Five major changes in the political situation of the Chinese Communist Party this year

Direct translation

Analysis: Five major changes in the political situation of the Chinese Communist Party this year. The party hopes that something will happen to Xi

Editor : Tang Zheng / https://www.ntdtv.com/gb/2024/01/05/a103840547.html / Image : In 2024, the political situation of the Chinese Communist Party is dangerous and full of crises. The picture shows a schematic diagram. (Greg Baker/AFP via Getty Images)

Currently, both the public and within the Chinese Communist Party are discussing or waiting for something to happen to the leader of the Chinese Communist Party, Xi Jinping. Various predictions indicate that the political situation of the Chinese Communist Party this year will be dangerous and crisis-ridden. Some analysts pointed out that the political situation of the Chinese Communist Party may face five major changes in 2024, among which many people in the party hope that something will happen to Xi. The long-simmering anger among the people will become the trigger for dynasty change.

Political commentator Zhong Yuan wrote an article in The Epoch Times on 4 January 2023 to analyze these five major sudden events: 1. Something happened to the leader of the CCP; 2. A strong backlash after the CCP military purge; 3. The consequences of the financial or fiscal crisis; 4. Officials lying down institutional reform fails; 5. Intensification of natural and man-made disasters may trigger civil unrest.

Zhong Yuan said that some prophets have specifically predicted that Xi Jinping will be seriously ill in 2024, which seems to be similar to the predictions of "Tui Bei Tu" and "Iron Ban Book". Experts around Xi are still trying to help him decipher similar prophecies.

Zhong Yuan believes that Xi Jinping’s whereabouts will still be uncertain in 2024, making it difficult for most officials to confirm his specific whereabouts. 2024 is destined to be even more chaotic. The leader of the Communist Party of China is more afraid of something happening, and more and more people in the party hope that something will happen to him. At present, the internal fighting in Xi's camp is becoming open. Once something happens to Xi, it is very likely that there will be a direct fight; people who are anti-Xi or disgusted with Xi are bound to join in and add fuel to the flames.

At the end of December 2023, three senior military industry officials and nine generals of the CCP were removed from their positions in the National People's Congress and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference. Former Defense Minister Ri Sang-bok was dismissed from office in October. There are also reports that a large number of generals may be investigated for involvement in the case.

Zhong Yuan pointed out that CCP generals, regardless of whether they express loyalty or not, are difficult to trust and will be at a loss and full of resentment. Xi's prestige within the military is also in jeopardy. Xi's gun may not be able to hold its grip and may explode at any time. If military officers collude with political careerists, the consequences will be disastrous.

In addition, China's economy is in crisis and the authorities are helpless.

Zhong Yuan said that the "Party Central Committee" does not know how to manage, and the failures in the past year have caused officials to lose confidence. If a financial or fiscal crisis occurs and the "Party Central Committee" handles it improperly, the CCP's bureaucracy may be fundamentally shaken or even completely collapsed.

In the ten years since the leader of the Communist Party of China came to power, he has centralized power and put the political "loyalty" of officials first. Every official is in danger. More and more capable officials choose to "lay down" and resign in an evasive manner.

Zhong Yuan said that the CCP's institutional reform is an attempt to protect the party and power, and it is also giving rise to a new governance crisis; if it fails, it will be tantamount to chaos, and more people may suffer. Qin Gang and Li Shangfu are just precedents.

Besides, the anger among the people is even more boiling. In the past three years, the "dynamic clearing" epidemic prevention policy personally directed by Xi Jinping has severely damaged the Chinese economy. During the “white paper revolution” last November, people chanted slogans such as “The Communist Party should step down” and “Xi Jinping should step down”.

Zhong Yuan said that China's economy is in critical condition and it is very difficult for ordinary people to find jobs and survive. Any disaster may take away everything from them. More CCP officials lying flat will inevitably lead to inaction, random actions, bullying of superiors and subordinates, etc. This ignited the long-simmering anger in the hearts of the people and became the trigger for the change of dynasty.

