The US "Foreign Policy" magazine published an article on Friday (3 September) that the US-China climate change cooperation or confrontation will be in this fall. It was resolved at the Glasgow Climate Change Conference (COP26) in the United Kingdom.
At that time, leaders from the United States, China, and nearly 200 countries will set goals for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and addressing climate change.
They will decide on potential actions on climate change at the meeting and see if it is possible to reach a global consensus.
The U.S. climate envoy, John Kerry, traveled to China this week to urge China to take climate action and discuss China and the United States joining forces to tackle the climate crisis.
The CCP sent Han Zheng, member of the Politburo Standing Committee, Yang Jiechi, member of the Politburo in charge of foreign affairs, and Foreign Minister Wang Yi to make video calls with Kerry, which is obviously better than the reception standard of the previous US Deputy Secretary of State's visit to China.
However, Beijing warned that tense US-China relations could jeopardize climate change cooperation.
In recent months, tensions between the United States and China over trade disputes, human rights issues, and technology have escalated.
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said, "The cooperation on climate change cannot be separated from the overall situation of Sino-US relations."
Kerry said, “Climate is not an ideology. It is not a partisanship, a geostrategic weapon or tool, and certainly not a daily politics. We believe that China can do more.”
"Foreign Policy" stated that after the CCP proposed that US-China relations and climate cooperation are inseparable, and Kerry refused to make unthankful concessions, it will be difficult for the two sides to achieve real progress on climate change, whether this week or in the future.
China and the United States are the world's largest emitters of greenhouse gases. China ranks first in the world, surpassing the total emissions of all developed countries, and the United States is the second highest.
Washington has always stated that it will not make disgraceful compromises to appease Beijing and promote progress on climate change.
"What I want to do is to get a way to cooperate with China that is more powerful than at present," Kerry told Foreign Policy in August. "China can stop funding external coal plants around the world and instead fund renewable energy plants."
On the other hand, some analysts have also proposed using U.S.-China competition or the threat of carbon tax to force the CCP to change and cooperate with the U.S. on climate change.
On 5 September, 19 common planes disrupt Taiwan. Scholars: Can observe whether there is a J-16D
Image : Today there are a total of 19 co-aircraft disruptors, including 10 J-16s. Strategic scholars Jie Zhong and Su Ziyun said that the key point can be to observe whether there are F-16D electric fighters included. The picture shows the F-16 same model. (Provided by the Ministry of National Defense)
A total of 19 aircraft disrupted Taiwan today, including 10 J-16s and 4 Sukai 30s. Strategy scholars Jie Zhong and Su Ziyun said that although there are a large number of aircraft, there are no electronic warfare and early warning aircraft in the fleet. It is speculated that only the fleets are drilled separately, and the non-strike fleet is not included. However, it can be observed whether there are F-16D electronic fighters included among the 10 aircraft.
In the evening, the Air Force released the news of the common aircraft in the "Real-time Military Updates" zone. A total of 19 common aircraft (1 Y-8 anti-submarine aircraft, 4 H6, 10 F-16, and 4 Sukai 30) invaded Taiwan’s Southwest Air Defense Identification Zone. There are 14 fighter planes, but they have not invaded the airspace of the southeastern sea of Taiwan, nor have they crossed the middle line of the Taiwan Strait.
Jie Zhong, a senior assistant researcher at the National Policy Research Foundation, said that although the overall number of aircraft is large, there are no early warning aircraft, electric reconnaissance aircraft, and no crossing the middle line of the Taiwan Strait, so the situation today is less special.
Jie Zhong explained that a complete strike aircraft group or expeditionary strike formation must have early warning and electric reconnaissance aircraft. This time the CCP may only drill separately for each aircraft group, not systematic combat training.
