu Chenggang emphasized that such a system as the CCP will inevitably limit the ability of free research and development, and strengthening state ownership will accelerate the comprehensive decoupling from democratic countries.
News (4)
"There is no way out for China at all"
Xu Chenggang said that the totalitarian system is a serious constraint on himself and cannot win the final confrontation with the democratic camp. Therefore, the decline of the CCP is irreversible, and at this stage "there is no way out for China (CCP) at all."
He said that "China's insufficient domestic demand" is the most basic characteristic of all communist totalitarianism. The most important reason is that the total household income accounts for too low a proportion of GDP, and the income of ordinary people is insufficient. This is caused by the state-owned assets controlling the economy. The government always takes away most of the income, which is the reason for the economic decline.
Xu Chenggang predicted that the institutional genes of the CCP may also have "mutations". For example, with the "reform and opening up", the initial development of large-scale private enterprises and civil society, and the development of many private lawyers, it has already had changes in institutional genes, but the Communist Party wants to get rid of the institutional genes because it is worried about peaceful evolution or color revolutions, which depends on "the game between different forces in society."
News (5)
Once accurately predicted that Xi Jinping would take the path of totalitarianism
As early as the beginning of the CCP leader Xi Jinping's rise to power in 2012, public opinion at home and abroad had expected Xi to emulate Chiang Ching-kuo and lead China to the path of constitutionalism and democracy. Xi once quoted the first half of Chiang Ching-kuo's motto "If you want to make a profit, you should make a profit for the world; if you want to be famous, you should seek a name for eternity" in a public speech. Later, "The Biography of Chiang Ching-kuo" was published again in mainland China. Therefore, the outside world believes that this is a signal that Xi is determined to emulate Chiang Ching-kuo.
However, Xu Chenggang revealed in this lecture that he predicted in 2013 that Xi Jinping would embark on the road of totalitarianism, because he learned that Xi Jinping had a private speech when he went to Shenzhen. In the speech, Xi kept talking about the Soviet Union as a bloody lesson of the CCP.
At that time, Xu Chenggang judged that Xi was a "child of a high-ranking CCP official" and believed that "the country is ours, and only we can be in power", and he wanted to push China on the road of totalitarianism.
News (6) to (10) / Editor: Fang Xun / Source : RFA https://www.aboluowang.com/2024/1126/2135604.html/2135604.html / Image : Xu Chenggang gave a speech in Taipei, talking about the US-China game and China's current economic predicament. He believed that the AI version of the "Manhattan Project" would cut off the technological exchanges between the US and China and affect China's development. (Photo by Chen Zifei)
News (6)
Is the CCP going to start a war soon? Once the U.S. strikes, China will become as miserable as the former Soviet Union
—Xu Chenggang: If the U.S. AI version of the Manhattan Project is launched, the CCP will follow in the footsteps of the former Soviet Union
Xu Chenggang, a senior researcher at the Center for Chinese Economic and Institutional Studies at Stanford University, said that if the AI version of the "Manhattan Project" proposed by the US Congress is launched, cutting off China's scientific and technological exchanges and cooperation with democratic countries, China will only have another ten years of development. Xu Chenggang also said that China's current economic situation is similar to that before the collapse of the former Soviet Union, which is caused by institutional constraints. He is worried that the CCP will promote extreme nationalism in a crisis, which will not be far from war.
The effectiveness of China's economic rescue package has been questioned by the outside world. Xu Chenggang, a senior researcher at the Center for Chinese Economic and Institutional Studies at Stanford University, attended a speech at the Changfeng Foundation in Taipei on Saturday (November 23) to talk about the US-China game and China's current economic difficulties.
Regarding the US-China game, Xu Chenggang took the artificial intelligence (AI) version of the "Manhattan Project" (Manhattan Project) proposed by the US Congressional Economic and Security Review Committee last week as an example, and specifically pointed out that the name of the plan is the same as the name of the plan launched by the United States for the atomic bomb research and development competition during World War II, which shows the United States' attitude towards competing with China in the high-tech field. Once the United States and its allies fully suppress China in scientific research and technology involving security, the impact on China will be great.
Xu Chenggang said: "These advanced fields represented by artificial intelligence are the same as the atomic bomb back then. This is a matter of fate. Once the Manhattan Project is implemented, as long as the United States and its allies start to cut off technology, once they decouple, the whole thing will change. China actually has no design capabilities in semiconductors, and secondly, no manufacturing capabilities. Once quantum computing is put into practical use on a large scale, the gap between China and the United States will be very wide."
