Monday, March 21, 2022

Baoshan-Kunming passengers spared from MU5735 crash, Rescue matters

 Research, editing : Gan Yung Chyan, KUCINTA SETIA

News on aviation management, CCP, Russia, Ukraine

News (1)

Baoshan-Kunming passengers spared from MU5735 crash

  Image of China Eastern flight MU5735 operated by B737-800NG (B-1791) / B737-89P and owned by China Eastern Airlines Yunnan Company in Kunming before the crash: Researcher's Picture



According to FlightRadar24, the misfortunate China Eastern flight MU5735 aircraft in China Eastern Yunnan peacock livery originally planned to depart from Baoshan to Kunming at 8.35 am on 21 March 2022 but it was re-scheduled to depart from Kunming for Guangzhou instead. Thus the Chinese passengers who were unable to board the Baoshan-Kunming flight were spared from death.

MU5735 crashed in Langnan Township near Teng county, Wuzhou, Guangxi while on the way to Guangzhou. The flight carrying 132 passengers departed from Kunming for Guangzhou at 1.11 pm and was expected to arrive in Guangzhou at 3.05 pm. The B737-800 aircraft is owned by China Eastern Airlines Yunnan Company (formerly China Eastern Yunnan Airlines, Yunnan Airlines).

News (2)

MU5735's two-minute death plunge

Reporter : James Gant, Daily Mail
                                 
                                                          Image : Researcher's Picture


A Boeing 737 that plummeted 30,000ft to the ground and burst into flames in China killing all 132 on board suffered a catastrophic 'loss of control event' and plunged to the ground at 350 mph in a two-minute death spiral, experts have warned.

The China Eastern Airlines flight nosedived before smashing into the hillside and erupting in a huge fireball near the city of Wuzhou in Teng county in the southern province of Guangxi.

A rescue official reportedly said the plane had completely disintegrated while a fire sparked by the crash ripped through bamboo and trees before being put out. China Eastern expressed "deep condolences" after confirming the fatalities. 

Horrifying CCTV footage emerged on social media supposedly showing the jet racing vertically towards the ground in the moments before the smash. 

FlightRadar24 tracking data showed the aircraft cruising at 29,100ft at 2.20pm. Around two minutes later it had plummeted to just over 9,000 feet and 20 seconds after that it had fallen to just 3,225ft. The data indicates a vertical descent of 31,000ft per minute or around 350 mph. 

President Xi Jinping said that he was "shocked" by the incident and immediately ordered an investigation into the cause.

It is not yet clear what forced the sudden dip and crash, but aviation experts told MailOnline it may have been "a loss of control event, possibly following a high altitude stall of the aircraft" or a sensory failure in the cockpit.

The plane, flight number MU5735 from Kunming to Guangzhou, is believed to be a Boeing 737-89P, which is not part of the MAX series that has been dogged by problems in recent years.

The crash will renew calls for China to make its aviation safety record - which is considered good but allegedly sees an underreporting of safety lapses - more transparent.

China's Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC) said the aircraft lost contact over the city of Wuzhou.

It had 123 passengers and nine crew on board. State media said earlier there were 133 people on board.

The CAAC said in a statement, "The CAAC has activated the emergency mechanism and sent a working group to the scene.'

The Aviation Safety Network said, "We are following multiple unconfirmed reports about a possible accident involving China Eastern Airlines flight #MU5735 a Boeing 737-89P (B-1791) en route from Kunming to Guangzhou, China."

President Xi said, "We are shocked to learn of the China Eastern MU5735 accident."

He also called for "all efforts" towards the rescue and to find out the "cause of the accident as soon as possible".

One villager told a local news site the plane involved in the crash had "completely fallen apart" and he had seen forest destroyed by the fire caused by the crash.

A local official added, "The exact location of the accident was Langnan township in Teng county."

The flight departed the southwestern city of Kunming at 1.11pm (5.11pm GMT), FlightRadar24 data showed.

News (3)

China Eastern 737-800NG crashed after celebrating "100 million hours of safe flight"

Reported by : Huang Zishan, editor in charge of Hong Kong 01

Image : Researcher's Picture

On 21 March, a Boeing 737 of China Eastern Yunnan Branch Company lost contact over Wuzhou, Guangxi. The Civil Aviation Authority has confirmed the plane crashed. Before the crash of the China Eastern passenger plane, the civil aviation industry in mainland China had maintained continuous and safe flight for 138 consecutive months, and the accumulated time exceeded 100 million hours. On 25 February this year, CCTV news reported that China's civil aviation has set a new record in terms of safe flight. The continuous safe flight of transport aviation has reached 137 months, and the cumulative time has exceeded 100 million hours, setting a new world record.

Image : Just after celebrating the "accumulated 100 million hours of safe flight", the China Eastern Airlines 737 crashed. The official media PO released the scene of the China Eastern Airlines flight. (Photo/Retrieved from People's Daily Weibo)

According to the report, the three major safety indicators, including the ten-year rolling value of the number of fatalities per 100 million passenger-km in China's civil aviation transport, the ten-year rolling value of the million-hour major accident rate, and the ten-year rolling value of the one million sorties major accident rate, have all dropped to "0". , far better than the world average in the same period, and also better than the level of major developed countries. In the past five years, the 10,000-hour rate of China's civil aviation liability and serious liability symptoms has been the lowest in history, and the quality of safe operation has continued to improve.

The crashed model is a Boeing 737-800NG, 6.8 years old. There were 132 people on board, including 123 passengers and 9 crew members. The casualties are unknown. 

News (4) to (6) / Reporters : James Gant etal., Daily Mail Boeing 737 passenger jet carrying 133 crashes in rural China | Daily Mail Online

News (4)

China Eastern grounds all its B737-800 jets

Image : Researcher's Picture


China Eastern has grounded all of its Boeing 737-800 aircraft today after 132 people died when their passenger jet crashed in Langnan Township near Teng county, Wuzhou after suddenly nose-diving and plummeting 30,000ft in two minutes an hitting the ground at 350mph. 

State media reported all 737-800s in China Eastern's fleet were ordered grounded, the model is the predecessor to the controversial 737 MAX model but is regarded as safe despite a series of crashes over its long history, 

Boeing shares sank by more than 4 percent in the morning of 21 March 2022 Eastern time, in the latest catastrophe to hit the firm after the 737 MAX crashes caused by faulty flight control software led to the indictment of Boeing's top pilot, a $225 million settlement with investors and a $2.5 billion payout to the families of those killed.  

News (5)

Plane ripped through bamboo forest

Image : Video Screenshot (Daily Mail)
Image : Xinhua/Shutterstock
Image : Twitter -@FATIIAviation


A rescue official reportedly said the plane had completely disintegrated while a fire sparked by the crash ripped through bamboo and trees before being put out.

FlightRadar24 tracking data showed the aircraft cruising at 29,100ft at 2.20pm. Around two minutes later it had plummeted to just over 9,000ft and 20 seconds after that it had fallen to just 3,225ft. The data indicates a vertical descent of 31,000ft per minute or around 350 mph.

Altitude data also appears to show aircraft regain height at around 75,000 feet before beginning its final descent.  

News (6)

Families in Kunming received news of crash late

Image : Researcher's Picture

Families of those onboard gathered in China Eastern Airlines Yunnan Company late on 21 March 2022 (Monday) and were assisted by staff as they wait for news of their loved ones. 