Jin Hua (pseudonym), an executive of a well-known Chinese media group, previously told The Epoch Times that judging from the officials he has contacted within the CCP system, the vast majority of officials are dissatisfied with the current situation of the system. They are dissatisfied with the perverse actions of the CCP leader for more than ten years. and fooling around, leading to economic stagnation and recession.

Jinhua pointed out that the higher the official position in the system and the more economically developed areas, the higher the vigilance and the more opportunities there are for escape. Leaving a way out means transferring assets overseas and arranging children abroad as much as possible.

On 25 December 2023, Mainland China's Caixin Weekly published an editorial, repeating Deng Xiaoping's remarks that reform and opening up should rely on "seeking truth from facts," and implicitly criticizing Xi for "misleading the party and the country." The article was immediately blocked. On 31 December, when Caixin published the article "There Will Be a Farewell in 2023" which was also deleted, the Weibo account of Caixin Media President Hu Shuli was also deleted.

On 31 December 2023, Xi delivered a New Year's greeting. He also boasted that 2023 had "achieved heavy harvests"; he also said that 2023 had "experienced ups and downs... Everyone will remember the difficulty of the year." etc.

Current affairs commentator Zhou Xiaohui recently wrote an article saying that Xi still insists on bragging about the so-called "gains" the CCP has made in various aspects, but behind these words, he reveals the lack of confidence and weakness of the authorities.

On 3 January 2024, Yuan Hongbing, a legal scholar living in Australia, published an article on the front page of Taiwan's "Liberty Times" and disclosed that people within the CCP system reported that the "Red Second Generation" group with Liu Yuan, Liu Shaoqi's son, as the core has formed a political consensus. The Red second generation who participated in the anti-Xi joint signature include Liu Yuan, Deng Pufang, Hu Deping, etc.

The author Liu Fang recently published an article on the Internet and analyzed that all strata in China are waiting for changes in China. The people are waiting, officials are waiting, even high-level officials of the Communist Party of China are waiting, and even overseas people are waiting. What are you waiting for? Everyone is tacitly aware of this. There are various signs that the tipping point has been reached and such a regime cannot last long.

Other reactions

A sign of change? Rumours about the CCP’s bizarre politics are spreading

Editor : Shang Yan / Reporter : Luo Ya / https://www.ntdtv.com/gb/2024/01/04/a103840399.html

Bizarre news about the political situation of the Chinese Communist Party has been frequently circulated among the Chinese people recently, such as the collective rebellion of the second generation red generation, the arrest of Liu He, the resignation of Li Qiang, the defection of Geng Shuang and his wife, etc. Analysts pointed out that, Even though people know that the news is bizarre, they still spread it. This in itself reflects a social psychology and people's minds are changing.

Around the New Year of 2024, bizarre news about the political situation of the Chinese Communist Party is frequently circulated among the people. The latest rumor is that the second generation of red people signed a petition to oppose Xi Jinping.

Yuan Hongbing, a liberal jurist living in Australia, published an article on the front page of Taiwan's "Liberty Times" on January 3, quoting sources of conscience within the CCP system, saying that the second-generation red group with Liu Yuan, Liu Shaoqi's son as the core, has reached a political consensus and believes that In the ten years since Xi Jinping came to power, he has completely betrayed the line of reform and opening up, regressed to the line of the Cultural Revolution, prepared to launch a war across the Taiwan Strait, implemented personal dictatorship, adopted wolf warrior diplomacy, and made enemies on all sides. They therefore call for Xi Jinping to be stripped of power and the Chinese Communist Party to be transformed into the Chinese Social Democratic Party.

The article stated that the second generation red generation participating in the anti-Xi petition included Liu Yuan, Deng Xiaoping's son Deng Pufang, Hu Yaobang's son Hu Deping, Chen Yun's son Chen Yuan, Ma Wenrui's daughter Ma Xiaoli, Luo Ruiqing's daughter Luo Diandian, as well as the children of Ye Jianying, He Long, Xu Xiangqian, etc. etc., as well as Bo Yibo’s children, except for the imprisoned Bo Xilai. In addition, a group of military generals also participated in the joint signature.