News (7)
Xu Chenggang expects that China can still develop for ten years after the U.S.-China technological decoupling
Xu Chenggang said that China and the Soviet Union both attach great importance to scientific research development. Although China's scientific research capabilities are not as good as those of the Soviet Union, China has benefited from globalization to achieve the key to scientific research development. After the connection is interrupted, it will be difficult for China to move forward.
Xu Chenggang said: "China has enjoyed some advantages over the Soviet Union in the past. The first is that it has obtained comprehensive new science and technology and capabilities from the West through globalization. The rapid development and achievements of China in science and technology that we see today are inseparable from its integration with the democratic camp. Since it has acquired considerable knowledge, it should have ten years of independent development after decoupling. Because its people have returned from the West, many scientists are very good. But if you lock up very good people in that place, it will also decline. You will see not only that its economy will stagnate, but also that some of the developments in science and technology that have been seen will soon decline."
Image : Xu Chenggang said that China's institutional genes are inherited from the Soviet Union, and it is difficult to save itself from the economic predicament. (Photo by Chen Zifei)
News (8)
The heavy sentences imposed by the CCP on the "47 people case" show that regime is more important than economy
Xu Chenggang said that China once attracted a large number of venture capital to enter the Chinese market with Hong Kong as its base, making China the world's number one in venture capital for quite a while. But venture capital has withdrawn from China after Hong Kong was destroyed. He cited the heavy sentences of the "47 people case" of Hong Kong democrats as an example to illustrate that regime security is more important to the CCP than the economy.
Xu Chenggang said: "Because he absolutely cannot allow Hong Kong to become a base for opposing the Communist Party. This issue is more important than the economic issue. Because my regime cannot fall if the economy is tight, I still have to find ways to deceive others to invest here. But my regime is more important than the economy. Color revolutions and peaceful evolution are what really shake my regime. Just a few days ago, Hong Kong sentenced more than 40 people to prison at the same time, and the sentences were very heavy, all for political reasons. It (China) uses this method to tell the world that you should no longer believe it."
News (9)
Xu Chenggang: China's institutional genes inherited from the Soviet Union are difficult to save itself from economic difficulties
Regarding China's recent launch of a package of plans to save local debts, stock markets and housing markets, Xu Chenggang said that institutional genes constrain the development of totalitarian countries, describing state ownership and soft budget constraints as cancer in China's economic development, and state ownership is the fundamental problem of China's economy falling into irreversible difficulties.
Xu Chenggang said: "Insufficient domestic demand is a common feature of all communist totalitarian systems and is the most basic reason for the unsustainable development of this economy. The most important reason for insufficient domestic demand is that state-owned assets dominate the economy. State-owned assets hold a large amount of profits in their hands through various channels. So no matter what measures it (the CCP) takes, its system determines insufficient domestic demand, which makes its economy can only decline all the way. State-owned rule has made it return to the Soviet-style system."
Image : Xu Chenggang expects that China can still develop for ten years after the US-China technology decoupling. (Photo by Chen Zifei)
News (10)
Worrying that the CCP will take the extreme totalitarian path when it is trapped internally and externally, increasing the risk of war
Xu Chenggang said that it is currently difficult to accurately predict what China will become in ten years when its development comes to an end. But he is very worried that the CCP will take extreme actions in the face of internal and external difficulties.
Xu Chenggang said: "China's economy is deteriorating rapidly at present. It wants to revive the totalitarian system. I am very afraid of one of its paths, which is to change from communism to nationalism. If it (the CCP) promotes extreme nationalism and turns it into a Nazi-style totalitarianism, people will mistakenly think that we are Chinese and we are for the interests of China. People no longer care about personal interests or personal rights. If it (the CCP) takes this path, it will become very unsafe, which is very close to war. After launching a war, if its opponent is prepared and goes all out, it will soon fail in the war, and it will definitely collapse if the war fails. But if its opponent is not like this, the situation will be much more complicated."
Xu Chenggang said that the communist totalitarian system has been constantly lying and deceiving since its establishment. The late CCP leader Deng Xiaoping also used the policy of keeping a low profile to deceive the world. China is different from the Soviet Union, but in fact both are totalitarian systems with highly similar institutional genes. I believe that the results of China's competition with democratic countries will be similar to those of the Soviet Union.
Xu Chenggang suggested that Taiwan's ruling and opposition parties must have a basic and clear understanding of the CCP, that is, to recognize the essence of the Chinese Communist Party as a communist totalitarian system, and that from the first day, the CCP has implemented a united front approach against the Kuomintang, emphasizing that any compromise by the CCP is a lie, and efforts should be made to separate the CCP, China, and the Chinese people, because promoting changes in China must rely on the Chinese people, and the three should not be confused.
