Research, editing : Gan Yung Chyan, KUCINTA SETIA
News on disease control, CCP
News (1)
Sudden! Chinese official revealed nearly 60,000 covid deaths in 36 days, and experts suspect that the death toll may exceed 1 million
Image : National Health Commission of the Communist Party of China pointed out today that nearly 60,000 people have died from Wuhan pneumonia and other related factors since the cancellation of zero-covid policy in early December. However, many experts still estimate that the real death toll in China should exceed 1 million. (Bloomberg)
National Health Commission of the Communist Party of China pointed out on 14 January 2023 that nearly 60,000 people have died of Wuhan pneumonia (covid, COVID-19) and other related factors since the cancellation of "dynamic clearing" in early December. This is much higher than the official death toll previously provided by China CDC. However, many experts still estimate that the real death toll in China may have exceeded 1 million.
According to comprehensive foreign media reports, Jiao Yahui, director of the Department of Medical Affairs of the National Health Commission of China, suddenly announced this afternoon that from 8 December 2022 to 12 January 2023, the cumulative number of deaths related to covid in medical institutions across the country was 59,938. The average age of the deceased was 80.3 years old, and those who were over 65 years old accounted for about 90.1%. Among them, 5503 people died of respiratory failure caused by covid.
Jiao Yahui pointed out that more than 90% of the deaths suffered from other diseases, including cardiovascular diseases, advanced tumors and metabolic diseases. Jiao Yahui further explained that for the elderly with respiratory diseases, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, etc., winter is a particularly vulnerable period for the body, and the recent covid epidemic will undoubtedly exacerbate the death of the elderly.
According to reports, as the Beijing authorities have recently adopted a narrower definition of the number of confirmed deaths, in other words, China only counts people who died of "respiratory failure caused by novel coronavirus infection", and the Beijing authorities no longer publish frequently the data related to the epidemic which makes it difficult to measure the damage mainland China has suffered due to the epidemic.
Whether it is experts or social media, it is unanimous that the actual number of confirmed deaths in China is definitely much higher than the official statistics. Sources pointed out that the official figures are obviously inconsistent with the situation of queuing up for "coffins" at funeral parlours and leaving the hospitals for "body bags".
News (2) to (6) / http://www.nhc.gov.cn/xwzb/webcontroller.do?titleSeq=11507&gecstype=1
News (2)
Jiao Yahui clarifies National Health Commission's "covid death" definition
Image of Jiao Yahui : Video Screenshot (China.com.cn)
"Since 2020, my country (CCP China) has always insisted on judging the death cases positive for the nucleic acid of the novel coronavirus (covi, covid virus, SARS-CoV-2) as the death cases related to the covi infection. This standard is basically consistent with the judgment standards of the World Health Organization and other major countries. The attribution analysis of death cases related to the covi infection is divided into two categories: One is the death of respiratory failure caused by the covi infection, and the other is the death of the underlying disease combined with the covi infection."
News (3)
Jiao Yahui actually reveals CCP China's covid death reporting system and toll to CCTV
"Since 8 December 2022, in accordance with the decisions and arrangements of the Party Central Committee and the State Council, the focus of epidemic prevention and control has been changed from "infection prevention" to "health protection and severe disease prevention", focusing on medical treatment, especially the medical treatment of critically ill patients.
"Our aim is focus on work, go all out to organize medical treatment, give full play to the successful experience and effective measures of medical treatment accumulated in the past three years, adhere to early intervention, early treatment, integration of traditional Chinese and Western medicine, multidisciplinary diagnosis and treatment, and equal emphasis on the treatment of novel coronavirus infection and basic diseases. We do everything possible to improve the cure rate and reduce the mortality rate.
"In order to scientifically analyze and judge the impact of the epidemic, we require medical institutions to concentrate on the implementation of patient treatment on the one hand, and at the same time, scientifically and realistically organize, collect, analyze and report the death records. In order to improve the reporting efficiency of medical institutions, we have organized and developed a death case information reporting platform for medical institutions, which is put into use on 31 December 2022.
"From 31 December 2022, medical institutions report the death cases related to the novel coronavirus infection of the previous day every day, and zero reports will be implemented if there are no death cases. In addition, we require medical institutions to collect, summarize and report the death cases related to the novel coronavirus infection from 8 December 2022 to 29 December 2022.