Li Hengqing, an economist living in the United States, said that he also saw this news a few days ago. He said that the second generation of Reds are indeed very dissatisfied with Xi Jinping and also want to protect the party.

Li Hengqing, an economist living in the United States: "I also know a group of so-called red second generation or official second generation. They actually have this idea. We will gradually turn the CCP into a social democratic party. In this case, they may have allowed the Communist Party to escape the calamity of life and death that followed but because the Communist Party has committed too many crimes during its more than seventy years in power, so many crimes. Therefore, after the great changes in society, if the Communist Party was still able to survive. it is very difficult."

However, Li Hengqing believes that it is unlikely that the red second generation of people will sign a petition to oppose Xi.

Li Hengqing: "I said I don't believe this news. It's because we can't assemble now. Once they assemble, they will be purged immediately. This purge may be life-and-death. Because people like them are all recruited by the Central Security Bureau or the National Security Bureau of the Ministry of Public Security is closely monitoring it. Therefore, the possibility of such a gathering being able to form a joint statement is very small."

Another recent rumour concerns Caixin Media president Hu Shuli. The editorial "Revisiting the Ideological Line of Seeking Truth from Facts" published by Caixin at the end of last year was quickly removed from the shelves, and the topic "There will be a difference in 2023" published later was also deleted. Subsequently, rumours spread about "Hu Shuli was interviewed" and "Hu Shuli's Weibo was cleared". Hu Shuli posted on WeChat Moments on 1 January this year to "report safety."

Bizarre news that came out at the end of last year also included: Li Qiang, the Communist Party of China, has resigned due to suppression, and former Vice Prime Minister Liu He was arrested. For fear of being implicated by Qin Gang, the deputy representative of the Communist Party of China to the United Nations, Geng Shuang, and his wife defected to the United States, etc.

Tang Jingyuan, a current affairs commentator living in the United States: "There have been a lot of bizarre political rumors recently in the CCP political arena. This itself illustrates a huge problem. It shows that people within the CCP system are now panicked. Almost everyone has it. A strong doomsday mentality will lead to rumours such as who has defected today, who will be arrested tomorrow, etc. This information is reflected from one side, that is, the top leaders of the party are now leaving themselves to find a way out.”

Li Hengqing said that he regards these bizarre rumors as a kind of "performance art".

Li Hengqing: "It actually reflects public opinion. For example, if I make a rumour and others ignore it, how can it spread so widely? And as soon as this 'rumour' comes out, it will spread all over the world." You know, everyone is spreading the word. This action of spreading is a very important manifestation of social psychology. It represents that the majority of people are dissatisfied with the political life of the current society, so they take the initiative to tell the truth even if everyone knows it is false."

Li Hengqing gave an example. In the last years of dynasties in Chinese history, people's minds changed, and bizarre rumors often appeared. For example, in the last years of the Qin Dynasty, before Chen Sheng and Wu Guang rose up, they wrote the words "King Chen Sheng" on cloth, hid it in the belly of a fish, and sold it to the soldiers. Rumors are flying all over China right now, which is a reflection of today's society. Something bigger may happen to China's political situation this year, and no one can predict it.

Breaking news: They are planning to overthrow Xi and establish a new political party 

Editor : Fang Xun / Source : The Epoch Times / https://www.aboluowang.com/2024/0104/1999349.html

Image : Recently, news has spread within the CCP system that a group of backbone members of the second generation of the CCP have reached a political consensus and are planning to overthrow Xi Jinping and establish a new political party. The picture shows CCP soldiers standing guard at the Great Hall of the People at the closing of the National People's Congress meeting on 3 March 2015.