Su Ziyun, a think tank of the Ministry of National Defense and a scholar of the National Defense Security Research Institute, pointed out that the characteristics of the J-16 fighter are that it can be equipped with a Pili 15 long-range air-to-air missile with a range of up to 200 kilometers. 30 plays the role of opposing and ground strikes, suppressing the assembly point and command and control center of the enemy's forces. If we observe today's battles and regions, it is speculated that it should be a repressive exercise against the sea.
Su Ziyun also mentioned that what can be observed is whether these 10 F-16 fleets include the F-16D electric fighter (D is the abbreviation of "electric" in Chinese Pinyin). The F-16D can suppress ground and sea air defense systems and carry out Electronic jamming forces the enemy's radar to fail. It is a comprehensive fighter that suppresses the enemy's air defense system and electronic equipment. It is similar to the role of the US EA-18G Growler electronic combat aircraft, but as of now, the outside world still cannot know the exact combat effectiveness.
U.S. presents the blueprint for the second Pacific War
Recently, the United States has launched two large-scale military exercises around the world, bringing together 20 countries, and one is called LSE large-scale global military exercise 2021. This military exercise was mainly conducted within the US military itself. Containing 17 time zones, it is the largest joint military exercise in 40 years.
The other military exercise is called the 2021 global large-scale exercise, which has one more word than the previous military exercise, global. It is the participation of the various military services of the United States, as well as the United Kingdom, Australia, Japan and other countries. Two such large-scale military exercises were conducted simultaneously in the Indo-Pacific region. Who are the targets? It goes without saying that it is naturally the CCP.
According to the current comparison of Chinese and US military strength, the CCP has not yet been able to challenge the presence of the US military in the Pacific. However, as the CCP's military power continues to expand, the situation in the Taiwan Strait is becoming more and more tense. It cannot be ruled out that the possibility of a sudden war one day in the future can not be ruled out. Therefore, during the exercise, the US military began to show the blueprint for future operations to deal with the possible second Pacific War. The first Pacific War refers to the victory of the United States against Japan during World War II.
Let's take a look today at what exactly the U.S. military exercises and what preparations have been made.
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U.S. aircraft carrier simulations set sail from home to challenge
In the Pacific region, in addition to the pre-deployed Seventh Fleet, which owns aircraft carriers, the Third Fleet in the Pacific also owns aircraft carriers. The USS Carl Vinson and Lincoln are the latest U.S. aircraft carriers equipped with F35C fighter jets. They have San Diego, California as their home port. Both aircraft carriers are equipped with a squadron of F35C and three squadrons of Super Hornet. An aircraft carrier capable of combating fifth-generation fighters. If there is a war in the Pacific, the aircraft carriers of the U.S. Third Fleet will rush to the Western Pacific.
The aircraft carrier Carl Vinson left the west coast of the United States on 13 June 2021 and arrived in Hawaiian waters on 18 June 2021. At that time, there was a US aircraft carrier vacuum in the Western Pacific. The deployment of the USS Carl Vinson in the Western Pacific was logical, but the aircraft carrier did not continue to travel westward, but returned to the United States. On 3 August, the USS Carl Vinson (CVN70) strike group departed from San Diego and officially deployed. This is precisely simulating a possible war scenario. After the conflict, immediately set off from the mainland and rushed to the Western Pacific.
Steve Koehler, the commander of the Third Fleet, said, "We go where the battle takes us, and we maintain the superiority of the battle through the ability to solve problems and innovate in the battle."
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The exercise simulation starts from the worst scenario
When the large-scale exercise begins in 2021, the U.S. military has no aircraft carrier in the Pacific, and even the USS US amphibious assault ship is transferred to the Coral Sea near Australia for exercises. This should be regarded as the worst kind of situational simulation, how the US military should deal with it during exercises.
The US military announced that military exercises will begin on 2 August to simulate how to start large-scale mobilization and pre-deployment after the outbreak of the conflict. In addition to the navy, the army and air force are also deployed before the exercise.