"Due to the relatively large amount of data and information, in order to reflect the death situation caused by the novel coronavirus infection in my country more scientifically, objectively and realistically, and in line with the attitude of being responsible to the people, we organized experts to conduct a systematic analysis of the death cases. So it took a long time for the experts to complete the analysis.
"The analysis shows that from 8 December 2022 to 12 January 2023, a total of 59,938 deaths related to novel coronavirus infection occurred in hospitals across the country, including 5,503 deaths from respiratory failure caused by novel coronavirus infection, there were 54,435 deaths from underlying diseases combined with novel coronavirus infection.
"The average age of the dead cases was 80.3 years old, 90.1% were 65 years old and above, and 56.5% were 80 years old and above, and more than 90% of the dead cases were combined with underlying diseases. The main combined diseases were cardiovascular diseases, advanced tumours, cerebrovascular diseases, respiratory diseases, metabolic diseases, and renal insufficiency.
"Since winter itself is the season of high incidence of respiratory diseases and aggravation of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in the elderly, it has recently been superimposed with the novel coronavirus infection, so the number of deaths in the elderly is relatively high. This prompts us to pay more attention to elderly patients and try our best to save their lives.
"In the next step, relevant data and information will be updated in a timely manner and announced to the public in accordance with the relevant regulations on "Class B and B Control" infectious diseases."
News (4)
Jiao Yahui on the existing number of beds in ICUs and progress of the treatment of severe covid cases
"While treating severe pneumonia caused by covi infection, adhere to the treatment of covi infection and underlying diseases equally, and multidisciplinary diagnosis and treatment. According to monitoring data, 2 weeks after the peak of fever outpatient visits, the number of severe covi-positive patients in the hospitals also reached its peak, and then showed a slow downward trend. However, the number of critically ill patients currently in hospitals is still at a high level.
"On 5 January 2023, the number of covi-positive critically ill patients in the hospital peaked at 128,000, and then continued to fluctuate and decline. By 12 January 2023, the number of covi-positive ill patients in the hospital fell back to 105,000, and the utilization rate of intensive care beds was 75.3%, and thus the intensive care beds can meet the needs of treatment.
"Among the critically ill covid patients in the hospitals on 12 January 2023, there were 97,000 patients with severe underlying diseases combined with covid infection, accounting for 92.8%. There are 7,357 critically ill patients infected with covi, accounting for 7%.
"From the perspective of data analysis, severe patients infected with covi have the following characteristics: First, they are mainly elderly. The oldest is 105 years old, and the average age is 75.5 years old. The proportion of those aged 60 and over is 89.6%. Second, it is common to have multiple underlying diseases. Patients with one basic disease accounted for 40.7%, two basic diseases accounted for 24.6%, and three or more basic diseases accounted for 34.8%. Most basic diseases are cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, endocrine system diseases and respiratory system diseases."
News (5)
Jiao Yahui talks about covid treatment in Chinese counties
"As of 12 January 2023, more than 5,000 secondary medical institutions, designated hospitals, and sub-designated hospitals in the counties had admitted a total of 301,000 covi-infected patients, accounting for 23.7% of all covi-infected patients, showing a 7-day continuous decline trend.
"There are 15,800 severe covi-positive patients in the counties, accounting for 15.1% of the national total, of which 518 are severe cases of covi infection, accounting for 6.7% of the country's severe covi infection.
"The main measures to improve the ability to treat severe covid in rural areas are as follows: First, give full play to the leading role of county hospitals, and prepare for beds, equipment, facilities, and personnel to improve the ability to treat severe cases.
"The second is to rely on the already formed urban and rural hospital counterpart support working mechanism. All urban tertiary hospitals are subdivided to provide medical treatment, and establish a one-to-one support relationship with county hospitals. We require urban tertiary hospitals and county hospitals to connect to telemedicine services 24 hours a day. During special periods, such as during the Spring Festival, tertiary hospitals will also send medical staff to the county hospitals at designated locations.
"The third is to increase the intensity of tours and inspections in rural areas, early detection of changes in the health status of key populations, especially the elderly with underlying diseases, to ensure timely medical treatment.
"The fourth is to establish support and referral mechanisms and green channels between cities and counties to ensure that critically ill patients in rural areas can be referred and admitted for treatment in a timely manner."