The flight departed the southwestern city of Kunming at 1.11 pm (5.11 pm GMT), FlightRadar24 data showed. But tracking ended at 2.22 pm (6.22 am GMT) at an altitude of 3,225 feet with a speed of 376 knots. The plane had been cruising at an altitude 29,100 feet at 6.20am GMT, according to FlightRadar24 data.

Just over two minutes and 15 seconds later, the next available data showed it had descended to 9,075 feet. In another 20 seconds, its last tracked altitude was 3,225 feet. It had been due to land in Guangzhou, on the east coast, at 3.05 pm (7.05 am GMT).  

News (7)

Image : Researcher's Picture

MU5375 crashed from an altitude of 9,000 m. Industry analysis of three major reasons

Reporter : Xue Fei / Editor: Xu Gengwen / https://www.ntdtv.com/gb/2022/03/21/a103379612.html /  Image : A scene of surveillance footage showed that the crashed passenger plane of China Eastern flight MU5735 was swooping down into the mountains in a vertical manner. (Video screenshot)


Flight MU5735 crashed in Teng County, Wuzhou, Guangxi. The flight path screen showed that the plane fell from a height of nearly 9,000 m to the ground in a "cliff-like" manner within 2 minutes. A live surveillance footage also showed that the passenger plane swooped down the mountain in a vertical manner. The picture is shocking, and people speculate about the cause of the crash.

The real-time flight data of MU5735 shows that at 14:20, the altitude of the aircraft was 8869.68 m, and at 14:22, the altitude was 1333.5 m, and the local altitude of Wuzhou was about 200-300 meters.

According to The Paper and other media reports, China Eastern Airlines crashed the 737 passenger plane. The moment before the crash crashed to the ground, it was captured by a surveillance camera from a nearby mine, showing that the passenger plane was swooping down into the mountains in a vertical manner. The surveillance voiceover said, "Whoops! Just drop down."

The staff of Wuzhou Beichen Mining Co., Ltd., a company that captured the surveillance footage, said that at the time of the incident, he was working on a hill in the mining area, which was about three or four km away from where the plane crashed. Suddenly I heard an explosion, "I thought someone was firing a salute on the hill next door. The explosion didn't last long. I didn't expect the plane to crash."

Rescue forces that arrived first found wreckage and debris from the airliner, but no remains of the victims.

An aviation professional told "Upstream News" that the last ADS-B radar data of MU5735 showed that the plane had been rapidly dropping altitude before it lost contact with the ground, "even if both engines of the 737 airliner failed at the same time, it would not It is possible to fall at this speed, and the plane can also fly some distance by gliding."

The professional believes that the flight MU5735 fell more than 8,000 m in the last two minutes, and the distance between the wreckage of the wing and the main wreckage indicates that the aircraft disintegrated before it touched the ground. It also illustrates this point."

The official Weibo account of the traffic channel of Caijing magazine, "Traveling a Guest", quoted a civil aviation industry insider, Li Hanming, who analyzed that the cruising altitude of a passenger plane dropped sharply within a few minutes. There are generally several reasons for accidents in this situation. "One is that the pilot intends to commit suicide. , the second is being hit by foreign objects such as missiles, and the third is the problem of aircraft design or maintenance."

In 1997, a SilkAir passenger plane crashed in Indonesia in a similar situation, the report said. A subsequent investigation by the local government found that the reason was probably because the captain (Zhu Weimin) wanted to die after his investment failed.

However, he believes that this is unlikely. Because the CAAC has long established a requirement for the number of cockpit crew members to be kept at least two in flight, the airlines have incorporated this requirement into the "Operation Manual", and it is unlikely that one person will insist.

However, there was news on the Internet that the pilot Zhu Weimin (note, the name of the captain of this flight is not Zhu Weimin, the source suspected to have borrowed the name of the Indonesian captain to insinuate a similar air disaster) was suspected of financial problems, so he paid the co-pilot and turned off the cockpit recorder during the flight. The plane crashed. But the news has not been verified.

As for the other two possibilities, the passenger plane was shot down by foreign objects such as missiles, which has happened in history, but Li Hanming believes that the probability of occurrence in China is relatively small.

As for the third reason, the problem of aircraft design or maintenance. "This type of aircraft was introduced to American Airlines in 1998, and there have been fewer than 15 air crashes in 24 years, which is unlikely to be a design issue. Most of these crashes occurred during take-off and landing due to bad weather. And there is no similar record for an aircraft that fell like this at a cruising altitude," Li Hanming said.

According to public information, the crashed flight was a B737-800NG passenger plane with registration number B1791 and an age of 6.8 years. It was delivered to China Eastern Airlines Yunnan Company in 2015.

As of the end of February 2022, there are 1,189 B737-800 aircraft in the fleet of mainland Chinese passenger airlines, of which China Southern has 163 aircraft, ranking first among mainland Chinese passenger airlines. The official website of the Civil Aviation Administration shows that as of March 21, 2022, China's civil aviation has maintained a safety record of 4,227 days.

News (8) to (14) / Host : Qin Peng / Publisher : Qin Peng Live / https://www.ntdtv.com/gb/2022/03/21/a103379984.html

Image : Web Screenshot

News (8)

China Eastern mourn deaths of MU5735 crash, three major reasons analyzed by industrial insiders deleted