In the early morning of 30 July, the 82nd Airborne Division of the U.S. First Special Forces and the Japanese Ground Self-Defense Force parachuted down the Guam Anderson Air Force Base by a large transport plane. The US military stated that the operation demonstrated the ability to project bilateral forces on the first and second island chains and the entire Indo-Pacific region.
In actual combat, the U.S.-Japanese coalition's airborne target is unlikely to be Guam, but its own people. In fact, the target is to airborne Taiwan; the exercise should simulate the rapid airborne landing of U.S. and Japanese special forces to support Taiwan Island after a conflict in the Taiwan Strait occurs. This points out at the military level that the U.S. military is well prepared. If the leaders of the United States and Japan decide to participate in the Taiwan Strait war, the military will be able to rush to Taiwan as soon as possible.
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The first wave of conflicts in the military exercises
On 31 July, the USS Seawolf-class attack submarine USS Connecticut (SSN22) arrived at the port of Yokosuka in Japan and made a public appearance. The U..S military also deliberately released pictures of the Los Angeles-class attack submarine USS Chicago (SSN721) loading a large number of Harpoon anti-ship missiles in Pearl Harbor, Hawaii on 28 July, and stated that this was in preparation for the 2021 large-scale exercise (LSE2021). This is supposed to simulate that when the conflict in the Western Pacific suddenly breaks out, the submarine may become the first army to fight.
The U.S. submarines have relatively good silence capabilities and high concealment while the CCP’s anti-submarine capabilities are relatively weak, and it is difficult to find U.S. nuclear submarines. At the same time, the U.S. nuclear submarine has a relatively strong attack capability. An improved Ohio-class nuclear submarine can carry 154 Tomahawk cruise missiles and a large number of torpedoes. Tomahawk cruise missiles can now also attack warships. A nuclear submarine can pose a powerful threat to a fleet.
At the same time, US aircraft carriers and amphibious assault ships were not in the Western Pacific for the first time, and the Dongfeng missile, which the CCP relied on most, lost its target. The aircraft carrier should be reserved for subsequent attacks, and it is estimated that after the CCP’s missile threat has been cleared.
The U.S. Air Force is not idle either. F-22, F-15 and B-52 were stationed in Guam in July and participated in the "Operation Pacific Iron" in the past few days. It should simulate the conflict and quickly compete for air supremacy and launch air strikes. .
The U.S. military also announced the launch of the "Red Flag-Alaska 21-3" exercise (RED FLAG-Alaska 21-3), in cooperation with the Australian Air Force, the fifth-generation F-35 fighter aircraft at the Alaska base simulates support operations from the north to the west Pacific, and Guam echoing each other. Alaska is an important U.S. military base. F22 and M35 fighters are deployed here. Once a war breaks out in the Western Pacific, these Alaska fighters can fly through Japan or Guam to the battlefield as soon as possible.
From the U.S. military exercises, it can be seen that in response to potential conflicts in the Taiwan Strait, the U.S. military may first dispatch nuclear submarines. U.S. nuclear submarines can be equipped with anti-ship versions of Tomahawk cruise missiles in addition to submarine-launched Harpoon anti-ship missiles. Military targets along the coast or enemy ships in the Taiwan Strait are attacking, while U.S. nuclear submarines have a strong silence and strong offensive capabilities. The CCP’s fleet and ballistic missiles have nothing to do with nuclear submarines.
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The second wave of responses to seize air supremacy
After clearing some military targets and the Chinese Communist Party's fleet, the second wave will be the US aircraft carriers and amphibious assault ships carrying a large number of fighters to the front line to seize air supremacy on the battlefield.
At the same time, the U.S. Air Force's F22, F35, and F15 will advance from Alaska, Hawaii and other places in the United States to Guam, or a Japanese naval base, to assist the U.S. Navy in fighting for air supremacy in the Asia-Pacific region. The B52 and B2 bombers will fly to the vicinity of the Taiwan Strait with Guam, Hawaii or Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean, launching a large number of cruise missiles and anti-ship missiles outside the CCP’s defense zone.