News (6)
Wen Daxiang shares Shanghai's experience in promoting the "early detection, early identification, early intervention, and early referral" of patients with severe covi infection at the community level
Image of Wen Daxiang : China.com.cn
Wen Daxiang, Director of Shanghai Municipal Health Commission, shares Shanghai's experience in severe covidinfection detection, identificcation, intervention, "All the community health service centers in Shanghai have opened a total of 2,881 fever clinics, taking the measures of one after another at noon, one extension at night, and seven days a week, carrying more than 50% of the workload of fever clinics in the city. In addition, in terms of material allocation, the allocation and distribution of antipyretic and analgesic drugs, antiviral drugs, oxygen supply, finger pulse oxygen protection monitors and other materials are inclined to the community.
"At present, the Shanghai Community Health Service Center has set up more than 6,300 oxygen inhalation stations, 11,292 infusion stations, 903 nebulization therapy stations, more than 1,200 ECG monitoring instruments, and 49,000 finger oxygen meters. In addition, digital cameras (DR) are equipped for full coverage, and CT is equipped for qualified community health service centers. Currently, more than 40 units are equipped, and it is expected to increase to about 50 units before the end of the year.
"All 14 community health service centers in Shanghai’s Minhang District are equipped with CT. This has a great advantage, allowing patients to be detected early through lung imaging examinations at their doorsteps, preventing patients from queuing up for imaging examinations in secondary and tertiary hospitals. The second is to move the gate forward and strengthen the early detection, treatment and diversion of severe cases.
"Promote "early detection" and rely on the grid management of streets and towns to strengthen the health monitoring of key populations in the community and those infected with covid. Oxygen saturation monitoring is included in the monitoring content of key population infections. As of now, 445,000 person-times have been monitored.
"In terms of 'early treatment', the community provided 65,000 patients with oxygen therapy, 2,400 nebulized inhalations, and more than 180,000 infusion and injection treatments, and trained community medical workers to let them master and understand the use and adaptation of antiviral drugs for symptoms, contraindications, etc., so that those infected with covid with indications, especially those with high-risk factors for severe illness or those who tend to develop severe illness, can use antiviral drugs in time.
"In terms of drug distribution, we give preference to the community. So far, more than 60,000 boxes of antiviral drugs, including Paxlovid and Azvudine, have been distributed to community health service centers, and nearly 40,000 copies have been used.
"In terms of '"early triage', we have established a priority channel for 120 family doctors to transfer infected patients with aggravated symptoms to higher-level hospitals for diagnosis and treatment in a timely manner. The city currently has 15,000 beds in community health service centers. The addition of 26,000 family beds has effectively relieved the pressure on inpatient medical services in secondary and tertiary hospitals.
"The third is to coordinate resources to improve the community's ability to treat COVID-19. All community health service centers are included in the management of the medical consortium, and the corresponding secondary and tertiary hospitals improve the ability of the community to identify, diagnose and deal with key populations through on-site inspections, expert assignments, and remote consultations.
"In addition, the professional and technical knowledge training for grassroots medical workers was strengthened, and a total of 16,000 people were trained."
News (7)
[Pinnacle View] White lung suspect: Inactivated vaccine hides Wuhan strain
Editor : Liu Mingxiang / Source : Pinnacle View Production Team / https://www.ntdtv.com/gb/2023/01/14/a103624562.html / Image : The original strain of Wuhan virus may not have disappeared in China; inactivated vaccines cannot be completely inactivated, which is equivalent to loosening the virus; the blizzard of the epidemic in China, is white lung a natural disaster or a man-made disaster? (Pinnacle View)
The original strain of Wuhan virus may not have disappeared in China; inactivated vaccines cannot be completely inactivated, which is equivalent to loosening the virus; the blizzard of the epidemic in China, is white lung a natural disaster or a man-made disaster? Omicron abnormally developed white lungs, leading experts to "detoxify".
The weakened strain of Omicron virus no longer appears to be lethal to humans, and the world is recovering from the damage caused by the outbreak. However, CCP China, which claims to be the most successful in epidemic prevention, suddenly collapsed after three years of "successful" epidemic prevention. The epidemic broke out suddenly like Wuhan did three years ago, and there were also a large number of severe white lung patients, which surprised experts and scholars.
The epidemic situation in China has never been transparent. There is no reliable data to check, and what happened in China in the past three years has always been an invisible black curtain. The CCP government has always been known for its "tofu dregs" projects that are carried out quickly. In the past, incidents of poisonous vaccines that killed people have happened frequently.