At about 4 pm of 21 March 2022, the official website and app page of China Eastern Airlines have been adjusted to black and white.
Among them, at the moment when the MU5735 plane fell, a company only 5.8 km away from the crash site, the surveillance camera of Beichen Mining in Wuzhou City, Guangxi, captured the scene at that time. This is the most precious video at present. 
After the incident, some local villagers rushed to the scene as soon as possible, and also photographed some fragments of the plane. Let's take a look too.
The villagers said that it was a passenger plane that crashed. It was located in Lacquered Wood Chong, Datangkou, Niulang Village, Langnan Town. No one saw a single plane. It should have hit the mountain and flew up, causing the plane to explode into pieces. He also said that the Guangxi Wuzhou Fire Brigade has rushed to the scene.
Afterwards, the Chinese fire department arrived, and their drone footage showed that no basically intact plane or large pieces of debris could be seen at the scene, proving that the plane was shattered and disintegrated. This is also relatively rare in a plane crash and may result in no survivors.
Later, the CCP media reported that Xi Jinping requested an investigation, made every effort to organize search and rescue, and dealt with the aftermath. Li Keqiang also made similar instructions, and also called for "seeking truth from facts, releasing information in a timely and accurate manner, earnestly and seriously identifying the cause of the accident, and taking effective measures to strengthen civil aviation safety management."
CCTV News also said at present, relevant departments such as the China Aviation Administration and the Emergency Management Department have sent a working group to the scene to guide the disposal, and dispatched rescue forces from Guangxi and Guangdong to the scene to participate in the rescue. At present, the investigation of the cause of the accident is also underway.
This air crash has aroused great attention from the entire Internet. At noon EST today, I saw that the cumulative number of views of the #MU5735 hashtag on Weibo has reached 1.67 billion times. After more than an hour, it was displayed 320 million times before it became 480 million times again. According to my analysis, this is most likely because the CCP officials want to reduce the popularity of the incident but the popularity of the crash remains high.
News (9)
MU5735 the worst air crash after Henan Airlines ERJ-190 crash
Why does this event attract so much attention? Because of the large-scale air disaster in China, the last time was 12 years ago. On 24 August 2010, the ERJ-190 of Henan Airlines crashed at the landing stage of Yichun Airport. The accident killed 44 people and injured 52 people, mainly due to pilot error and complicated weather. This time, China Eastern Airlines' worst accident in history is also the 8th serious accident in the Boeing 737 series.
However, this time the aircraft is not the fourth-generation 737MAX aircraft of the Boeing 737 that caused the Ethiopian Airlines and Indonesia aviation accidents but a mature model 737-800 manufactured by the American Boeing Company. The service life of this aircraft is only 6.8 years. Calculated according to the normal use time of 20 years, the aircraft is still in the prime of life, and the factors of aging and overdue service of the aircraft can basically be ruled out.
From the weather, it can basically be ruled out. The plane was flying in the easternmost part of the Guangxi region, where weather reports did not show any possible contributing factors. Around 2 pm, the temperature reached 86 degrees Fahrenheit, according to the China Meteorological Administration. Winds were moderate at less than 12 miles per hour and visibility was 10 miles. Rain was expected at night but no precipitation was measured at the time of the crash.
News (10)
There are four bizarre phenomena in the plane crash
Yet the accident happened. Moreover, based on various information on the Internet, there are four bizarre phenomena in this plane crash: 1. The plane "completely disintegrated", 2. No emergency code was sent, 3. It flew down vertically at high speed, and dropped as high as 2 within 2 seconds. More than 10,000 feet, 4. There was also a mysterious momentary pull during the period.
First, the "complete disintegration" of the plane meant that almost no one was spared, and we express our condolences to those who lost their lives.
There are generally two situations when this result occurs, one is disintegration in the air, and the other is disintegration after hitting a mountain. It can be seen from the slow motion of the surveillance video footage of Wuzhou Mining Company that when the plane is in the air, the wings are still intact, which shows that the smashing disintegration occurred after hitting the mountain.
Second, the crew did not send emergency codes to the ground. It was odd that the plane had neither an emergency code nor an answer to a call on the ground.
After a passenger plane takes off, it will be set to cruise state, allowing the plane to fly stably by itself. Aircraft crashes often occur during take-off and landing, but this MU5735 was in a stable cruise state before the accident, flying at an altitude of 29,100 feet, or about 8,900 meters. In this case, unless there is an explosion, sudden disintegration, complete power outage and communication failure, the crew generally has time at cruise altitude to issue an emergency code, or at least communicate with the ground.
Third, the plane landed at 20,000 feet in an instant. In China, people who fly often use two softwares, one is the domestic software @feichangzhun and the other is @flightradar24. Both show a rapid descent from 8,900 m to nearly 0 m before the plane crashed.
@Flightradar24 tweeted, "About 2.20 pm, MU5735 'suddenly started to lose altitude very quickly'. While cruising at 29,100 feet, in just over a minute, it was lost more than 21,000 feet. According to Flightradar24, it appears to briefly regain about 8,000 feet before continuing its descent."
On this altitude data sheet by @Flightradar24  there is a set of data Vspeed in the far right column, which stands for "Vertical Descent Speed", we see several as high as about 31,000 ft/min, converted to km, Fly down at up to 600 kilometers per hour!
We know that the shape design of the aircraft is in line with the aerodynamics. In the cruising state, if it is only the failure of the aircraft engine, there will be a gliding state, that is, it will continue to sway forward while descending slowly. For example, the normal emergency descent rate is about six or seven thousand feet per minute, but now it is descending at 5-6 times the speed, and it is almost head-down high-speed driving. What is the reason for this?
Fourth, during the rapid descent of the plane, there was a mysterious pull-up.
In both @Flightradar24 and the altitude display (yellow line) of the flying constant accuracy, it can be seen that the aircraft did not go all the way down during the rapid descent. After descending to more than 8,000 feet, the altitude once recovered before starting down again.
Twitter @Flightradar24: "You can see the descent of flight #MU5735 in there. Something pushes the nose down, then lifts the nose up, raises it a little, and finally lowers the oncoming plane again. angle until it hits the ground."
However, a professional corrected, "Just because you know the altitude and vertical speed of the aircraft, doesn't mean you know its attitude relative to the horizon. The aircraft can dive with the nose up (AF447). Don't say "raise" and "Lower" the nose (the nose). Say climb/descent."
The professional also said in English that, in terms of time, "The plane lasted for almost a minute, going down at 31,000 ft/min, and the nose was flying at an angle of almost 70 degrees down. Then, the plane rose sharply because it shows 8,400 ft/min, which is a very steep climb."
This is a strange move. This shows that, at least at the time, the pilot was not in a coma, but was awake, and during the rapid descent of the plane, he pulled the plane upward again. However, for some reason, maybe a mechanical failure, maybe something else, the plane then went down again.
This is also the same video we saw in the last moment.
One Chinese netizen described the strange moment this way, "It looks like one pilot tried to crash the plane. Then another pilot briefly regained control. Finally, the plane stalled and dived vertically... #MU5735#China Eastern Airlines."
However, this also seems too a conspiracy theory.
News (11)
Industry insiders analyze three possibilities, pilot suicide actions are listed as the first
However, such a statement is not just an amateur's guess. Professionals also believe that there is such a possibility. At 5.49 pm on the 21st, Beijing time, Sina.com published an interview with professionals called "Traveling a Guest" (ID: carcaijing). Among the various possibilities he analyzed, the first one was that the pilot committed suicide!
The civil aviation professional said that aircraft flight is generally divided into three stages: take-off and climb, cruise, approach and landing. "In the take-off, climb and approach and landing phases, the pilot has to do a lot of things. If there is an error in the busy schedule, it will cause an accident. But during the level flight cruise phase, the pilot is very leisurely, basically listening to the radio and monitoring the status of the aircraft. All are handed over to the aircraft's aviation system to fly by itself. The only thing that can cause an accident is the weather or a malfunction."
The weather factor, as earlier said, the local climate is good, and the cruising altitude of 8,900 m is above the clouds, there is no airflow disturbance or anything like that. The airflow problem makes it difficult to keep the plane upside down.
Li Hanming, a person in the civil aviation industry, said to Travel Yike, "The cruising altitude of a passenger plane drops sharply within a few minutes. There are generally several reasons for accidents in this situation. One is that the pilot intends to commit suicide, and the other is that he was hit by a foreign object such as a missile. Down, the third is the issue of aircraft design or maintenance."
In 1997, a passenger plane of Singapore's SilkAir crashed in Indonesia in a similar situation. Later investigations by the local government found that it was most likely because the captain wanted to die after his investment failed. However, Li Hanming said, "However, this situation is unlikely. China's civil aviation has already made a regulation on the number of cockpit crew members on flights of not less than 2 people, and various airlines have incorporated this regulation into the "Operation" Manual", it is unlikely that one person will fly."
However, we also mentioned the situation that netizens guessed above, and two pilots were fighting for control of the plane. In theory at least, this situation cannot be completely ruled out.
So, could the passenger plane be shot down by foreign objects such as missiles? Li Hanming believes that it has happened in history, but it is less likely in China. In 2014, Malaysia Airlines Flight MH17 was shot down by an anti-aircraft missile while flying through Ukraine.
The third reason is the problem of aircraft design or maintenance. However, Li Minghan thinks it is unlikely. He said, "This type of aircraft was introduced to American Airlines in 1998. There have been less than 15 air crashes in 24 years, which is unlikely to be a design problem. Most of these air crashes were due to bad takeoff and landing phases during bad weather, and such a crash at cruising altitude has not been recorded."
At present, this article on Sina.com has been deleted. For what reason, we do not know the reason for the deletion.
It was rumoured on the Internet that it may be that the captain and pilot had a debt problem, and the co-pilot was hired halfway. However, this statement is also worth scrutinizing, that is, now that the plane has crashed, how do other people "see" a process? How did that bizarre final pull happen? Could it be that the ground staff overheard the pilot's conversation with the co-pilot? ——We cannot confirm or falsify the statement of this conspiracy theory, so we also put this possibility here and wait for the investigation afterwards.
In addition, there are also rumors on the Internet that this flight has a second co-pilot, that is, in addition to the general first and co-pilot, there is also a trainee pilot, so how does the captain pay for them?
So, since it cannot be proven, why do I say there is still a possibility?
News (12)
The aviation industry is miserable, and flight professionals talk about several possibilities for the accident
Because after the accident, an industry insider said on the Internet [Ask me what I think], "The epidemic has changed everything in the civil aviation industry. The civil aviation industry as a whole has been depressed for two years. The income of pilots has dropped by 10% to 40%, and the flight attendants have also cut their salaries immediately. The loss is too great. Last year, one of the three major airlines sold pilots and recovered several hundred million yuan. Yes, it is the pilots who sold the inventory. Literally, you go out and work flexibly. The aviation industry is terrible now, but the public does not know it."
The person also said, "Xiao Fei complained that the supply of houses will be cut off, the whole industry is unstable, and the flow of personnel has increased dramatically. What does this mean for an industry that relies on safety to survive?"
News (13)
5 aviation accidents in mainland China in 2021-2022
1. Qingdao Airlines crushed a mechanic
2. A China Eastern B737 jet  went to the ground in Yulin
3. Lucky Air landing gear safety pin is not pulled out
4. A large area of ​​spider web cracks in the windshield of Juneyao Air
5. At 10 am on 10 March, a flight of 9air made an emergency landing at Changsha Airport due to a fire in the cargo compartment. Some passengers reported that the wing was bent (citing The Paper)
This is less than a year, China's civil aviation industry has never had such a poor safety record, never! Such a shameful thing, civil aviation..."
News (14)
China Eastern reported huge losses under the pandemic
On 21 March 2022, Yidian Finance also reported that "China Eastern Airlines crash: Strictly control maintenance costs and reduce costs under the pressure of tens of billions of huge losses".
Of course, many people also talked about other possibilities that could lead to a plane crash.
The WeChat public account of Golden Horn Finance quoted professionals in the Chinese aviation industry and gave several other possibilities:
The first is that there is a huge energy object inside the plane, and the sudden impact caused this accident.
However, this possibility, we have just seen from the flight video, the plane seems to be intact at the last moment, if the huge energy object hits, there will be an explosion, the plane will smoke, or it will disintegrate in the air.
News (15)
The latest progress in the rescue: Debris of the aircraft wreckage has been found but no missing persons on board have been found