After that, the third Marine Corps Division stationed in Japan was transported to the Taiwan Marine Corps by the amphibious transport ship as soon as possible. Thanks to the large number of Osprey rotorcraft, it can log in vertically. Immediately afterwards, the 82nd Airborne Division and the 101st Airborne Division were airdropped to the front line through a large fleet of transport aircraft.
This is my analysis of the U.S.'s possible response to the Pacific War, military strategy and tactics, but what shocked me the most about this large-scale military exercise is that it is not only a military exercise, but also a great diplomatic success.
There are exercises with different countries every day. U.S. diplomacy is a great success.
There are daily exercises in the United States and different countries.
For example, currently in the Coral Sea near Australia, the United States, Japan, and Australia are conducting military exercises. The U.S. Marine Corps, the USS American amphibious assault ship of the U.S. Navy, the Canberra-class amphibious assault ship of the Australian Navy and a destroyer of the Japanese Maritime Self-Defense Force are conducting exercises around amphibious landing and island offensive and defense.
The British Queen Elizabeth aircraft carrier arrived in Guam and will conduct another military exercise with Japan and the United States in the Western Pacific.
Thousands of soldiers from Indonesia and the United States conducted a two-week joint exercise from 1 to 13 August 2021. More than 2,100 Indonesian soldiers and more than 1,500 American soldiers participated in the exercise.
At the same time, the Southeast Asia cooperative training military exercise led by the United States is being carried out in Singapore. The military exercise kicked off on 10 August. A total of 21 countries’ navies participated, including Australia, Bangladesh, Brunei, and Canada. , France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Maldives, New Zealand, Philippines, South Korea, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Thailand, East Timor, United Kingdom, United States and Vietnam.
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The number and frequency of U.S. military exercises this year is breathtaking
The number and frequency of US military exercises this year is simply amazing. From 24 June to 11 July this year, the United States and Japan conducted joint exercises on the East Shield. The exercise was attended by 3,000 Japanese Ground Self-Defense Forces and 1,700 American soldiers participated.
In July, a large-scale joint military exercise between Australia and the United States was conducted around Australia. The US amphibious assault ship USS US carried the US Marine Corps long-range strike force to participate in the exercise. After the Shield Sabre exercise ended, the U.S. troops did not leave, and continued to stay in the Western Pacific, conducting joint exercises with Australia and Japan in the Coral Sea.
At the same time, India will send troops into the South China Sea to participate in joint exercises in the Western Pacific, with the United States, Japan, Australia and the United Kingdom.
Back and forth, the United States mobilized 21 countries to participate in various exercises organized by itself, with the goal of deterring the CCP.
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The CCP only found Russia and the exercise was also monitored by the U.S.
The CCP saw that the U.S. and other countries exercise, it also exercises, but compared to the United States, which united 21 countries and conducted a month-long military exercise in 17 time zones, the CCP only found Russia and North Korea did not even participate. On 9 August, China and Russia conducted military exercises in Ningxia. Ten thousand people participated and even the J-20 was dispatched, which was very large.
In the South China Sea, the Chinese Navy conducted a separate military exercise. In addition to the aircraft carrier Shandong, it also included an 075 amphibious assault ship, a 055 guided missile destroyer, and more than 20 other surface ships. The largest military exercise with the strongest firepower.
This exercise only lasted a week, and it started from 5 to 12 August. During the exercise, a missile surveillance aircraft of the US Air Force took off from Okinawa to the South China Sea to conduct reconnaissance activities and observe the whole process.
In addition, the United States has a marine surveillance ship operating in the exercise area. In the core area of the South China Sea, the United States deploys one or two marine surveillance ships throughout the year. In the first half of 2021, there will be at least one marine surveillance ship out of 161 of the 181 days. The ship is deployed in the South China Sea, with an dispatch rate of 89%, and there is almost no window period. It is reported that at the beginning of the exercise, the U.S. marine surveillance ship stayed within the restricted area.