The CCP’s inactivated vaccine is made from the original strain of the virus. Experts suspect that the CCP’s inactivated vaccine of questionable quality is likely to be the suspect for the spread of the original virus strain and the white lung phenomenon. If this is the case, the CCP’s forced mass injection of this domestic vaccine is spreading the virus, and this wave of epidemics that caused a large number of deaths is not a natural disaster, but a man-made disaster caused by the CCP.
News (8)
900 million people in China have been infected by the epidemic, and the second infection is even more painful. The CCP continues to whitewash peace
Reporter : Yu Ting / https://www.ntdtv.com/gb/2023/01/14/a103624692.html / Image : Video Screenshot
According to data from the National School of Development of Peking University, 900 million people in China have been infected with the covid virus. Take your attention to the latest situation of the epidemic situation in CCP China.
In a hospital in Shenyang: "The most important ventilators and oxygen cylinders are not available."
A team from the National School of Development at Peking University released a data model deduction recently, showing that as of 11 January 2022, the number of confirmed cases in the country reached 64%, and a total of about 900 million people were infected.
Although the epidemic situation in Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou has attracted much attention, and hospitals and funeral homes are overloaded, the report shows that the provinces with the highest infection rates are all in the western region, namely Gansu (91%), Yunnan (84%), and Qinghai ( 80%).
CCP experts have also admitted that China will be hit by several waves of the epidemic at the beginning of this year, especially the wave of returning home during the Chinese New Year, which will exacerbate the spread of the epidemic in rural areas, and patients will have secondary infections.
A second-time infected patient in China: "Now I can't even walk. When I stand up, I want to fall when I get out of the car and walk. My waist still hurts, and my whole body hurts."
The CCP's "dynamic clearing" campaign for three years has deprived the people of the opportunity for herd immunity, and the rapid "laying down" opening up has caused the epidemic to spread rapidly. Many people pointed out that the second infection is even more uncomfortable, and the CCP government still continue to lie.
Mi Feng, spokesperson of the National Health Commission of the Communist Party of China and deputy director of the Publicity Department: "Over the past three years, China's fight against the covid epidemic has not only protected the lives and health of the Chinese people, but also made important contributions to the international fight against the epidemic.”
Second-time infected patients in China: "The second infection is much more serious, the feeling of pain all over the body, like the feeling of separation of muscles and bones. There is also a fever, shivering all over the body, walking I can’t walk steadily. Also, I have a headache, which feels like it’s about to explode.”
An insider in a Chinese hospital: "Now in my hospital, the beds are tight, and they are basically patients with secondary yang, which are not reported on TV. No matter how serious the secondary infection is, their own immune system is not good. I used it. I asked them what symptoms they had. They said that the second infection hurts, and the pain on the body is ten to five times that of the first time. It hurts like that. The older people are, basically people in their 60s and 70s are infected. The second time, it will definitely bring out other complications, and that person will not be able to survive."
Due to the dereliction of duty of the CCP government, the drug continued to be in short supply, and people began to rush to buy "immunoglobulin" for self-protection, which not only caused the price of the drug to soar, but also made it difficult for patients in need to find a drug.
An insider in a Chinese hospital: "The immunoglobulins here are so crazy, it's hard to find one. That person is lying in the hospital, and they don't need medicine, and there is no medicine."
Tang Yanhua, Director of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Guiyang First People's Hospital: "Hey, I'm really angry. Another drug has been snapped up by everyone. It is said that this drug was fired up to 2,200 RMB."
Liaoning "ICU Doctor Xiao Chen": "Immunoglobulin has been fired from a few hundred RMB to several thousand RMB. The key is that now you can't even buy a bottle for thousands of RMB."
Immunoglobulin, also known as gamma globulin, is extracted and developed from the blood of healthy people. Some doctors have warned that if injected blindly, it will only interfere or even destroy one's own immune mechanism.
Liaoning "ICU Doctor Xiao Chen": "Don't think that it can improve human immunity just because its name contains the word "immunity". It is useless to normal people or patients with mild symptoms, but may destroy our existing formed immune mechanism."
News (9) to (18) / Reporter : Zheng Gusheng / Editor : Xu Gengwen / https://www.ntdtv.com/gb/2023/01/13/a103624393.html
News (9)
Physician in Hunan: Out of 3 million infections, 100,000 secondary infections account for 3%
Image : On 3 January 2023, the tragedy of the emergency department of a hospital in Beijing. (Jade Gao/AFP via Getty Images)
湖南医师：300万人感染中10万二次感染 占比3%
The outbreak of the epidemic in CCP China has caused a large number of patients to get infected again in many places, and the public has begun to care about the severity of the secondary infection. A doctor in Hunan claimed that data showed that 100,000 of the 3 million infected people had a second infection but he did not provide source for the data.
