Direct translation
Latest news from the military regarding the Zhang Youxia case:
— [Insider Information] There is widespread opposition within the Chinese military to attacking Taiwan
Reporter : Ye Xiaofan / Editor : Fang Zhou / https://www.aboluowang.com/2026/0129/2341282.html / Image : The first batch of M1A2T tanks purchased by the Republic of China from the United States. (Provided by the Ministry of National Defense of the Republic of China)
Several sources close to the Chinese military have revealed that there has long been a fundamental disagreement between Xi Jinping and the military regarding whether to use force against Taiwan. Opposition to war within the military is not merely the stance of individual generals, but a highly unified consensus across multiple theater commands and operational systems.
According to an interview with The Epoch Times, a source close to the military stated bluntly: “The military is very clear that conducting exercises to encircle the island is one thing, but a real war is another. Once war breaks out, it will be a drain on the entire service; if things go wrong, an entire branch of the military could be wiped out.” High-ranking military officials generally believe that at this stage, taking high-intensity military action against Taiwan lacks a sustainable strategic foundation.
Mr. Wang, a military personnel from a theater command in southern China, told The Epoch Times that the Russia-Ukraine war has entered its fourth year, with casualties exceeding one million, almost all of whom were ordinary people. “Decision-makers like Putin always remain behind the scenes, but ordinary people lose loved ones. Who wants to fight a war?” He revealed that many officers directly responsible for combat in the military are unwilling to fight. They believe that “unification” is merely a political scheme by certain powerful figures to gain historical fame, or a means to secure military funding, and certainly not the true desire of the vast majority of officers and soldiers.
Several informed sources pointed out that corruption has long existed within the system. In the past, the buying and selling of official positions was open, and the transfer of benefits was widespread. However, the so-called anti-corruption campaign has now been selectively used, gradually evolving into a tool for purging dissent. Taking the investigations of Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli as examples, informed sources bluntly stated that the core issue was not corruption, but rather their “unwillingness to endorse the plan to attack Taiwan.”
Another informed source, Mr. Shi, stated that this is a typical “political characterization.” Launching a war requires conscription and wartime centralization of power, which can solidify the power of the top leadership. However, the Central Military Commission is currently in a “semi-paralyzed state,” morale is low, and anti-war sentiment is pervasive. The so-called plan for unification by force simply cannot be pushed forward internally.
Besides the unstable morale within the military, objective logistical capabilities are also insufficient to support a large-scale war. Ms. Lin, a medical worker in Xiamen, Fujian, revealed that the local blood supply has been chronically scarce even in peacetime. "It's not enough even normally; I can't even imagine what it would be like in a war."
Medical personnel in multiple locations confirmed that in the event of a large-scale conflict, demand would multiply, instantly overwhelming grassroots medical systems. Given the aging population and declining willingness to donate blood, even basic daily blood supplies require temporary adjustments, making it impossible to cope with wartime casualties and treatment.
Informed sources agree with US President Trump's assessment that "Xi Jinping wouldn't dare to fight." This isn't out of a love of peace, but rather stems from an extreme fear of regime collapse.
Chinese military scholar Wu Man pointed out that against the backdrop of accumulating internal and external pressures, Xi Jinping's efforts to control the military by purging generals and strengthening political loyalty have only further exacerbated resentment within the military. He rhetorically asked: If the CCP military itself isn't cooperating, and if they were to attack Taiwan, would they let the public security system command the army? Who would they send to fight? "
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