News (11)
It is reported that anti-communist leaflets were distributed in many places in China, and students wrote "Down with the Communist Party!" by hand
Editor : Zhou Guihang / https://www.ntdtv.com/gb/2024/11/25/a103932601.html / Image : In November 2024, it was reported that leaflets suspected of being written by "Mao-Left" people appeared in many places in southern China to resist the CCP. (X platform account "Yesterday")
After the stabbing case in Wuxi University, Jiangsu, it was reported that many places in the south began to distribute leaflets shouting "Down with the Communist Party", and some students also participated in it. However, some leaflets were accused of having "Mao-Left" characteristics.
On 22 November 2024, the self-media account "Yesterday" that pays attention to mass incidents in the mainland broke the news that it received submissions from some high school students in Chongqing. These students claimed to be "encouraged by the protests of vocational high school students in Guangzhou and the workers' leaflets" and began to organize the distribution of leaflets. The submission called on more and more people to take action.
The contributor also attached two handwritten flyers that were said to be posted on the school walls.
Image : Screenshot of the "Yesterday" account
Earlier, "Yesterday" also received a contribution from a vocational school student in Guangzhou, saying that students in his school were handwriting and distributing flyers, encouraging everyone to "beat the Communist Party together."
Image : Screenshot of the "Yesterday" account
Before that, "Yesterday" also received a domestic contribution, claiming that from 17 to 18 November 2024, the anti-communist flyer "A Letter to the People of the Whole Country" was received at a labor market in the suburbs of a city in the south. The four photos of the flyers attached to the contribution show that these flyers were posted in some less conspicuous places, and some of them were suspected to be written with the left hand to avoid handwriting being traced.
Image : Screenshot of the "Yesterday" account
In the above flyers, all claim that the Chinese Communist Party authorities should be held responsible for the November 16 Wuxi university stabbing case. The flyers bluntly wrote "Down with the Communist Party" and claimed that "no reform, but revolution", "change the world", etc.
These leaflets were spread to the overseas X platform, and many netizens liked them and praised their brave actions. However, some netizens pointed out that many of the expressions in the leaflets bear the imprint of "Mao-Left", and it is very likely that the mainland "Mao-Left" groups took advantage of the Wuxi hacking case to incite "rebellion".
In recent years, because of the "left turn" of the CCP's politics, the mainland "Mao-Left" groups have been extremely active, but they have also been repeatedly suppressed by the authorities. Previously, these groups have organized workers and students' resistance movements many times. Some "Mao-Left" bigwigs also publicly posted online, calling for "revolution", with obvious implications against the current CCP authorities.
Many "Mao-Left" people believe that the CCP has "taken the wrong path" since the Deng Xiaoping era and has become a "capitalist party". Xi Jinping's former political enemy Bo Xilai advocated a return to the "Mao Zedong line" and was once supported by the "Mao-Left".
News (12)
It is known that China will be in chaos by next spring at the latest? Wang Xiaohong urgently calls out that Xi will not be in power for long?
Reporter : Sun Ruihou / Editor : Fang Xun / https://www.aboluowang.com/2024/1124/2134809.html
Two days ago, the pro-communist Singapore Lianhe Zaobao reported on 22 November 2024, with the title "Ministry of Public Security of the Communist Party of China: Resolutely ensure social security and stability this winter and next spring." The report said that the Ministry of Public Security of the Communist Party of China will carry out the "Winter Action" in depth to ensure social security and stability this winter and next spring, and require strengthening departmental linkage, comprehensively investigate and substantially resolve all kinds of contradictions and disputes, and strictly prevent extreme cases from occurring.
The report quoted the news from Xinhua News Agency, the mouthpiece of the Communist Party of China Central Committee, that Wang Xiaohong, Secretary of the Secretariat of the Communist Party of China Central Committee and Minister of Public Security, emphasized at a video conference of the national public security organs on Thursday (21 November 2024) that the two key points of investigation and resolution of contradictions and disputes and investigation and rectification of safety hazards in production should be highlighted, and social security and stability should be resolutely ensured this winter and next spring, and departmental linkage should be strengthened. Comprehensive investigation and substantial resolution of all kinds of contradictions and disputes, and strict prevention and control of key areas, strengthening social patrols, and strictly preventing extreme cases from occurring.
On the X platform, netizen "Daniel Fang" forwarded the screenshot and left a message saying, "From another perspective: Does this mean that the Ministry of Public Security of the Communist Party of China already know that the country will be in chaos by next spring at the latest?"
Netizen Dont Believe believes that China's economy is collapsing. The power system is collapsing. Faith is collapsing. The whole nation is in debt. The people are loyal everywhere. The people want to change...