The United States has never been alone in fighting over the past few decades. Although the United States is the number one military and economic power, the Korean War dragged nine countries, including the United Kingdom and Australia, to fight; the Iraq War, the Gulf War, and the Afghanistan War, which war did not drag allies to fight together. The United States not only conducted large-scale military exercises, but also contacted potential allies in the Asia-Pacific region diplomatically against the CCP, strengthened cooperation, and isolated the CCP diplomatically.
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ASEAN envoy to Myanmar calls for four-month ceasefire to deliver aid
Reporter : Siti Rahil, Kyodo News
A special ASEAN envoy to Myanmar said in an interview that he has called for a four-month cease-fire by all sides in the country's conflict to enable the smooth delivery of the first batch of humanitarian assistance to the country expected as early as mid-September.
Speaking exclusively to Kyodo News online Saturday, Erywan Yusof, Brunei's second foreign minister, said he proposed the cease-fire until the end of this year in a videoconference with Myanmar's military-appointed foreign minister, Wunna Maung Lwin, last Tuesday (31 August 2021), and that the military had accepted it.
"This is not a political cease-fire. This is a cease-fire to ensure safety, (and) security of the humanitarian workers" as they go out and distribute aid to the people safely, he said.
"They didn't have any disagreement with what I said, with regards to the cease-fire," the envoy said, adding he has also passed his proposal indirectly to parties opposed to the military's rule following a February coup that ousted the country's democratically elected government.
"I hope the message is passed on to them."
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ASEAN currently preparing humanitarian aid for Myanmar
Aid from the 10-member Association of Southeast Asian Nations is being prepared as the member country struggles with the triple crisis of political turmoil, a faltering economy and the coronavirus pandemic.
With the Indonesia-based ASEAN Coordinating Centre for Humanitarian Assistance tasked with deploying humanitarian assistance to Myanmar, Erywan said, "We are engaging and sending signals to all the concerned parties in Myanmar to stop any violent acts and exercise utmost restraint."
The first batch of aid consists of medical equipment Myanmar urgently needs to help people who have become severely ill from COVID-19, such as oxygen compressors and protective gear, and it goes to "all the people of Myanmar," he said.
Aid bound for border areas controlled by armed ethnic minority groups may be routed by land via neighboring Thailand, he said.
The next step is to procure vaccines for the country, he added.
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Myanmar Junta rejects envoy's request to meet Aung San Suu Kyi
Erywan said that while his negotiations with the Myanmar military to fulfill his mandate are continuing, he hopes to visit the country this month and make it a "substantive visit" that would allow him full access to all parties concerned.
The envoy said he wants to have "a clear picture of what I'm allowed to do and what I'm not allowed to do...so that I can decide whether the visit would go ahead or not."
On his chance of meeting detained leader Aung San Suu Kyi, Erywan said he has "in my discussion with the authorities mentioned that the international community and some of the ASEAN member states have pressed on the need" for him to meet her.
But the envoy said he has not received a green light to meet her. "Not yet. They haven't yet said no but they said let's discuss it further."
Ref: https://english.kyodonews.net/news/2021/09/3cf04433df5f-asean-envoy-to-myanmar-calls-for-4-month-cease-fire-to-deliver-aid.html?phrase=myanmar&words=Myanmar,Myanmar%27s
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Chen Shizhong: The sequences of the virus of the other 2 infected pilots are different in the Delta sequence
Reporter : Lin Huiqin / Ref: https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/life/breakingnews/3662465
3 EVA Air pilots had a breakthrough infection after taking 2 doses of covi vaccine. Originally confirmed case 16066 was infected with the Delta variant, and as for the remaining 2 pilots the results of virus gene sequencing for cases 16119 and 16120 were released on 6 September. Chen Shizhong, the commander of the Central Epidemic Command Centre, said that they are all Delta, but the virus sequence is different.
