Direct translation
The outside world doesn’t understand! The real relationship between Xi Jinping and Zhang Youxia
— Wu Jialong: The CCP has entered a “balance of terror” and wants to avoid a coup
Editor: Fang Xun / Source: Wu Jialong's Facebook / https://www.aboluowang.com/2025/1027/2296806.html
Many people are afraid to take over the mess left by Xi Jinping, which has actually become an advantage for Xi Jinping...
The Fourth Plenum of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee has taken place, but the power dynamic between Xi Jinping and Zhang Youxia has left many people baffled.
You say Xi Jinping has lost power, yet his three positions remain. You say Xi Jinping still holds significant power, yet all his military personnel have been purged, and the replacements are not his own. These phenomena are contradictory.
Let me make one point directly: the newly appointed Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission, Zhang Shengmin, is not Xi Jinping's man, but Zhang Youxia's. Therefore, the military purge was not led by Xi Jinping, but by a joint effort of Zhang Youxia and Zhang Shengmin.
It seems that Xi Jinping's domestic and foreign policies have led to an economic disaster, and as the situation worsens, Party elders are forced to intervene.
However, the nature of the problem lies in two aspects: First, who will take over this mess? And how should it be handled? Second, no matter how the post-Xi Jinping era transitions, the power struggle must not lead to a crisis for the Party and the regime. In other words, no matter how Xi Jinping is dealt with, the ship must not be sunk.
Therefore, what the CCP is conducting is a coup without a coup, a departure from the past models of Lin Biao, Hua Guofeng, Zhao Ziyang, and Hu Yaobang.
This isn't a coup in the traditional sense, but Xi Jinping's rule has indeed reached a point where a change of regime is necessary. This is why, while the Fourth Plenum appears to be a no-win situation, it actually transforms the entire coup into a gradual process.
Of course, this is because the overall economic situation has indeed deteriorated, and even the powerful elite and the second and third generations of the Red Army are finding it difficult to cope. If the economic situation had only deteriorated slightly, we could still wait and see, hoping for a rebound. But now it's clear that China's economy will only get worse. Therefore, we must face the advent of the "post-Xi Jinping era" and seriously confront the prospect of Xi Jinping's departure.
The primary problem is that the current situation is truly dire, and no one has the ability or confidence to clean up the mess. Even if Wang Yang and Hu Chunhua were to return, they wouldn't be able to do so! Everyone must clearly understand this!
This is what we see: a precarious balance within the CCP. People don't want Xi Jinping to continue leading, but they also can't let him step down.
The next question is, first, what exactly went wrong with Xi Jinping's approach? Why did he play such a good hand so poorly?
In my opinion, the problem undoubtedly lies with Wang Huning, the three-term imperial advisor. The direction he has given Xi Jinping is essentially one of flattery. He argues that the United States is declining, while China is rising, a trend known as "the rise of the East and the decline of the West." Therefore, China must seize this once-in-a-century historical opportunity to launch a "new type of major-country relations," achieve "overtaking on the curve," and realize "the rise of a great power." It's this perspective that has led Xi Jinping to challenge American hegemony, engage in confrontation, and then be retaliated by the US, exposing China's vulnerability. This, coupled with the fact that he's colliding with Trump, a "businessman at heart, a soldier," has led Xi Jinping to repeatedly miscalculate.
If Xi Jinping had known from the outset that China's rise as a great power hadn't yet been completed, that there was no rise of the East and decline of the West, would he have continued to bide his time and use the US to strengthen China? We don't know.
The only thing we know now is that Xi Jinping and his team truly underestimated the United States, failing to recognize its ability to self-identify and repair itself. They truly overestimated themselves, failing to recognize the CCP's own institutional weaknesses. Ultimately, they blew away a once-in-a-century historical opportunity for the Chinese nation!
There will be no more "Chinese Dream"! There will be no more "Great Rejuvenation of the Chinese Nation"! Because Xi Jinping's approach cannot fulfill such expectations! We would even say that as long as the CCP's totalitarian, authoritarian system persists, such expectations will be impossible to achieve!
If you don't believe it, then just watch the next 10 or 20 years!
Future history will surely bear witness to the end of the CCP dynasty, and he will be Xi Jinping. He is truly the "chief accelerator," and his performance in this regard is truly A+! No one has done a better job of ending the CCP than him!
The latest developments may be that once it becomes clear that Xi Jinping has been sidelined, Trump will no longer want to engage in serious talks with him. Putin, on the other hand, will undoubtedly have to start a new party, perhaps forced to mend fences with Trump and even surrender his allegiance to him. Next, India, South Korea, Singapore, Malaysia, France, Germany, and others may all align themselves with Trump.