Netizen Luckyday7762744 said that chaos leads to change.
Netizen Jason mocked, what about the turn of spring and summer? What about the golden autumn of October? You bad guys are exhausted!
Netizen Joeq Qiao even speculated that someone might not survive next spring.
News (13)
Inside story of Zhongnanhai high-level split: Hu Jintao was abducted in public and disappeared for two years
Editor : Li Enzhen / https://www.ntdtv.com/b5/2024/11/26/a103932723.html / After the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, internal strife at the top level has escalated. The picture shows a schematic diagram of Zhongnanhai. (Kevin Frayer/Getty Images)
The internal fighting among the top leaders of the CCP has never stopped, and it is getting more and more intense. Former party leader Hu Jintao has been missing for two years after being forcibly abducted at the closing ceremony of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China. Experts who are familiar with China issues analyze that behind Hu Jintao's silence is the cold logic of the CCP's high concentration of power. This shows that the CCP has been severely divided within the party, and everyone in the officialdom may become the next Hu Jintao or Li Keqiang.
At the closing ceremony of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China on the morning of 22 October 2022, a video of Hu Jintao, who was sitting on the rostrum, being forcibly removed from the venue by staff went viral on the Internet. The video shows that Hu Jintao showed obvious resistance and did not get up. After a stalemate between the two sides, Hu reluctantly got up.
The video shows that at that time, Hu Jintao reached for a red folder in front of him, and Li Zhanshu, then chairman of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress of the Communist Party of China, snatched the document from his hand. Xi then signaled to a security guard, who grabbed Hu Jintao's armpit and led him away from the venue.
When leaving, Hu Jintao patted former Chinese Premier Li Keqiang on the shoulder, but Li only expressed the simplest greeting to him. When Hu Jintao was driven out, not one of the senior officials sitting in the row turned around to show concern. They stared straight ahead, turning a blind eye to Hu's humiliation.
At the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, the Tuan faction headed by Hu Jintao and including Li Keqiang and Wang Yang were almost "annihilated" and left the center of power. On 27 October 2023, 68-year-old Li Keqiang died suddenly while "resting" in Shanghai. This also marked the end of the Tuan faction.
After the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, Hu Jintao made almost no public appearances. At the end of September this year, Hu Jintao was also absent from the "National Day" high-level activities one after another, causing concern.
Two years after Hu Jintao's silence, on 25 November 2024, independent commentator Cai Shenkun and exiled former CCP official Du Wen analyzed the shady aspects of the CCP system and the phenomenon of high-level infighting in their self-media programs.
Cai Shenkun said that because the footage of Hu Jintao being carried away from the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China was captured by foreign reporters present, these videos quickly went viral around the world and aroused strong repercussions overseas. Hu is the former top leader of the Chinese Communist Party, government and military, and Xi Jinping is the current top leader of the Chinese Communist Party, government and military. Many people found it incredible that Xi treated Hu Jintao this way.
Because: first, Hu Jintao has been in power for ten years and has been Jiang and Zeng’s puppet for ten years. He is not the supreme leader with real power; second, by the time of the 20th National Congress, Hu Jintao was already 80 years old and had been retired for ten years. He does not pose any threat to Xi’s power.
Third, in a sense, Hu Jintao is benevolent to Xi. At the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, Hu Jintao handed over the highest power to Xi in one go. During the first term of Xi's term, in the name of fighting against corruption and fighting "tiger", he seized the highest power that was actually controlled by Jiang and Zeng. It supports Xi.
Cai Shenkun said that Xi Jinping ruthlessly ordered Hu Jintao to be removed from the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, which shows that Hu’s political influence has become minimal; the "Communist Youth League" represented by Hu was destroyed by Xi Tuan, and the CCP politics has returned to one person. totalitarian era. Before the 20th National Congress, all the personnel lists discussed by the central government were for Hu Chunhua to join the Standing Committee and take over as Premier of the State Council. However, this list, which was approved by the political elders, was temporarily changed by Xi after the opening of the 20th National Congress. Such a major personnel change, The elders, including Hu, were not notified.
Du Wen said that Hu Jintao has not shown up for two years, which shows that Hu Jintao has completely withdrawn from the political stage as a symbol of the era. It reflects the ruthless and extreme operation of power within the CCP, and health problems are only superficial. Hu Jintao, who was publicly removed from the 20th National Congress, became a long-lasting prop whether it was due to physical or political issues, and he was later completely "sealed". The CCP’s control over former leaders has become more and more explicit, and even dignity has been abandoned.