Three EVA Air pilots had breakthrough infections, all male pilots in their 50s. Among them, case 16066 was previously flown to the United States, and was diagnosed after entering the country on August 27. He was asymptomatic during his stay in Taiwan; case 16119 and Case 16120 was sent to Australia on the same plane and entered the country on 31 August. Case 16119 had dry throat and sputum symptoms on the day of entry. Case 16120 had itchy throat symptoms earlier than the 28th, and both were diagnosed after the examination on 2 September.
However, because case 16120 was dispatched to Australia in Chicago, the United States, the command center initially determined that the case was first infected in Chicago, and then the virus was transmitted to a subsequent flight case, 16119.
Among them, the virus gene infected by case 16066 has been sequenced and confirmed to be Delta. The command center further explained today that the sequencing results of case 16119 and case 16120 are all Delta.
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Afghan Resistance says Taliban claims of victory in Panjshir are false
Reporter : Isabel van Brugen, contributed by Jack Philipps and Reuters / Publisher : The Epoch Times
Anti-Taliban resistance group, the National Resistance Front of Afghanistan (NRFA), on Monday shut down the terrorist group’s claims of victory in the Panjshir Valley—the last Afghan province holding out against the group after it seized control of Kabul on Aug. 15.
“Taliban’s claim of occupying Panjshir is false,” the NRFA said on Twitter. “The NRF forces are present in all strategic positions across the valley to continue the fight. We assure the ppl [sic] of Afghanistan that the struggle against the Taliban & their partners will continue until justice & freedom prevails.”
The resistance group’s statement came shortly after Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid on Monday said that the terrorist group has taken complete control of Panjshir province, located north of Kabul.
“With this victory, our country is completely taken out of the quagmire of war,” the spokesman said.
Ahmad Massoud, the leader of the opposition group resisting Taliban forces, hasn’t yet released a statement on the matter. On Sunday, he said on Facebook that he welcomed proposals from religious scholars for a negotiated settlement to end the fighting.
“The NRF in principle agree to solve the current problems and put an immediate end to the fighting and continue negotiations,” Massoud, the son of a former anti-Soviet fighter, said in the Facebook post.
“To reach a lasting peace, the NRF is ready to stop fighting on condition that Taliban also stop their attacks and military movements on Panjshir and Andarab,” Massoud said, referring to a district in the neighbouring province of Baghlan.
Prior to the Taliban’s latest statement, Fahim Dashti, a spokesman for the NRFA, said that the Taliban is spreading propaganda and trying to spread disinformation. “The resistance forces are ready to continue their defense against any form of aggression,” he said.
Another spokesperson for the resistance group told Al Jazeera on Sunday that they had captured hundreds of Taliban members, adding that their forces surrounded “thousands of terrorists” loyal to the Taliban in Khawak Pass and that the Taliban abandoned vehicles and equipment.
Also speaking to the Qatari-owned broadcaster, Dashti said that 1,000 Taliban members were killed, wounded, or captured in the clashes.
It comes amid reports of heavy fighting continuing for days, with each side claiming it inflicted significant numbers of casualties. Multiple reports of drone attacks on NRFA fighters circulated on social media in the early hours of Monday morning, however, The Epoch Times hasn’t been able to independently verify these accounts.
The Taliban, which swept through the country ahead of the final withdrawal of U.S.-led forces on Aug. 31, were unable to control the valley when they ruled Afghanistan from 1996 to 2001.
Ali Maisam Nazary, head of foreign relations for the NRFA, earlier on Monday, vowed that the resistance group would defeat the Taliban.
“We defeated the Red Army in Panjshir, we will defeat the Taliban,” he told the BBC. “It will be a struggle and challenge, but we have overcome such challenges in the past and we will overcome it in the future.”
See also : https://www.ibtimes.sg/battle-panjshir-balance-taliban-use-advanced-us-weapons-60061
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