According to CCTV News, at present, ①The debris of the plane has been found at the scene but no missing persons on the plane have been found. ②The crash site is surrounded by mountains on three sides, and there is only one path to enter the scene, which makes search and rescue difficult. ③ The local drone mobile base station was opened, a designated hospital was opened, and more than 200 professional teams were formed to prepare for emergency treatment. ④ Emergency supplies such as raincoats, rain boots, tents, food, etc. are mobilized overnight to fully guarantee the rescue.
News (16) to (21) / Reports by : Zhao Yang, Wang Dandan, He Xingxing,  Yuan Bingqing, Health World
News (16)
Air crash rescue needs professionalism: Medical staff are needed on the scene, and psychiatrists and experts are needed
According to the official website of the Guangxi Emergency Management Department, at 2.15 pm on 21 March 2022, a Boeing 737-800NG jet of China Eastern Airlines Yunnan Company lost contact in Teng County, Wuzhou during the Kunming-Guangzhou flight. It is understood that the currently confirmed crash location is in the mountains and forests near Shentangbiao, Mozong Village, Langnan Town, Teng County, with an altitude of 400 to 500 meters.
The Civil Aviation Administration confirmed that the plane had crashed with 132 people on board.
According to a report from Guangming.com, on the afternoon of 21 March, the Guangxi Health Commission has organized 12 experts in critical illness, burns, orthopedic surgery, and trauma to go to Teng County to carry out medical rescue work. At the same time, the Wuzhou Municipal Health and Health Commission has dispatched more than 80 medical staff and 36 ambulances to the scene, set up rescue points on the scene, arranged first- and second-line treatment hospitals, set up fast lanes, and prepared blood and various rescue materials and equipment.
At 5.30 pm on the 21st, each class group of Guangxi Wuzhou College received a notice that "a lot of blood is urgently needed."
Knowing that it was donating blood for the crash, at 18:00, students wearing masks lined up in front of the blood donation car. The staff of the blood station in the center of Wuzhou said that the blood was collected to "do a good job in emergency blood supply".
66-year-old Luo Chuangui was the team leader sent to the scene by the Guangxi Aixin Medical Emergency Rescue Service Center. After he was notified, he led a team of 12 people and set off to the crash site at 5 pm on the 21st.
At 8.30 pm at night of 21 March, Luo Chuangui said in the people's government of Tangbu Town, 10 kilometers away from Mozong Village, "The social rescue force is currently on standby to coordinate a new plan for entering the mountain."
"I can't get in now. Many cars and rescue teams don't know when they will be able to get in." Luo Chuangui said that another rescue team he organized with him had turned back after two or three kilometers up the mountain from the Yangchang Trail, because the social rescue team was too large. Many, unfamiliar with the local terrain, causing traffic congestion on the mountain road. According to the navigation software, at that time, some sections of the Cangshuo Expressway near Mozong Village were marked in red, indicating the state of traffic congestion.
According to a CCTV News report, Ou Ling, a political member of the Fire Rescue Detachment of Wuzhou, Guangxi, said, The scene is a mountain pass surrounded by mountains on three sides. After on-site research and judgment, in order to protect the scene, the public security police deployed the entire scene, the temporarily unnecessary rescue forces were withdrawn and standby, and emergency teams such as firefighting and armed police were retained on site to carry out work. Because there are no lighting facilities on site, the visibility is very poor, and there are too many people to carry out searches, which is easy to cause new dangers.
News (17)
The survival rate of the wounded depends to a large extent on the degree of blood loss, the degree of visceral damage, and the speed and extent of rescue
On 3 March 2022, the International Air Transport Association released data on global commercial aviation safety indicators in 2021. Compared with the five-year averages in 2020 and 2017-2021, many indicators have significantly improved.
The data shows a total accident rate of 1.01 per million flights in 2021. That is, the probability of an accident is 1 for every 990,000 flights.
In 2021, IATA members and airlines certified by the IATA Operational Safety Audit (IOSA) have had no fatal accidents.
Image : Web Screenshot