He believes that this disappearance is not just for Hu Jintao personally, but a liquidation of historical memory. Behind this silence is the cold logic of the CCP’s high concentration of power. For Xi Jinping, Hu's appearance may be interpreted as "divisive and metaphorical", so the best way to deal with it is to make him disappear. Such extreme control is a kind of fear.
Du Wen said that at present, the Chinese Communist Party has been severely divided, a complete split. After Hu Jintao was kidnapped, it was an important turning point. That they were abandoned and silenced today is a direct manifestation of the ruthless survival rules of this political party. Neither Hu Jintao nor Li Keqiang can escape the fate of being swallowed up in the end.
He believes that what is even more tragic is that in this huge political party, not even a real man can be seen. It is not that they dare not speak, but they have lost the ability to speak. This group of so-called "comrades" is a slander of the system. Silent obedience to operational logic, they know full well that in this game, everyone may be the next Hu Jintao or Li Keqiang. There is no need to be surprised by any of the results of this system.
During Xi Jinping’s third term in power, the power struggle within the CCP has become more intense. After the 20th National Congress, Xi’s cronies and military generals promoted have been dismissed one after another. After the Third Plenary Session of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China in July this year, rumours spread that Xi was rebuked by elders at the Beidaihe meeting and that his power was weakened. This highlighted that the power struggle at the top of the CCP has become open.
News (14)
Online survey: More than half of netizens: The CCP will fall within three years
Reporter : Yu Liang / https://www.ntdtv.com/gb/2024/11/26/a103932706.html
A large number of Chinese companies in China's economy are in a downturn. A scholar living in the United States released an online survey, and more than half of the netizens believe that the CCP regime will fall within three years. Let's take a look at the report.
Wu Zuolai, a scholar living in the United States, released an online survey on the X platform on 25 November 2024, saying that the CCP's social crisis is currently erupting, and asked netizens to predict the time when the CCP regime will disintegrate.
So far, more than two thousand netizens have voted, of which 55% believe that the CCP regime will fall within three years.
Current affairs commentator Tang Jingyuan: "I think the saying that the CCP may collapse within three years is reasonable and may indeed come true. After the June 4th Massacre (of students in Tiananmen Square) in 1989, the CCP's political legitimacy has completely collapsed."
Veteran media person Tang Hao pointed out that the CCP's exports, which temporarily maintain its economy, will soon face tariff barriers from the Trump administration in 2025, and may even be revoked of its most-favored-nation status by Trump. The economic collapse is likely to accelerate the division within the CCP and become the last straw that breaks the camel's back.
Veteran journalist Tang Hao: "The CCP has targeted U.S. soybeans for retaliatory tariffs in the past, but now only 24% of China's soybean imports come from the United States; plus China's electric vehicle market has been dominated by domestic automakers, and US automakers have a limited share, so the CCP does not have much leverage to fight the United States."
Tang Jingyuan: "There has been a very obvious split within the CCP on how to deal with the CCP's future political line. It will increasingly fall apart."
Analysis points out that the CCP relies on violence and lies to maintain its rule. If the United States and its allies continue to put pressure on the CCP, and even help dismantle the CCP's Internet firewall to help more Chinese people understand the evil nature of the CCP, the CCP regime will be wiped out.
Tang Jingyuan: "Now the (cabinet) list released by Trump is almost entirely composed of hawkish figures who are particularly tough on the CCP, indicating that once the Trump administration comes to power, it is very likely that it will adopt an all-round and very tough containment policy against the CCP in politics, economy, diplomacy, and even in the military field."
News (15)
To prevent the CCP from disrupting the situation, three US aircraft carriers are deployed in Asia before Trump takes office
Editor : Wen Bin / https://www.ntdtv.com/gb/2024/11/26/a103932741.html / Image : USS George Washington nuclear-powered aircraft carrier. (Joaquin Sarmiento/AFP via Getty Images)
Trump will officially take office as the US president in January next year. During the transition of the US government, in order to respond to the possible threats made by the CCP in the Indo-Pacific region, the United States has deployed three aircraft carriers in Asia.
Japanese media reported that the US nuclear-powered aircraft carrier "USS George Washington" arrived in Japan last Friday (22 November 2024) and will carry out patrol missions in waters near China.
The George Washington, carrying 2,702 U.S. military officers and soldiers, the CMV-22 Osprey transport aircraft of the Fifth Carrier Air Wing of the carrier-based aircraft unit, and the most advanced F-35C stealth fighter, etc., have already arrived at the U.S. military base in Iwakuni, Yamaguchi Prefecture, Japan before the 17th.