On 10 January 2023, the Douyin account "Dr. Chen Science Popularization" with more than 8 million fans released a video talking about the situation of secondary infection. The broadcaster of this account is Chen Zhicheng, an attending physician in the Nephrology Department of the Second Affiliated Hospital of Hunan University of Traditional Chinese Medicine.
Chen Zhicheng said in the video that secondary infections with previous strains of Omicron were rarebut because Omicron was highly susceptible to mutation, antibodies against the original strain were not immune to the mutated strain. Therefore, after the epidemic of Omicron, the secondary infection rate increased greatly.
He mentioned that data shows that 100,000 of the 3 million infected people were infected twice, less than 1,800 were infected three times, and 18 people were infected four times.
However, he did not mention whether the data is the result of the current survey in a certain place in China or the whole country, or the result of previous foreign research. Some Douyin netizens thanked him for "telling the truth." However, some netizens doubted whether he was compiling data to "maintain stability" for the government, because he later mentioned that "the symptoms of the second infection were milder than the first one", which some netizens thought was inconsistent with the current situation in China.
As early as 22 December 2022, the internal meeting minutes of the National Health and Medical Commission of the Communist Party of China circulated on the Internet stated that within 20 days, a total of 248 million people had been infected nationwide. A study by Peking University reported that as of 11 January 2023, about 900 million people across the country were infected.
Therefore, even if the secondary infection rate is calculated at 3%, the number of secondary infections in China may already be very large.
News (10)
Secondary infection outside China has exceeded 3%
In fact, previous data show that the secondary infection rate in many countries and regions has exceeded 3%.
News (11)
Secondary infection rate in Hong Kong nursing homes has reached 32%
On 1 December 2022, Ou Jiarong, an expert from the Hong Kong Center for Health Protection, said that the secondary infection rate in the Hong Kong community has exceeded 4%, and this number will increase over time. Among them, the secondary infection rate in nursing homes has reached 32%.
News (12)
Secondary infection in the UK is 6.75%
British official statistics show that as of 7 December 2022, the number of secondary infections in the UK has accounted for 6.75% of the total number of infections.
News (13)
Secondary infection in Italy is 3.31%
According to a report released by the University of Ferrara in Italy at the end of July 2022, after studying 91 research data from several countries including Asia, Europe, and North America, it was found that the overall secondary infection rate of Omicron had reached 3.31%.
News (14)
Secondary infection in South Africa is 40%, in Brazil 13%
According to a research report published by Brazilian scholars in April 2022, in South Africa, where the vaccination rate was low, the secondary infection rate was as high as 40%; in Brazil, where the fully vaccinated rate was high, the secondary infection rate also reached 13%.
News (15)
Not easy to achieve "herd immunity"
Due to the continuous mutation of the virus, many experts believe that it is not realistic to achieve "herd immunity" through only one infection peak.
In May 2022, Chen Wenqian, a senior Taiwanese media person, wrote an article pointing out that the "herd immunity" that some experts call does not exist at all. Many scientists are worried that due to the continuous immune escape of Omicron virus, there will be two to three infection waves every year in the future. In addition, more frequent personnel exchanges in the era of globalization may lead to continuous mutation of the virus. There is simply no way for mankind to end the pandemic in a short period of time.
News (16)
Chinese doctors: The intervals between infections are very short and secondary infection symptoms are severe
A few days ago, an audio recording of a conversation between a doctor in Beijing and his relatives in his hometown in Northeast China leaked out on the Internet. The doctor revealed that his hospital is full of patients with secondary infections. These patients reported physical pain 5-10 times that of the first infection, and because the immune system was destroyed by the second infection, they had to rely on injections twice a day the expensive immunoglobulins to sustain life.
A doctor in Shijiazhuang, Hebei, who did not want to be named, told Radio Free Asia that many people in China are currently infected with very short intervals between infections. The doctor said that many patients, including those in Beijing, Shandong, and Sichuan, had a second infection one month after recovering from the first infection, and the symptoms were often obvious.