"There are many damaged organs in an air crash, and falling injuries will not only damage the limbs, but also the internal organs, which often lead to the death of the wounded on the spot. In addition, the plane often disintegrates after a fall, and there is a possibility of an explosion, causing the wounded to die. Burns. Burns will not only aggravate the condition of the wounded, but also affect the doctor's first aid judgment." Liu Zhongmin, former chairman of the Disaster Medicine Branch of the Chinese Medical Association and director of the Institute of Disaster Medicine Engineering at Tongji University, told the health community.
In 2013, Zhang Xu, a teacher at the Southwest Sub-control Center of the Operation Control Center of Air China Co., Ltd., published a paper saying that the vast majority of plane crashes are mechanical injuries, most of which can be multiple injuries, and craniocerebral injuries can reach In 80% to 90% of cases, injuries to the chest, abdomen, and extremities can occur. In the event of a fire, burns and smoke inhalation injuries are combined, resulting in complex injuries, with high mortality and serious disability. If the plane explodes, it can also cause blast shock injuries. Decompression injuries can occur during high-altitude flight due to the loss of airtight compartments in the aircraft.
"The survival rate of the wounded depends largely on the degree of blood loss, the degree of visceral damage, the time to arrive at the search and rescue scene, the speed and extent of on-site rescue, and the scene environment," said Liu Zhongmin.
Image of "Civil transport airport emergency rescue work specification" : Web Screenshot

News (18)
Speed is life
Air crash is the most special accidental injury among traffic accident injuries. Li Biao, then vice president of Beijing Capital International Airport Hospital, published a paper in 2003, saying that flight accidents are more sudden because the location, time, and possible people involved are more unpredictable. The on-site rescue force at the origin was insufficient, with many wounded, serious and complicated injuries, and poor first-aid facilities and equipment. When the local rescue force arrived at the scene, precious first-aid time was lost.
Liu Zhongmin also pointed out that in the event of an accident, the plane would sometimes fall into an uninhabited mountain, and it would take a long time for rescuers to arrive at the scene, reducing the chance of survival for the wounded. Especially when the weather is cold, the low temperature may cause the wounded to die quickly.
"So the most important thing after the air disaster is how quickly the search and rescue team arrives at the scene, which directly affects the survival rate of the wounded." Liu Zhongmin emphasized.
According to the staff of the emergency department of Teng County People's Hospital, at 17:00 on the 21st, the medical staff had arrived near the crash site. Due to the complicated terrain, the rescue vehicles could not go up the mountain and could only go there on foot.
Cooling and rainy weather also adversely affected rescue work. According to the forecast of @ Guangxi Weather at 9 pm on the 21st, the cold air front is expected to affect Teng County, Guangxi. It is expected that there will be heavy rain in Teng County from the evening of the 21st to the 22nd, and there will be heavy rain in some places while on 23 March, there will be heavy rain and some heavy rain and on 24 March, there will be moderate rain and some heavy rain.
On the other hand, as the first rescue team to arrive at the scene, the connection between fire rescue and follow-up medical support is crucial.
According to reports, at 3.05 pm on the 21st, after the Wuzhou City Fire Rescue Detachment received the alarm, 23 fire trucks and 117 fire rescue personnel were dispatched to rescue. At 3.20 pm, the Guangxi Corps launched an emergency plan and dispatched a total of 40 fire trucks and 238 fire rescue personnel from Nanning, Liuzhou, Yulin, and Guigang detachments to reinforce.
"We still rely on firefighters as the main rescue force, and usually lack a cooperation mechanism with the medical system and drills. Firefighters do not understand medical treatment, and they do not have the ability to rescue complex injuries. Often, firefighters arrive at the scene and pull people out. In the future, due to the lack of on-site treatment and medical evaluation, the wounded actually lost some chances of survival." Liu Zhongmin bluntly said that this is a lack of mechanism and system.
Liu Zhongmin believes that, not only in this incident, but also in many catastrophic incidents, the firefighters took the lead, but the medical staff lacked the cooperation with the firefighters, and also lacked a mechanism to step out of the hospital and extend the emergency scene forward. So this tends to reduce casualty survival, especially in air crashes.
According to the "Administrative Regulations on Emergency Rescue for Civil Transport Airport Emergencies" (CCAR-139-II-R1) (hereinafter referred to as the "Rules"), which has been implemented since 2011, Article 4 of the official instructions of the Civil Aviation Administration specifically states, "About Airport fire fighters should have first aid skills."
The description mentioned that in an emergency involving an aircraft crash, the first response force is the fire rescue department, so fire fighters are often the first to contact the victims. As far as the current situation of my country's civil airports is concerned, except for a few large hub airports, most airports do not have perfect medical rescue conditions, and it is difficult for local medical rescue personnel to reach the accident scene in the shortest time. Emergency rescue work such as bandaging, fracture fixation, and cardiac resuscitation is difficult to implement as soon as possible, which will objectively delay the treatment time. Therefore, it is very necessary for firefighters to have emergency rescue skills to save the lives of victims to the greatest extent possible.
At present, almost all full-time firefighters in airports all over the world have emergency rescue skills to varying degrees and have obtained the qualification certification of relevant state departments. However, our country still lacks corresponding laws and regulations. "Chapter 3, Article 14 adds a clause that firefighters can provide emergency medical care to the wounded based on the humanitarian principle of "self-rescue and mutual-rescue". In addition, in Article 35 of Chapter V of the "Rules", there are also requirements for the medical rescue skills of full-time and part-time firefighters at the airport.
After an air crash, it is the top priority for survivors to receive timely and effective treatment. Hong Huili of Nanjing No. 1 Hospital, when summarizing the first aid experience of the Nanjing Airport Air Crash in 1992, published the paper "First Aid Nursing of a Large Number of Air Crash Victims", saying that the incidence of multiple trauma shock is extremely high. Intravenous access to the casualty is established within 5 to 10 minutes. It can win the opportunity for follow-up treatment and is of great significance to improve the rescue rate of multiple trauma.
Also in the analysis of the first aid experience of the Nanjing Airport Air Crash in 1992, Peng Yongde of Nanjing No. 1 Hospital published a paper "Rescue Experience of 31 Air Crash Wounds", stating that accurate and rapid trauma classification is crucial in the treatment of mass casualties. Accurate classification can greatly reduce repeated diagnosis, gain time, and improve the success rate of rescue.
News (19)
The purpose of classification is to use the existing manpower and material resources to treat as many wounded as possible with a chance of survival when there are a large number of wounded and limited medical resources at the scene
Liu Baolin of Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Emergency Center once published a paper "Experience of Treatment of Large Numbers of Wounded in Air Crash and Experience of Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation", saying that to do a good job in triaging of injuries, the surgical treatment of wounds should be decided within 2 to 6 hours after the disaster. limbs and prevent complications. He cited a French study saying, "If there are survivors on the plane, there are generally more survivors than the dead, and the wounded are mostly abdominal injuries, as well as inhalation of "carbon monoxide" and "hydrogen cyanide" and asphyxiation."
Category I: Injuries are severe cranial trauma, life support should be given for traumatic shock, and they should be sent after resuscitation; 
Category II: Injuries are fractures and large-area soft tissue contusions, special precautions should be taken and evacuated as much as possible; 
Category III: Injuries are waiting treatment, delayed delivery, the wounded is unsafe abortion, stress-induced hypertension, diabetes, upper arm nerve contusion, and non-life-threatening can be delayed delivery; 
Category IV: Death.
The Civil Aviation Administration of China issued the "Specifications for Emergency Rescue Work at Civil Transport Airports" (hereinafter referred to as the "Specifications") issued in 2019, and stipulated that the injury identification labels are divided into 4 levels, which are:
Level I: First priority, immediate treatment, with a red tag attached;
Level II: The second priority, the treatment is delayed, and the yellow tag is attached;
Level III: Third priority, injury observation, green label attached;
Level 0: Dead; black tag attached.
Image of "Civil transport airport emergency rescue work specification" : Web Screenshot

It is pointed out in the "Specification" that the airport emergency rescue on-site organization is a non-permanent organization responsible for the on-site emergency rescue of airport emergencies. Security team, health and epidemic prevention team, etc.