The nuclear-powered aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson was also deployed to the Pacific region on the 25th of this month. The Carl Vinson, which is based in San Diego on the west coast of the United States, covers a vast area of waters from the Pacific Ocean to the Indian Ocean and the Arabian Sea in the Middle East. Recently, it has also been responsible for the task of containing the Chinese Communist Party and has docked at Japanese ports many times.
The nuclear-powered aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln has also left the Middle East and entered the waters under the responsibility of the Seventh Fleet in the Indian Ocean in the middle of this month.
Katie Koenig, a spokesperson for the U.S. Pacific Fleet, told the Nikkei that the presence of aircraft carriers in the region "enables rapid response by maritime and joint forces and enables our most capable ships to exert the greatest strike power and combat capability."
Fred Kacher, commander of the U.S. Seventh Fleet based in Yokosuka, Japan, said: "U.S. aircraft carriers represent our most advanced maritime capabilities."
The Seventh Fleet's area of operations covers the Western Pacific and part of the Indian Ocean, including several potential conflict hotspots near China, such as the East China Sea, the South China Sea, the Taiwan Strait and the Korean Peninsula.
Kacher said: "The return of the USS Washington (aircraft carrier) with modern cutting-edge technology represents our investment in deterrence and security in the region."
The Nikkei Shimbun quoted analysts as saying that the United States' increased military presence in the Pacific is to respond to any threats from the Chinese Communist Party in the more than 50 days before Trump's inauguration on January 20 next year. This summer, several aircraft carriers were transferred from the Pacific to the Middle East. Now, the deployment in the Middle East will be reduced.
News (16) to (18) / Editor: Fang Xun / Source: Epoch Times Special Report Department Reporters Xu Yiyang and Ning Xin / https://www.aboluowang.com/2024/1126/2135682.html26/2135682.html
News (16)
Abnormal! Wang Huning made a high-profile appearance as a leader
— Wang Huning’s unusually high-profile activities: another proof that Xi’s power is being reduced
Image : On 5 September 2024, Wang Huning attended the China-Africa Forum held in Beijing. (Web Screenshot)
Wang Huning, member of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, attended the opening ceremony of the National Ethnic Minority Traditional Sports Games held in Sanya, Hainan on 22 November 2024, and the official media of the CPC reported it in a high-profile manner. This public and high-profile image is in sharp contrast to Wang Huning's usual low-key style.
Current affairs analysts believe that if the CPC leader Xi Jinping is still in power, such public activities hosted by other members of the Political Bureau Standing Committee are usually considered taboo. However, Wang Huning's attendance at the event and meeting with the masses as a leader this time is seen as another sign that Xi Jinping's military power has been lost and his political power has been weakened.
From 20 to 22 November 2024, Wang Huning went to Hainan for research. On the 22nd, the Ethnic Minority Traditional Sports Games opened in Sanya, Hainan. According to the People's Daily, the mouthpiece of the CPC, Wang Huning arrived and announced the opening. Before the opening ceremony, he also met with all members of the organizing committee of the Games, representatives of various delegations and representatives of athletes.
In addition to Wang Huning, officials attending the opening ceremony included Shi Taifeng, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and vice chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, Pan Yue, deputy director of the United Front Work Department of the CPC Central Committee, Feng Fei, secretary of the Hainan Provincial Party Committee, and Gao Zhidan, director of the State Sports General Administration.
Wang Huning has always left a low-key and mysterious impression on the public, and rarely appears in reports by the Chinese Communist Party's official media. Compared with other members of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee, Wang Huning's number of public research activities is significantly less. Epoch Times reporters checked relevant information and found that from the end of May 2023 to November 2024, Wang Huning went out for research only 8 times, while the number of outbound research by Li Qiang, Premier of the State Council of the CPC during the same period was close to 30 times.
News (17)
Analysis: Wang Huning's high-profile activities are unusual
Wang Huning's high-profile appearance in Hainan this time has attracted attention from the outside world. Chen Pokong, a political commentator living in the United States, believes that this move is indeed unusual and reflects three abnormalities.
On November 24, Chen Pokong said in an interview with the Epoch Times that, first of all, Wang Huning has been frequently out for inspections recently, going to Zhejiang in October, Xinjiang in November, and Hainan this time. This is in stark contrast to his previous seldom going out for inspections and staying at home.
The second anomaly is Shi Taifeng's accompaniment. Chen Pokong said that as the chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, Wang Huning was accompanied by Shi Taifeng, vice chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, and this arrangement seemed unusual because it was not necessary from the perspective of job arrangements. He said that Wang Huning is a member of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee, and Shi Taifeng is a member of the Political Bureau. Such a high-level accompaniment not only shows that Wang Huning's movements are unusual, but may also imply that Shi Taifeng's situation is unusual.
