The State Cyberspace Administration of the Communist Party of China recently announced a draft of the Cyber Data Security Management Regulations, which stipulates that data processing companies should apply for cyber security review and cross-border data issues when they are listed in Hong Kong. Regarding related punishment methods, some commentators pointed out that in the future, Chinese people will be punished according to law if they overcome the wall.
On 14 November, the National Cyberspace Administration of the Communist Party of China issued this draft for comments. All data processing companies who go to Hong Kong to go public and affect or may affect national security should apply for cybersecurity review in accordance with relevant regulations.
The draft opinion also mentions that no individual or organization may provide tools or services to "overturn the wall". Violators will face high fines, revoke their business licenses, and even criminal liability.
Mainland human rights activist Zhang Jianping said, "I think economic security is right, but freedom of speech cannot be suppressed on the grounds of economic security. From a historical perspective, it seems that referring to economic security is a very correct way. The drunkard’s intention is not to drink. It is often a suppression by the government. This is worrying."
Liu Zixi, a current political observer on the mainland, said that the authorities had already decided to impose legal sanctions on the people over the wall.
Liu Zixi, a current political observer in the mainland, said, "Any way to solicit opinions is a decision. A management method has been issued. I have looked at it. It is mainly Article 41 and Article 66. This content is nothing more than preventing Chinese people. The mainlanders overcame the wall and set up a law to govern you. If you violate it, over the wall, what kind of information is transmitted, economic fines, and legal sanctions."
Over the years, a large number of Chinese netizens have been drinking tea and threatened for escaping the wall. Liu Zixi said that the CCP has now come true, and the management of the people over the wall has been upgraded.
Liu Zixi said, "The Chinese are already sad enough. This freedom of speech has always been strictly controlled in all aspects. There have been people who were drunk tea and fined before. It was all drizzle. This time it's true. It The management of the people over the wall has been upgraded. What is the reason for the upgrade? It is to send a message that the CCP regime is on the verge of extinction. It is terrified!"
Liu Zixi pointed out that the CCP is afraid that the people will know the truth. As long as the Chinese do not listen to it and continue to overcome the wall, the CCP’s demise is just around the corner.
WTA calls for investigation, Peng Shuai escalates diplomatic incident
Now, after more than ten days of silence, the Peng Shuai incident has made new progress for the first time, and it has truly escalated into a diplomatic incident.
Just yesterday, Steve Simon, the CEO of the International Women’s Tennis Association WTA Tour, publicly called on the Chinese authorities to investigate the allegations of sexual assault by female tennis star Peng Shuai against the former deputy prime minister Zhang Gaoli.
Simon said in a statement, "Now we have to make sure that we are moving to a place where a comprehensive and transparent investigation is conducted. I think this type of thing is not only an insult to our players, but also an insult to all women." Then he called on the Chinese Communist Party official. Stop banning the Peng Shuai incident.
In an interview with The New York Times, Simon revealed for the first time Peng Shuai’s current situation. He said: “We have received confirmation from multiple sources including the China Tennis Association that she is safe and has not been subjected to any Personal threats."
However, Simon also emphasized, "My understanding is that she is in Beijing, but I can't confirm it because I didn't talk to her directly." The current situation is that, including WTA officials and current players, no one can get connected with Peng Shuai.
A noteworthy phenomenon is that this time not only Simon officially issued a statement to support Peng Shuai on behalf of the WTA, but many well-known tennis players also almost simultaneously voiced support for Peng Shuai.
For example, the famous former world No. 1 star Martina Navratilova immediately issued a push to support the WTA statement, saying: "The WTA position is very tough-and it is the right position." Former US champion Chris Chris Evert also wrote on Twitter: "These allegations are very worrying. I have known Peng Shuai since I was 14 years old. We should all be worried that this is serious. Where is she? Is she safe? "
French player Alizé Cornet posted the hashtag #WhereIsPengShuai on her account on Saturday and called for "Let's not be silent". And British male player Brody (Liam Broady) also posted this label and wrote: "I can't believe this kind of thing will happen in the 21st century."
Many friends may think of a problem. In the past, the CCP used to threaten any international organization that questioned its human rights issues, especially those with huge commercial interests in mainland China, by blocking their business or interrupting cooperation, and forcing them to shut down. The mouth even made it speak for the CCP in turn. This time the WTA dared to step on the CCP’s painful foot. Are they not afraid of damaging their interests in the mainland?
This is indeed a chain reaction triggered by the Peng Shuai incident. WTA and the CCP have an agreement to hold at least 11 tournaments in the mainland, and the year-end finals for the ten years from 2019 to 2029 will be held in Shenzhen. Therefore, Simon's statement may indeed ruin WTA's lucrative business relationship in China.
Simon himself was prepared for this. He even directly referred to the NBA example, saying that he could not talk about the decision made by the NBA, but the problem facing the WTA is that a player of the association has suffered a potential sexual assault, which is impossible at all. Things to compromise.
According to the plan, the WTA is expected to return to China next season, but Simon said frankly that the Peng Shuai case not only brought WTA worries to her, but also brought uncertainty about the future development of WTA in China. He said, "If proper results cannot be obtained, we will take action and not operate in the Chinese market."