The responsibility of the personnel of the triage and classification group is to be responsible for the on-site injury inspection and classification, fill in and attach the injury identification label as required, and carry out necessary emergency medical treatment (for example: emergency airway opening, fatal bleeding control), and the personnel of the rescue group are responsible for Emergency treatment for grade I, II and III wounded at the scene.

The "Specification" proposes that on-site rescue areas should be set up with the airport emergency rescue industry logo and the words "on-site rescue area" in red letters on a white background.

Specifically:

Level I (immediate treatment area/red wound area and red logo).

Grade II (slightly slow treatment area/yellow injury area and yellow mark).

Under the premise of ensuring safety and facilitating deployment, the red and yellow wound areas should be close to the inspection and classification areas, and the red and yellow wound areas should be appropriately close to each other to facilitate mutual support and equipment sharing.

Grade III (injury observation area/green injury area and green logo).

If conditions permit, the green injury area should keep a certain distance from the red injury area and the yellow injury area, so as to facilitate orderly control and rapid evacuation, so as not to interfere with the rescue work.

Level 0 (temporary corpse storage area/black wound area and black mark).

The black injury area should be located away from the treatment area and slightly downwind.

"Even if we know that there are no survivors when we go to the scene, then we have to go and have an explanation to the society." 
Jia Dacheng, a senior expert at the Beijing Emergency Center, admitted to the health community that he had participated in the scene of an air crash. The helicopter crashed out of control and no one survived.
How to rescue after an air crash?
"Every improvement in safety in aviation has been learned with blood. It's a bit like we always wait for the death toll to reach a certain high value before raising public awareness or taking administrative measures." Chesley Sullenberger, the heroic captain of the "Miracle on the Hudson", said so in his book "Top Duty".
In the face of a sudden air disaster, while the speed exceeds everything, the rescue method is equally important.
Jia Dacheng introduced that the treatment of injuries after an air crash is more complicated and more serious. It is necessary to carry enough rescue equipment, including oxygen, ventilator, and hemostasis equipment. In addition, the wounded may face massive hemorrhage, and also need blood transfusion, hemostasis bandage, immobilization, shock treatment, symptomatic treatment, etc. First determine whether it is a craniocerebral injury, spinal injury, fracture, etc., and then symptomatic treatment.
Regarding the configuration of the air disaster emergency rescue medical team, Liu Zhongmin pointed out that at least two surgeons (one for trauma surgery and one for cardiac surgery), one anesthesiologist and 3-4 nurses are needed to form an emergency team. Usually a first aid team can only undertake the treatment of 1-2 wounded.
Focus on the first aid. "When dealing with firearm explosion wounds, especially when important blood vessel damage is suspected, the foreign body must not be easily removed, otherwise it may cause massive bleeding and endanger life. We have dealt with 1 case of thoracic explosion injury. When anesthesia and surgical instruments were not yet in place, He died due to the easy removal of the metal foreign body in the chest area, resulting in massive bleeding from the wound." Shen Kaijin and others of the Urumqi General Hospital of Lanzhou Military Region discussed the importance of anesthesiologists in their paper "225 Cases of Blast Injury and Air Crash Injury Organizational First Aid and Management Countermeasures".
Liu Baolin once published a paper saying that if the rescue radius is greater than 1,500 m  and the designated hospital cannot be reached within half an hour, venous access must be opened to give anti-shock infection, while monitoring and implementing "R.P.V.O" (respiration, pulse, venous access) , minor surgery). Then implement the combination of "luck" and "rescue", and adhere to the 4 principles:
1. Save the life first, then treat the injury;
2. First heavy and then light;
3, life-saving first, limbs second;
4. Send it after the injury is stable.
Mi Xin, the health care branch of the Northwest Branch of China Eastern Airlines Co., Ltd., participated in the emergency rescue of the "6.6" air crash in 1994, and learned about the sampling of the aircraft wreckage, the qualitative analysis of toxicology, and the forensic autopsy. Held a treatment experience seminar with the participation of hospitals and aviation physicians. The "6.6" air crash occurred in a civil aviation flight from Xi'an to Guangzhou, killing all 160 people on board.
In the article "Disaster Medical Analysis of 160 Cases of Civil Aviation Disasters" published in 2013, Mi Xin once proposed that after the "6.6" air disaster disintegrated in the air, it suddenly or instantly rose and fell within 3 to 4 seconds. The strong turbulence caused by the airflow caused the passengers to be injured suddenly without any precautions. Multiple trauma lesions are rapid, resulting in high mortality and many complications, which bring great difficulties to rescue work. Therefore, in the treatment of personnel, the evacuation of the wounded and the choice of the hospital should be determined according to the condition of the injury. Blindly seeing the wounded and escorting the wounded may cause death on the way. The statement of the three particularly critically wounded people in the "6.6" air crash died during the rescue and evacuation process, which is also confirmed by the appraisal of the relevant departments.
Zhang Xu et al. also pointed out in the paper that the classification of on-site injuries determines the order of treatment and transportation, and it is necessary to resolutely overcome the wrong guidance of some commanders at the accident scene to "carry and leave, quickly send to the hospital, and quickly clean up the scene" Thought. All wounded should be marked with signs familiar to medical personnel, so that special treatment and escort can be implemented for the key wounded. The wounded with unstable vital signs cannot be easily transported.
Image of "Civil transport airport emergency rescue work specification": Web Screenshot

News (20)
In addition to disaster victims and their families, rescuers also need psychological counseling
"We should pay attention to the changes in the psychological reactions of survivors in catastrophic accidents. In the air accident, all patients have a sense of "guilt", "fear" and "nameless anger"." Liu Baolin mentioned in the paper that after the air crash, It is necessary to cooperate with psychological induction work to give survivors a "safety protection". Be careful not to hold collective forums and memorial services to avoid the contagion of sadness and possible catastrophic and irrational violence.
Liang Hong, deputy director of the Beijing Psychological Crisis Research and Intervention Center of Beijing Huilongguan Hospital, told the health community that major disasters are sudden and unexpected events. Whether it is the disaster victims, rescuers or the families of the disaster victims, their hearts will be greatly affected, so a psychiatrist is needed. Psychological first aid and crisis intervention.
Liang Hong said that medical emergency is to protect the life safety of the victims. Psychological first aid is to assist rescue, providing safety, shelter and psychological support for the affected people, which is more conducive to the continuation of the rescue, and also helps the wounded to slowly recover from the disaster. She emphasized that, especially in the face of psychological panic and emotional problems caused by sudden major disasters, psychiatrists can play a role of comfort and prevention, and reduce a series of psychological problems that may arise in the future.
The health community noticed that on the 21st, while dispatching medical staff, the Guangxi Health and Health Commission also organized the first batch of more than 50 psychological experts from all over Guangxi to rush to the scene one after another.
In addition, four experts organized by the Guangdong Health and Health Commission also drove to Teng County, Wuzhou, Guangxi on the 21st to support. Two of the four experts were from the Psychology Department of Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital.
After an air crash, survivors are most likely to develop "traumatic emergency disorder."
For such patients, whether visually, mentally, or even audibly, they will often review the scene of the air crash. And such memories are uncontrolled and forced into the brain.
In this regard, Jia Fujun, director of the Mental Health Center of the Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital and director of the Guangdong Provincial Institute of Mental Health, told the health community that for sudden disasters, psychologists must first appease disaster survivors, witnesses, and witnesses who leave the scene. , and then give him company, stabilize their emotions, and let them feel safe first.
"Companionship is very important, because the occurrence of disasters is objectively difficult to reverse. It is necessary to give the above-mentioned people some space to vent. Appropriate venting is enough. If venting is too much, it will be detrimental to emotional stability and strengthen grief. Jia Fujun said that if there are abundant psychological assistance resources, it would be good for doctors to accompany them, because doctors are more authoritative and comprehensive.
At the request of the superior department, Jia Fujun sent two doctors from the Department of Psychology to Guangxi for on-site support. Jia Fujun suggested that some positive messages should be sent to disaster survivors and witnesses, because some people want to get information that others care about when they are uneasy. If the information is not in place, he gets anxious.
At this time, psychologists, volunteers, and family members need to understand what the counselee cares about most, and seek corresponding social resources for him to help him. For example, providing hotlines and necessities of life to make them feel that they are not helpless. There are many people standing with him and accompanying him, so that he does not feel so isolated and helpless.
Different from ordinary mentally ill patients, after an air crash, each person's coping ability and psychological quality are inconsistent, so they need to be classified into categories.
"For example, acute stress disorder, or even denying the occurrence of a disaster." Jia Fujun said that this is the most serious group, requiring medical intervention in addition to psychological counseling, drug treatment, hospitalization, etc.
Jia Fujun said that the psychological counseling process varies from person to person. If he is a witness at the scene or is injured, he generally needs to be followed for more than three months. "The early treatment process must be carried out under the guidance of professionals, so as not to get out of control, because some psychological treatments may make him recall, and this kind of memory cannot be too much, because too much, but it is strengthened. This kind of memory is definitely limited, The longer it takes, the less need to reminisce.” 
News (21)
The shortcomings of China's air disaster medical rescue exposed