Chen Pokong further analyzed that the third anomaly is reflected in the fact that the official media of the CPC reported Wang Huning's trip to Hainan in an extremely high-profile manner. He said that since Xi Jinping's so-called "one person is determined", other members of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee have generally adopted a low-key attitude, especially Wang Huning. Even when accompanying Xi Jinping on foreign visits, Wang Huning is usually not mentioned in reports by the CCP official media, or his position is hidden in subsequent reports.
However, this time the situation is completely different. The official media not only released pictures of Wang Huning attending the traditional ethnic sports games, but also reported his meeting with representatives of the games in a high-profile manner, presenting a scene similar to that of a reception by the general secretary. This change is reminiscent. Chen Pokong believes that this may be another sign that Xi Jinping's military power has been lost and his political power has been weakened after the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee in July this year.
Li Linyi, a current affairs analyst, also told the Epoch Times reporter that Wang Huning has been making frequent visits recently, and this trip to Hainan focused on the inspection of the Hainan Free Trade Port. Li Linyi said that recently some foreign media mentioned that the Hainan Free Trade Port is gradually becoming another "unfinished project" of Xi Jinping, which may have prompted Wang Huning to go there to provide advice for Hainan's development or try to promote economic revitalization.
However, Li Linyi expressed doubts about the effectiveness of this effort. He believes that in the overall downward trend of China's economy, such attempts are doomed to be futile. He said that the top leaders of the Communist Party of China actually knew that the Chinese economy was powerless to recover and would only continue to go downhill.
News (18)
Wang Huning was accused of being the "most dangerous person"
Wang Huning was born in Shanghai in 1955. As a teenager, he did not go to the countryside with his peers during the "Cultural Revolution" because of his poor health. Instead, he chose to stay at home and study on his own. In 1974, he was recommended to study French at the Foreign Languages Department of Shanghai Normal University, and later engaged in research work at the Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences. In 1978, he was admitted to the Department of International Politics of Fudan University for a master's degree.
After graduating in 1981, Wang Huning stayed at the school to teach, and was promoted from a teacher to an associate professor, professor, and director of the Department of International Politics. After that, he became the dean of the School of Law of Fudan University.
In 1995, Wang Huning was summoned to Beijing and started his career as a staff member. He initially served as the head of the Political Group of the Policy Research Office of the CPC Central Committee, and was later promoted to deputy director and director. In his subsequent career, Wang Huning was promoted from a member of the CPC Central Committee and secretary of the Central Secretariat to a member of the Political Bureau. In October 2017, he became a member of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and ascended to the pinnacle of power.
During his tenure as director of the Policy Research Office of the CPC Central Committee from 2002 to 2020, he was the main writer for three CCP leaders, Jiang Zemin, Hu Jintao and Xi Jinping.
During Jiang Zemin's period, Wang Huning was the main designer of the so-called "Three Represents". In the Hu Jintao era, he created the so-called "harmonious society" and "scientific development concept".
Entering the period of Xi Jinping's rule, Wang Huning was called Xi's "political theory makeup artist" by the outside world. He was not only the behind-the-scenes promoter of Xi Jinping's so-called "Chinese Dream" concept, but also participated in the design of the "Belt and Road" initiative and the so-called "great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation", which is one of Xi Jinping's political slogans.
Wang Huning is therefore called the "three dynasties' national teacher". The series of theories he constructed for the three CCP leaders are also jokingly referred to as "Wang Huning Thought" by the outside world.
Wang Huning's role in the CCP has long attracted attention from the outside world. Hugh Hewitt, an American media person, once said in a column that Wang Huning has "extraordinary influence" on Xi Jinping in the field of ideology. He bluntly said that Wang Huning "is the most dangerous person in the world."
News (19)
The first battle plan is revealed! Just waiting for the decisive battle between the United States and China
Editor : Wang He / Source: China Times News Network / https://www.aboluowang.com/2024/1125/2135304.htm
On 24 November 2024, Japan's Kyodo News Agency quoted an informed source as saying that the United States and Japan are formulating the first joint combat plan for the emergency of "something happens in Taiwan". At that time, the U.S. military will deploy missiles in the Ryukyu Islands of Japan and the Philippines. At that time, the Self-Defense Forces will provide logistical support to the U.S. military and assist in the supply of fuel and ammunition.
Sources familiar with Japan-U.S. relations revealed that the United States and Japan aim to formulate the first joint combat plan for emergencies in the Taiwan Strait by the end of December, which will include the U.S. military's actions to build temporary bases and deploy missiles in the Ryukyu Islands and the Philippines, which are very close to Taiwan in the southwest of Japan.