News (17)
Taiyuan medical worker: The virus is likely to be a new mutant strain of Omicron
Ms. Liu, a medical worker in Taiyuan, Shanxi, hinted that the outbreak of the epidemic in China is likely to be a new mutant strain of Omicron. She said that the reason why the second infection in China is serious is because the area of the first infection is very large, which is a matter of probability. Today's data changes very quickly. Moreover, the body of the person infected for the first time has not yet recovered, and it is easy to be attacked by the virus again.
According to other news on the Internet, after the first wave of infection in many cities, some people have symptoms of fecal incontinence, suspected to be infected with the Omicron XBB strain again.
News (18)
Human body cannot withstand repeated infections
The Douyin video of the above-mentioned "Dr. Chen Popular Science" stated that "the symptoms of the second infection are milder than the first time", which attracted many Chinese netizens to leave messages to refute. Some people say that it has been more than 20 days since their first infection, and the sequelae of infection are terrible, let alone the second infection. There are also netizens who leave messages saying that they or their friends have been infected for the second time, and the symptoms are worse than the first time. "I feel that the human body cannot withstand repeated infections."
News (19) to (20) / Host : Li Muyang / Publisher : News Highlights / Editor : Liu Mingxiang / https://www.ntdtv.com/gb/2023/01/15/a103625308.html
News (19)
Nearly 60,000 deaths within the month? Has the infection peak passed?
Almost 100% infected? Strongest Strain ➕ Worst Decision
At the press conference of the Joint Prevention and Control Mechanism of the State Council of the Communist Party of China, Jiao Yahui, Director of the Department of Medical Affairs, mentioned a few points in answering questions from reporters.
1. Jiao Yahui said that the peak of fever outpatient visits across the country is on 23 December 2022, with a total of 2.867 million visits. After that, it continued to decline, and by 12 January, it had dropped to 477,000, a decrease of 83.3% from the peak. "The peak of fever clinics has passed," she said. In other words, the CCP believes that the peak has passed.
2. Jiao Yahui said that 5 January was the peak of the hospitalization of people infected with the covid virus, with 1.625 million people. After that, it continued to decline, and fell back to 1.27 million on 12 January 2023.
3. The number of critically ill patients also peaked on 5 January at 128,000 while on 12 January, it fell back to 105,000. Severely ill patients are mainly elderly, with an average age of 75.5 years; 89.6% are 60 years old and above, and it is common to have multiple underlying diseases.
4. Jiao Yahui said that according to the analysis of CCP experts, from 8 December 2022 to 12 January 2023, "a total of 59,938 deaths related to the new coronavirus infection occurred in medical institutions across the country." That is to say, in 36 days, nearly 60,000 people died in China.
I captured this information while Jiao Yahui was answering reporters' questions. Although Jiao Yahui is the director of the Department of Medical Affairs, she is just a small sesame official of the CCP. The figures she mentioned must have been made public after internal consensus.
Everyone knows that the numbers that the CCP can disclose are all beautified, and there is serious misinformation. So how much water is there in these numbers? I consulted professionals, and did some analysis, and the conclusions I came to were quite astonishing.
As for the first point of the CCP’s notification that “the peak of fever clinics has passed”, this statement is consistent with the statement of the Peking University Research Institute’s report yesterday. According to the report of Peking University Research Institute, 900 million people have been infected in China, and the peak has passed.
900 million people have been infected. This number is actually quite astonishing. This is the largest number of infections disclosed by the CCP so far. But this number is also beautified. I don’t know how many people are infected, but it can be said with certainty that the actual number of infected people in China must be greater than 900 million.
On 14 January, I contacted a friend who is a well-known American doctor of medicine, surnamed Yang. Dr. Yang is very low-key and does not want his name mentioned on the show. So I can only call him Dr. Yang.
I consulted Dr. Yang about the situation of this wave of the epidemic. Dr. Yang said that the situation is alarming. He believes that the infection rate in China may have reached 100%. Even if it has not reached 100%, at least it must be above 98%, and only a sporadic part has not been infected.
Dr. Yang has several reasons for making this judgment. The first is the base of China's population, which he thinks is not 1.4 billion. As early as December 2021, Yi Fuxian, an internationally renowned demographer, estimated that China's total population was less than 1.28 billion.
Yi Fuxian has been concerned about China's population issues for a long time and is the author of the book "The Empty Nest of a Great Country". Dr. Yang believes that Yi Fuxian's estimate is relatively conservative, and the real situation may be much smaller than this number. The Peking University Research Institute reported that 900 million people were infected, which is another number with serious omissions. Therefore, based on a comprehensive analysis of the two, the actual number of infections in China is likely to be close to that of the entire population.