4,227 days of China's civil aviation flight safety records are cleared on 21 March 2022.
In China, although the frequency of air accidents is low, the impact is huge. In the past 12 years, the Civil Aviation Administration has issued a number of management measures for emergency plans, which is an important reason to ensure the low incidence of air accidents.
"Our country has strengthened emergency rescue, but there are still many deficiencies in air disaster rescue." Liu Zhongmin believes that air accidents often occur in remote and remote areas, and there is currently a lack of air rescue tools, means and deep mountain search and rescue teams. Especially in the rescue of alpine areas, there is still a lack of experience and corresponding equipment.
In his view, how to quickly mobilize forces to the disaster relief scene in a short period of time is still China's shortcoming. This reflects that the daily disaster preparedness measures are not perfect and the training of rescue teams is insufficient. After all, only skilled and professional rescue teams can improve the survival rate of the crash victims.
Liu Zhongmin pointed out that from the province to the large prefecture-level city, there should be a disaster preparedness hospital, which can quickly provide disaster relief services in the event of a disaster, such as material reserves and empty beds (50-100 beds), which can meet the needs of a large number of wounded. Ability to diagnose and rescue.
"Especially, public hospitals generally lack the awareness of building disaster-prepared hospitals. Once a catastrophic event occurs, many public hospitals are caught off guard. Not only in the prevention and control of public health events, but also in the concept and construction of disaster-prepared hospitals. It is far from meeting the requirements for responding to emergencies." Liu Zhongmin said.
Image of "Civil transport airport emergency rescue work specification" : Web Screenshot

References:
[1] Disaster medical analysis of 160 cases of Mi Xinmin aviation accident Chinese Disability Medicine 2013 Vol. 21 No. 7
[2] Characteristics of Li Biao Civil Aviation Disaster Accidents and Their Medical Emergency Countermeasures China Emergency Medicine, Volume 26, Issue 8, Aug. 2006 (ChinJCritCareMed, Aug.2006, Vol. 26, No.8)
[3] Hong Huili's emergency nursing care for a large number of air crash wounded Heilongjiang Nursing Journal, Vol. 5, No. 2, 1999
[4] Liu Baolin's experience in the treatment of a large number of wounded and cardiopulmonary resuscitation during the air crash, "Snake Chronicles", Vol. 9, No. 4, 1997
[5] Peng Yongde talks about the organization and implementation of emergency department's first aid for batches of wounded "Jiangsu Health Service Management", 1995, No. 1 (Volume 6, No. 23).
News (22)
Aviation expert: One or more of pilots regained consciousness and tried to save the B737-800NG

Reporter : Elmira Tanatarova, Daily Mail / https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10637393/Chinese-pilot-regained-consciousness-G-forces-knocked-crew.html / Image : Xinhua/Shutterstock


Speaking to 
The Sun Online, aviation expert Sally Gethin said flight data suggests there was a "10 to 20-second spell where one or more of the pilots regained consciousness and tried to save the plane" before it smashed onto the ground.

All of those on board "would have been unconscious" for this final plunge, Gethin suggests. 

She added, 'Pilots get a huge amount of training, much of it in simulators. But in the real world, they can get overwhelmed or disorientated by sudden events. This is known as the startle effect, and it is every hard to train for that. 

"Even experienced pilots can be caught off guard and that's when they can make poor judgements. Now there are efforts to recognise that and offer additional training."

Ms Gethin said it is "too soon to speculate"' about what may have caused the crash, but some possibilities could have been a malfunction with the tail, weather, or a myriad of issues which may have affected the aircraft such as a "small fire on board" or a wiring issue.

She added it is "unusual' that the co-pilot had 30,000 hours of flight experience while the pilot only had 7,000 hours under their belt. 

A third trainee pilot, who only had a few hundred ours of flying experience, was also on the plane.


News (23)
Elite Russian officers want to poison Putin, Ukrainian intelligence: Bortnikov will be chosen to replace Putin

 A plot to "poison" Vladimir Putin and frame it as an accident has been hatched by Moscow’s elite, according to Ukrainian intelligence. "In particular, poisoning, sudden disease, or any other “coincidence” is not excluded."


A group of  "influential" individuals in Russia have allegedly started planning to remove the president from office – and even lined up a successor. "In particular, poisoning, sudden disease, or any other “coincidence” is not excluded."


The effect of Western sanctions on the Russian economy is the main factor behind the scheme with Alexander Bortnikov, director of the Federal Security Service (FSB), said to be the favoured replacement.


The Chief Directorate of Intelligence in Ukraine said, "It is known that Bortnikov and some other influential representatives of the Russian elite are considering various options to remove Putin from power.


The Ukrainian intelligence service says that FSB director Oleksandr Bortnikov is the chosen man to replace Putin.


Bortnikov previously served alongside Putin in the KGB but has recently fallen out of favour with the Kremlin following Russia’s military losses in Ukraine.


The former intelligence agent is thought to still have a large influence over insiders in the war-torn country where he ran a number of agents.


A Western source told the Daily Mirror, "These rumours and suspicions within the Moscow inner-circle will sow the seeds of paranoia and doubt in the leadership.


"There is a significant suspicion that a small number of people might actually now try to get rid of the Russian president but whether they will succeed remains to be seen."


It came amid claims that Putin has agreed to meet Volodymyr Zelenskyy for talks which could end the war in Ukraine.


The Russian president, who has seen his "special military operation" grind to a halt in recent days, was said to have committed to a summit – which could be announced this week. 


Russia has also dropped its demand for the Ukrainian president to be removed from office and replaced by a pro-Moscow puppet leader – a concession forced on the Kremlin by its failures on the battlefield.