Recently, Yuan Hongbing, a Chinese liberal jurist living in Australia, revealed that the leader of the Communist Party of China, Xi Jinping, is facing the most severe political crisis since he took office. The second-generation red group, with Liu Yuan, the son of former Chinese Communist Party president Liu Shaoqi, as its core, has formed a political consensus. They are planning to overthrow Xi Jinping and establish a new political party.

Yuan Hongbing broke the news in this commentary article titled "How the Severe Political Crisis of the Chinese Communist Party Affects the Situation in Taiwan." According to a conscientious person within the Chinese Communist Party system, the specific contents of the consensus reached by these second-generation red generations are:

1. During his ten years in power, Xi Jinping has completely abandoned and deviated from the CCP’s reform and opening up line, and fully regressed to the political, ideological and economic line of the “Cultural Revolution” period, leading to a comprehensive crisis in politics, economy, society and diplomacy. These crises have reached a serious level that shakes the rule of the Chinese Communist Party. The most serious thing is that Xi Jinping is pushing the country to enter a wartime system in preparation for launching a war in the Taiwan Strait. If left unchecked, China will face unprecedented risks of war.

2. Xi Jinping destroyed “democratic centralism” and implemented personal dictatorship. Over the past ten years, China's economy has irreversibly deteriorated sharply, people's livelihood has been difficult, the national finance is on the verge of bankruptcy, public resentment is boiling, official sentiment is turbulent, and a comprehensive social crisis is imminent. In the field of international diplomacy, Xi Jinping abandoned Deng Xiaoping's strategy of "hiding one's strength and biding time" for development. He became blindly arrogant, attacked on all sides, and adopted wolf-warrior diplomacy, which resulted in the CCP becoming an international public enemy in the system of developed countries.

3. In view of the above unavoidable facts, in order to prevent Xi Jinping from leading the country into unprecedented perversity, the red second generation of people will take action to launch an epoch-making democratic political reform and deprive Xi Jinping of the power to control China's national destiny. The Communist Party of China will be transformed into the Chinese Social Democratic Party, and China will implement a democratic socialist parliamentary political system. At the same time, we abandon the national policy of threatening Taiwan with force and comprehensively improve relations with the United States, Japan, the European Union, the United Kingdom, Australia and other countries.

Conscience sources revealed that the second generation of Reds who formed the above consensus include Liu Yuan, son of Liu Shaoqi, Deng Pufang, son of Deng Xiaoping, Hu Deping, son of Hu Yaobang, Chen Yuan, son of Chen Yun, Ma Xiaoli, daughter of Ma Wenrui, and Luo Diandian, daughter of Luo Ruiqing. In addition, the children of veterans of the CCP military, including Ye Jianying, He Long, Nie Rongzhen, Xu Xiangqian, Su Yu, Xu Haidong, and Wang Zhen, are also co-signers of the consensus. In addition, the children of CCP veteran Bo Yibo also participated in the petition, except for Bo Xilai who was unable to sign because he was still in detention.

The conscientious person also revealed that a group of military generals who are considered confidants by Xi Jinping also participated in the petition. Xi Jinping’s purges of the Rocket Force and former Defense Minister Ri Sang-bok are proof of this.

Yuan Hongbing stated in the article that a few years ago, he called Xi Jinping the "small and stupid Mao Zedong." Now, this title has been widely circulated among the second generation of red people and officialdom. The signatures this time include almost all the most influential family members of the second generation of the Communist Party of China. It can be said that this is an unprecedented political crisis faced by Xi Jinping since he took over the supreme power.

Yuan Hongbing also said that the backbone of the second generation of Reds, their fathers and brothers were subjected to Mao Zedong’s brutal political purges during the “Cultural Revolution”, and some were even persecuted to death.

He wrote: "This time, the reason why the second generation of Reds with Liu Yuan as the core dared to publicly inform the international community of their political reforms is also based on a basic judgment: If Xi Jinping follows Mao Zedong's example and implements political revolution against these second generation of Reds again, The persecution will inevitably ignite the anger within the CCP against Xi Jinping, and Xi Jinping will surely burn himself by playing with fire."

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