The second reason is that the strain circulating in China is XBB.1.5. Dr. Yang said that although the CCP now claims that it has not found the XBB.1.5 virus strain, the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention found 4 cases of XBB.1.5 out of 199 cases between October and December last year.
The XBB.1.5 strain is a super variant with the fastest transmission speed among all known virus strains, and has a strong immune escape ability. Even if you have been vaccinated, you can be infected by it.
The third reason is that China has been implementing the "dynamic clearing" policy before, locking the people of the whole country at home and having no chance of contacting the virus. The virus is constantly evolving and mutating. From the original strain to the present, there have been at least dozens of generations of mutant strains. Now the virus strain with the most transmissibility is prevalent in China.
When the Chinese did not have the proper resistance, they encountered the most contagious and contagious virus. At this stage, the CCP suddenly let go and "made the worst decision." The CCP also encourages people to have full contact with each other, demanding that "the sun should be as good as the sun."
Combining these three reasons, Dr. Yang believes that China is likely to have reached 100% infection, and the number of people who are not infected may be very small. Dr. Yang said, "In this wave of epidemics, no one can escape, and it will be a matter of time before they get infected."
Regarding the last three points reported by the CCP, the second and third points are actually laying the groundwork for the fourth point. What the CCP wants to focus on is that nearly 60,000 people died in 36 days. So I put these three points together.
According to experts from the CCP, from 8 December 2022 to 12 January 2023, "a total of 59,938 deaths related to the new coronavirus infection occurred in medical institutions across the country."
One piece of information worth noting here is that the number of cases that died in medical institutions across the country does not include deaths outside of medical institutions. In other words, this is a number with serious loopholes, imprecise and inaccurate.
By analogy, Jiao Yahui's second and third points are also imprecise and inaccurate. Because there are many people who cannot be admitted to the hospital even if they are seriously ill. A lack of beds is a serious problem in healthcare systems across the country.
Let go at the worst time, encounter the strongest virus, and let people respond to the sun to the maximum. Just like the flowers cultivated in the greenhouse, when the coldest cold snap hits, the doors and windows are opened, and the flowers will of course freeze to death.
News (20)
Death rate at least 1%? Death toll or tens of millions?
Covi infections in Hong Kong and Hong Kong covid tally from 31 December to 14 January 2023
On 13 January 2023, Cai Shenkun, an independent commentator, said in a tweet that the current number of infections in Hong Kong is between 12,000 and 9,000 per day, and the number of deaths per day is between 74 and 64. The calculated death rate is 0.7%.
Cai Shenkun pointed out that Hong Kong's medical conditions are better than those in mainland China, especially the elderly have a high vaccination rate, and special medicines are provided free of charge. Therefore, he believes that China's death rate "will not be lower than that of Hong Kong." "The true death rate is likely to be around 1%," he wrote.
On 14 January, the Center for Health Protection of the Hong Kong Department of Health announced the latest situation of the covid outbreak. From 31 December 2021 to 12 am of 14 January 2023, in this fifth wave of the epidemic, a total of 1,192,704 nucleic acid covi-positive cases and 1,620,121 antigen covi-positive cases were found.
In this fifth wave of the epidemic, a total of 12,534 deaths were recorded, including all age groups. The overall mortality rate regardless of age group was 0.45%, while the mortality rate for those who were not vaccinated and those who had received a shot of the vaccine was 1.71%.
It should be noted that the vaccines inoculated in Hong Kong include both foreign vaccines and Chinese-made vaccines, and Hong Kong citizens can choose by themselves. However, the vaccines inoculated in mainland China are all domestic vaccines, and there is no room for selection.
In yesterday’s and the day before yesterday’s program, I already talked about that the CCP’s domestic vaccines cannot prevent viruses. Not only can it not prevent viruses, but it can also promote infection, severe illness, and death, because it may contain internationally banned drugs and toxins. Therefore, in this wave of epidemics, the death rate in China will definitely be higher than that in Hong Kong.
A netizen broke the news. In a village of 5,000 people near a provincial capital in the Midwest, more than 60 people died in this round of infections in a short period of time. The mortality rate is slightly above 1%. This netizen said that his family's "relatives are middle-level leading cadres of the Communist Party, so they know the inside story."