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Time is changing and the situation is changing, and the diplomacy of Wolf Warriors fails?
The reason why we are discussing this news today is because in my impression, an international organization with significant commercial interests in the mainland dared to publicly step on the CCP’s painful feet, question the CCP’s human rights oppression without fear of retaliation, and even did a good job of giving up China. Market preparation, this is a very rare example in recent years.
We all know that in 2019, two years ago, in 2019, NBA Rockets manager Morey only posted on Twitter the phrase "Fight for freedom and stand with Hong Kong", which triggered the CCP's entire network to criticize and block the Rockets. Even NBA games were suspended for a while. Although NBA President Xiao Hua did not dare to fire Morey, he had to go to China to mend the relationship, which is tantamount to actually bowing his head to the CCP.
This incident has far-reaching impact, because the world has seen many stars who always have tough faces on the NBA court, such as LeBron James of the Lakers, Glenn Davis of the Celtics and the Rockets. How did the team's star, Harden and others, knelt down under the threat of the CCP's ban and turned their guns to stabbing Morey in the back.
What is interesting is that two years later, Kanter, who is also the Celtics star, suddenly hit Xi Jinping by name at the end of last month, calling him a "cruel dictator" and has repeatedly published articles in support of Taiwan, Xinjiang and Tibet people. He criticized the CCP for trampling on human rights, and even attended relevant gatherings to speak publicly.
As a result, not only did the NBA president express his support for Kanter privately, James and others remained silent, and even the CCP’s reaction was surprisingly low-key. So far, there has been no official expression of "emotional injury", but only Tencent in its streaming. The broadcast of the remaining Celtics games was cancelled on the app.
Including the WTA's voice for Peng Shuai this time, we can see that international organizations that once shivered at the CCP’s money stick for fear of offending seemed to be rapidly reversing their attitudes, and their waists began to straighten up a lot. In response, the CCP drastically converged on the eight-foot-high shrew, and began to pretend to be deaf and dumb.
The latest news we saw today is that the International Men’s Tennis Association ATP is not afraid of the Chinese Communist Party’s retaliation and quickly followed up. Its Chairman Andrea Gordonz issued an official statement saying “Nothing is more important than the safety of our tennis industry. We are deeply concerned about the uncertainty surrounding Peng Shuai’s safety and whereabouts.” At the same time, “fully support the WTA’s call for a comprehensive, fair and transparent investigation into Peng Shuai’s allegations of sexual assault.”
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Get rid of dependence on the CCP, the European Union follows the example of Australia
Why is there such a change?
This is the "broken window effect" we have discussed before. When a fortress appears to be strong on the surface, but if someone dares to stand up to break its windows and challenge its authority, the second will soon appear. A third such person went to break more windows. (Foresight quick review)
For the CCP, such things do not just appear in the sports world. In fact, in the most sensitive political and economic circles, a similar broken window effect was the first to erupt, and then it spread to the current sports world.
Government broken window effect
For example, the Taiwan issue, which is the most sensitive and absolutely intangible red line of the CCP, began when the U.S. C130 large military aircraft landed on Taiwan in July this year, and Lithuania set a record for the establishment of a "Taiwan Representative Office". The relationship and so on are almost in the state of renovation the next day. The red line painted by Hu Xijin was not dry, so he immediately had to draw a new one, so that he was awarded the title of "Chief Liner".
Even big foreign propaganda media such as "Duo Dui" have issued articles exclaiming that the United States and Taiwan have joined forces to create a wall-breaking effect, which is a test of the Chinese Communist Party's ruling authorities, and so on.
The same is true in the economic field.
After the “Special Committee for Foreign Intervention in EU Democratic Procedures” (INGE) delegation, composed of transnational members of the European Parliament, paid an official visit to Taiwan last week, the European Parliament immediately began to discuss a 33-page draft report, which is that the EU needs to take further steps and measures to deal with foreign intervention and threats such as China.
The draft report mentioned that since the United Front Work Department and other authoritarian state institutions frequently engage in political interference with the outside world, the European Parliament should refer to Australia’s experience in the Foreign Influence Transparency Scheme to counter the CCP’s non-transparency. Political penetration.
Why is the EU particularly optimistic about Australia's experience? In fact, the reason is very simple: In the past, Western countries did not dare to offend the CCP, and fear of economic losses was one of the main reasons. However, in the past two years since Australia has adopted a hard-line diplomatic attitude towards the CCP, economic growth has not been significantly affected. Instead, the GDP growth in the second half of last year set a new record in 60 years. In the case of the Chinese Communist Party's vigorous sanctions, Australia's exports have also soared across the board, setting up a nearly perfect example of standing and making money.
All this, European countries are all in their eyes.
From this perspective, Lithuania, the United States, Australia and the NBA star Kanter can be said to have played a role in breaking the CCP’s fortress window. Today we see the Tennis Association speak out for Peng Shuai, which highlights that the scope of this wave of "broken wall effect" is still expanding.