On 20 March 2022 President Zelenskyy also said he wants to talk to Putin face to face – but issued a chilling warning that if talks failed it "could mean World War Three".


Speaking on U.S. television channel CNN, he said, "Talks are worth pursuing even if they have a one per cent chance of success...


"We have demonstrated the dignity of our people and our army. But unfortunately our dignity is not going to preserve lives. 


Bortnikov has fallen out of favour with Putin after military losses in the first three weeks of the Ukraine war - in which time he has also sacked eight generals.


"So I think that we have to use any format, any chance, in order to have the possibility of negotiating."


The possible peace talks come days after Putin held an extraordinary pro-war rally in front of tens of thousands of spectators.


Officials acting as mediators between Russia and Ukraine said there had been a "convergence" on key issues. 


These include Ukraine abandoning its bid to join NATO, "demilitarising" in exchange for security guarantees and lifting restrictions on using the Russian language. 


For its part, Russia would be required to announce a ceasefire and withdraw its troops from Ukrainian territory.


Moscow also wants Kyiv to recognise its annexation of Crimea in 2014 and the independence of two Russia-backed separatist territories in the eastern Donbas region. 


However, Ukraine has ruled out making territorial concessions as part of the current negotiations.


Once both sides have finalised these agreements Putin will publicly agree to meet Mr Zelenskyy, it was understood on 19 March.


However, fears were raised over Russia’s motives for engaging in dialogue last night. The US ambassador to the United Nations, Linda Thomas-Greenfield, described the talks as ‘one-sided’. 


Other observers suggested Russia may be playing for time before kick-starting its faltering military campaign.


On 19 March, NATO’s secretary general Jens Stoltenberg echoed Mr Zelenskyy’s concerns that the conflict could escalate beyond Ukraine’s borders. 


He added, "Talks are needed to prevent the conflict becoming a fully-fledged war between NATO and Russia but it is far too early to say whether they could succeed."


It came as 46th U.S. President Joe Biden declined an invitation to visit Ukraine as part of his European tour this week.








News (24)

Russia loses 10,000 Russian soldiers killed, 16,000 injured

Russia has lost almost 10,000 soldiers in less than four weeks in Ukraine, according to its own figures.

The death toll – an incredible tally for a war that the Kremlin believed would be over within days – was published by a pro-government website, but quickly taken down.

There was speculation that it was uploaded by a pro-Ukrainian employee. Russia had previously admitted to 498 deaths – but that was on 2 March 2022.

The news came as satellite photos showed further evidence that Putin's forces were going on the defensive and digging in ahead of a "long war". 

Last night's figures said 9,861 soldiers had died in Ukraine, with 16,153 injured. About 15,000 Soviet troops died in Afghanistan after the 1979 invasion – but that was over ten years. 

Ukraine has put the Russian dead at 15,000 – but the latest figures are higher than US estimate of 7,000.

The death toll was part of an update from Moscow's defence ministry – and, while they were quickly removed from the website of Komsomolskaya Pravda, a pro-government tabloid, they remained on the archive last night.

Though the figures offer an insight into Ukraine's military successes, there were signs last night that the war was turning Russia's way. 

News (25)

UK intelligence: Russian troops are striking Ukrainian targets significantly

A UK intelligence report – seen by the Daily Mail – said Moscow's forces are making significant breakthroughs.

They have more effectively used drones to strike Ukrainian targets on the ground. 

Russian forces have also destroyed a number of Turkish-made TB2 drones, which have proved highly effective against its troops and equipment.

Ukrainian ground-to-air defence systems may also have been destroyed, the report suggests, as increasing numbers of missiles have been finding their targets.

Russian rockets have struck a training base for foreign fighters – killing 35 and wounding 134 troops – an aircraft repair facility and underground silos storing Kyiv's stockpile of Western weapons.

The report explains how Russia, after replenishing its artillery supplies, has "steadily increased its bombardment of various cities, particularly Mariupol, Kharkiv, Sumy and Chernihiv".

News (26)

Russian hypersonic missile can bypass anti-missile defence systems

UK defence analysts have also expressed concern that Russia's Kinzhal hypersonic missile can bypass anti-missile defence systems. 

Analysts also questioned previous Western assessments that Ukrainian air defences remained effective.

The intelligence report says Russia intends its "total destruction" of Mariupol to "serve as a warning to other cities". 

It said, "The pattern of destruction of food and water supplies, targeting of civilians, indiscriminate use of firepower to advance, is already being repeated elsewhere. This is based on effective lessons learned [by the Russians] in Syria."

News (27)

Ukraine fears invasion by Belarus

In another alarming assessment, Kyiv fears there is a "high likelihood" of Belarus joining Russia's invasion. 

Its armoured forces are expected to head south, 'likely towards Lviv', in western Ukraine.

News (28)

Many small Ukrainian cities wiped off, Russian troops are fighting civilians by planting mines

On a visit to London, Ukraine's defence minister Oleksii Reznikov said, 'Several small cities have simply been wiped off the face of the earth. 

"Moscow is afraid of our army so they are fighting civilians."

The Kremlin's forces appeared to be digging in a strong defensive position around Kyiv as satellite imagery released on Friday pictured Russian mines planted northwest of the capital. 

An American think-tank remarked that "Russian forces did not make any major advances on March 21" and did not "conduct major offensive operations", continuing to push on with 'low-quality reserves' and riddled with logistics issues.

On Sunday the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine said that Russia is preparing its people '"for a long war" as the "occupation forces have lost their offensive potential".

News (29)

Russian troops unable to solve logistics issues

The latest assessment of Putin's offensive campaign from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) on 21 March 2022 said Russian forces 'continued to make slow but steady progress and shell civilian infrastructure in Mariupol' and 'did not conduct offensive operations in northeastern Ukraine and have been unable to solve logistics issues'.

It further added, "Russian forces did not conduct any offensive operations toward the northeastern Ukrainian cities of Chernihiv, Sumy, or Kharkiv in the last 24 hours."

The report added that Putin's forces deploy "low-quality reserves, including combat-support elements and low-readiness units from the Eastern Military District, to replace losses in frontline units".

News (30)

Ukraine needs international assistance to defuse explosives after the war

On Friday (18 March 2022), Denys Monastyrsky told The Associated Press that Ukraine will need Western assistance to cope with the massive task of defusing explosives once the war is over.

He said, "A huge number of shells and mines have been fired at Ukraine and a large part haven't exploded, they remain under the rubble and pose a real threat.

"It will take years, not months, to defuse them." 

Ukrainian troops have also have planted land mines at bridges, airports and other key infrastructure to prevent Russians from using them.

"We won't be able to remove the mines from all that territory, so I asked our international partners and colleagues from the European Union and the United States to prepare groups of experts to determine the areas of combat and facilities that came under shelling," Monastyrsky added.

According to The Times, a military source told the paper that planting mines was a part of Russia's new "defensive posture" and "indicates they are in it for the long haul". 

On Sunday Ukraine's General Staff of the Armed Forces also said in a Facebook post: 'The opponent continues to bear losses, has significant problems with the composition of units and parts of the personal composition, logistics. 

"At the same time, Russian propagandists started preparing the population of the Russian Federation for a long war.

"Official communication channels are spreading propaganda about alleged success in conducting the so-called 'special military operation", public measures are being carried out to support the war in Ukraine."     

Ref: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10637425/Russia-loses-10-000-men-just-four-weeks-toll-Ukraine-invasion-revealed.html


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