Sources revealed that the basic concept of the US and Japan's resistance to the mainland and the possibility of unifying Taiwan by force have become clear. If an emergency occurs, a large area may become a "war zone."
Sources pointed out that the U.S. Marine Littoral Regiment, which has a high-mobility multiple rocket system (HIMARS), will be deployed on the island chain extending from Kagoshima Prefecture and Okinawa Prefecture to Taiwan.
When an emergency in Taiwan becomes imminent, the U.S. military will deploy temporary bases on the islands in accordance with the guidelines for dispatching Marine Corps detachments.
The main role of the Japan Self-Defense Forces is expected to be to provide logistical support to the Marines, including the supply of fuel and ammunition.
In addition, the U.S. military will also deploy long-range firepower units of the "Multi-Domain Task Forces" in the Philippines. The goal of the "Multi-Domain Task Forces" is to fight in multiple environments such as air, land, water, space, network and information.
Image : Japan's Kyodo News Agency pointed out on the 24th that the United States and Japan are formulating the first joint military plan for the emergency of "Taiwan has an incident", when the U.S. military will deploy missiles in the Ryukyu Islands of Japan and the Philippines. The picture shows the launch of HIMARS missiles during the joint military exercise between the United States and the Philippines in March 2023. (Associated Press)
In February 2023, the United States and the Philippines reached an agreement to increase the number of military bases that the U.S. military can use in the Philippines from five to nine. The report pointed out that these bases are expected to be used in the event of an emergency in Taiwan.
According to the Voice of America, a senior US military general once testified in Congress that the leader of the Chinese Communist Party, Xi Jinping, asked the People's Liberation Army to prepare for the occupation of Taiwan before the 100th anniversary of the founding of the army in 2027. The US also estimated that the People's Liberation Army may also begin to have the military capability to occupy Taiwan by then.
Analysts believe that the United States and Japan are highly vigilant against any military adventures by Beijing in the Taiwan Strait, and it is reasonable to prepare for this and formulate joint military plans.
News (20)
Starting from here? Trump can end the Russian-Ukrainian war decently
—Trump can end the Russia-Ukraine war in this way, but "Moscow has to pay"
Editor : Fang Xun / Source: Shangbao / https://www.aboluowang.com/2024/1126/2135584.html
After Ukraine was at a disadvantage in resisting the Russian invasion and Trump, who vowed to end the war as soon as possible, was elected as the U.S. president, Reuters columnist Hugo Dixon wrote that in order to prevent Trump from reaching an agreement that is favourable to Russia and give him more trump cards to negotiate with Russian President Putin, Europe has the responsibility to make a huge financial commitment, which may be around 9.7 trillion yuan. How to raise funds can start from Russia's overseas assets.
Hugo Dixon pointed out that Europe has a strong motivation to persuade Trump to reach an agreement that is favourable to Ukraine and Europe, and Trump's biggest dissatisfaction with Europe is that it does not pay enough defense costs. Therefore, a sum of money that can both defend Ukraine and please Trump, and even allow Washington to warn opponents such as China "not to challenge American interests" is about to come out.
300 billion US dollars is theoretically a sufficient figure. This is twice the current aid from Europe and the United Kingdom to Ukraine. If it is paid in three years, the amount to be advanced each year is only equivalent to 0.4% of the GDP (gross domestic product) of the European Union and the United Kingdom. With this money, Trump can easily tell Putin at the negotiating table that Europe and the United States have provided a large amount of financial and military support to support the Russian-Ukrainian front. Given that the Russian military personnel and funds will be exhausted sooner or later, it is in the interest to reach a decent agreement immediately.
European countries may have budgetary concerns. One alternative is to transfer Russia's 210 billion euros of overseas assets in the European Union, but some countries, mainly Germany, oppose this.
Dixon said that he advocated a more legally powerful way of claiming compensation, that is, the countries headed by the G7 members promised to lend Ukraine 300 billion U.S. Dollars, and Ukraine has the right to ask Russia to pay the same amount of compensation to the lending countries. It is very likely that Russia will default on its debts, and then the lending countries have the right to confiscate Russia's overseas assets to pay off the debt.
Dixon finally pointed out that in addition to the amount, the greater variable is Ukraine's security after the ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. If Ukraine can guarantee full sovereignty over the 80% of its currently unoccupied territory, eventually become a member of the European Union and rebuild its economy, the whole world will think that Russia has lost; but if the agreement meets Putin's requirements, not only will Ukraine not be allowed to join NATO, but it will even require Ukraine to be defenseless, which will make the whole world think that Putin has won, and Europe has many reasons to do its best to persuade Trump to stick to its position.
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