Civilian broken window effect
What we have discussed just now is basically the broken window effect at the official level, and the most prominent and typical example of the private effect is of course the Malaysian Chinese Huang Mingzhi.
His satirical little pink also satirizes the diplomacy of Wolf Warriors, "Glass Heart". It has only been one month since its premiere on 15 October. It has more than 30.8 million traffic on the YouTube channel alone. And his new single "Outside the Wall" only released 3 days ago, has now surpassed 3.6 million traffic.
In the comment area of his two songs, you can see that not only a large number of overseas Chinese feel strong resonance, but also many mainland friends who have stepped over the wall to support Huang Mingzhi. In other words, Huang Mingzhi became the first person in the show business to break the window, and he was also almost the first person in the show business to stand to make money. The reality reflected is that a large number of people are beginning to feel the CCP’s incessant vixen diplomacy. Deeply tired, Huang Mingzhi's song just said what they wanted to say instead of them.
Therefore, we can see that behind the continuous spreading of the broken window effect from politics, economics, entertainment and sports, what is reflected is an idiom that Chinese people used to say, called "time-shifting and changing trends", which means The situation has changed, the time has changed, and the performance of the world will change accordingly. The role of the buyer's market and the seller's market may change in a moment.
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Xi-Biden Summit: The CCP must abide by the rules
Against this background, let’s take a look at the Biden-Xi Jinping virtual summit to be held tonight, and perhaps we will have a more thorough understanding.
Last Friday, a White House spokesperson stated that the purpose of this summit is to responsibly control the competition between the United States and China, and to set rules for such competition more effectively, and Biden will not have reservations in the dialogue on areas of concern in the United States.
On Saturday night, Secretary of State Blinken tweeted that he had a phone call with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, discussed the preparations for the summit, and expressed their respective positions on the Taiwan Strait issue. The United States still hopes to peacefully resolve cross-strait issues through dialogue. Yi still only emphasized his opposition to Taiwan independence.
Of course, this "similarities and differences between the United States and China" is more official language. In fact, the so-called "different" refers to the field in which the United States and China confront competition, and the so-called "sameness" is of course the field in which Biden believes that the United States and China can cooperate. .
According to Reuters, Biden will tell Xi Jinping that the CCP must act like a responsible country in accordance with the rules to reduce the possibility of superpower conflicts. He indeed stresses this point during the video summit.
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South China Morning Post releases "list of dissatisfaction" for communication under the table between the United States and China
This is an official message released by the United States. As for the CCP, it is more intriguing. The CCP does not have a similar background briefing but the South China Morning Post, which is controlled by the CCP, has released some unusual information.
Last Saturday, the South China Morning Post quoted a source as saying that when US Deputy Secretary of State Wendy Sherman met with China in Tianjin in July, the two countries had quietly resumed working-level dialogue under the table to discuss with the Chinese side the list of main dissatisfaction.
The report also said that both parties agreed in principle to relax visa restrictions on mainland students in the near future.
We all know that there are two lists proposed by the CCP in the Tianjin talks. One is called the "error correction list". It mainly involves some measures taken by the United States against mainland Chinese, including the removal of visa restrictions on party members and family members, and the removal of various policies against China. Such sanctions, the abolition of visa restrictions for mainland students studying abroad, the cessation of suppressing Chinese companies and Confucius Institutes, the abolition of the registration of large foreign propaganda party media as "foreign agents", the withdrawal of the extradition of Meng Wanzhou, and so on.
The other is called the "Key Case List", which mainly deals with the situation of Chinese in the United States, such as the unfair treatment of Chinese citizens, the growth of hatred of Asians, and so on.
Judging from the report in the South China Morning Post, the list of dissatisfaction referred to in the report should refer to the "correction list."
This report has attracted widespread attention because everyone is speculating, does this mean that Biden is going to be soft on the CCP, and the two sides are about to secretly blend in again?
From my personal view, the first two backgrounds of this summit are worth noting: One is that next year Xi Jinping faces the 20th largest and Biden faces increasingly difficult mid-term elections. Both sides need to focus a lot of energy on their respective domestic agendas. . The other is the "time-shifting situation" discussed just now. The CCP's wolf war diplomacy is shifting from offensive to defensive.
In this context, the US requesting the CCP to abide by international rules is more like a gesture of "calling a price", while the topic of the CCP's release of a list is more like a "bargaining".
The United States should be very clear that the CCP will probably not abide by these rules, and even try to take the lead in rewriting many important international rules and formulating emerging technological norms that violate democratic principles, etc. Then, how can the CCP submit to compliance, even if it is temporary. ?
The Biden administration’s strategy is likely to be to selectively satisfy some of the provisions of the CCP’s list in exchange for part of the CCP’s cooperation.
In other words, the basic point of the United States for maintaining the current international order and its leadership will not change, but on the basis of continuation of most of Trump's big stick policies, it wants to add a little carrot to see the effect.
I think this kind of thinking is understandable. After all, Biden has only been in office for 10 months, and it is normal to try a variety of strategies but I am not optimistic about its effect. The reason is simple. The CCP may temporarily shrink the scale of challenging the international community, but its course of action will never change. This is determined by the characteristics of the CCP’s system.
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