Dr. Yang also believes that the death rate in China is around 1%. According to the transmission power of tovi, combined with the characteristics of epidemiology, Dr. Yang "conservatively estimated that the severe disease rate is about 10%, the number of patients who can be admitted to the ICU is about 5%, and the death rate is about 1%. Dr. Yang also emphasized that "all these percentages are based on the total population of the country".
This account is easy to calculate. 10% of the 1.4 billion population is 140 million, 5% is 70 million, and 1% is 14 million. In other words, Cai Shenkun, the netizen who broke the news, and Dr. Yang have the same opinion. They all believe that the death rate in China is around 1%.
There is also the Tianjin friend mentioned yesterday. In an interview with Voice of America on 7 January he introduced that his friend who works in the Tianjin funeral home estimated that from December 12 to January 7, "100,000 people died in Tianjin." There are few, and the death peak has not yet come.” If this figure is estimated to be true, then the death rate in Tianjin is also close to 1%.
On 13 January, Mr. Bao Tong's daughter Bao Jian sent a tweet. "Hundreds of thousands of people died in Beijing in a month, and the city government beat gongs and drums to hold a commendation meeting. It's shameless! In less than a month, 17 of my friends or relatives have passed away. This is unheard of in my life. Could it be that we are catching up with the once-in-a-thousand-year event again?"
Below Bao Jian’s tweet, a netizen commented that he was in Beijing. He thinks that the number of hundreds of thousands mentioned by Bao Jian "may be a bit conservative, I estimate it to be in the millions".
Bao Jian did not have an accurate figure, but only estimated hundreds of thousands. Let us assume that 300,000 people died in Beijing, then the death rate in Beijing is 1.36%; if there are millions of deaths, then the death rate is 5.7%.
If this is the death rate, if it is the same in the whole country, how many people will die in the whole country? I calculated that if the death rate is 1.36%, that is 19.04 million deaths; and if it is 5.7%, that is 79.8 million deaths.
I cannot confirm whether the numbers they mentioned are accurate, even if it is the 1% death rate mentioned above, that is tens of millions of deaths. This number is very very amazing! But it also needs to be pointed out that this is only the last month.
Three ways to count the number of deaths in CCP China
I know that some people may think that this is scaremongering, or that it is spreading rumors, etc. There will always be such people. It doesn't matter, I just calculate this number, believe it or not is entirely up to you.
But what I want to remind everyone is that looking back on the past month, isn’t the various information we have seen very scary? Immediately after the release on 7 December 2022, hospitals in Beijing were overcrowded. Beijing is the city with the most powerful medical care in China. Technology, personnel and supplies are the highest priority. However, Beijing's medical system has been paralyzed.
A lot of dire situations followed. The mortuary of the hospital was full, and the corpses were piled up everywhere; the funeral parlor was full, and a temporary price had to be set up, and the corpses were stacked together in layers, and even piled up in the open air outside the house.
The crematorium has changed from the original 8-hour working system to 24-hour cremation, but there are still too many corpses to burn. There are reports that the cremation furnaces have collapsed in many crematoria. Then came the news that the authorities rented a large cold storage to store the corpses, and then it was reported that a mass cremation was adopted, and several corpses were burned at the same time.
Even so, a large number of corpses cannot be disposed of, and more and more are accumulated. Including Beijing, Tianjin, Harbin and many other cities have reported that the local area is urgently expanding crematoriums and morgues.
Analyzing these situations comprehensively, think about it for yourself, how many people must die for such a situation to occur? Although we cannot know the real number, I believe this number must be very large and very alarming.
In fact, it is not difficult to count how many people died in China during this month. There are at least three statistical methods, and they can corroborate each other.
The first is data from crematoria across the country. As long as the number of corpses burned in all crematorias across the country is counted, the number of deaths from the epidemic can basically be obtained. Because there are only a few places in China where burials are carried out, and most areas are cremated. So if this number is calculated, it should be more accurate.
The second is to count the mobile phone business volume of the CCP’s telecommunications sector. Look at how many mobile phone users have been reduced. This reduced number may also reflect the death situation.
As early as 19 March 2020, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of the Communist Party of China announced the "Economic Operation of the Communications Industry from January to February 2020". It shows that in the first two months of the year, the mobile phone users and 4G phone users of the three major operators all experienced a sharp negative growth, which were -21.42 million and -19.46 million, respectively.
In other words, from January to February 2020, the three major operators and 4G phone users decreased by 40.88 million in total. Even if there is overlap, or a person uses 2 mobile phones, that is 20.44 million. What is the reason for such a sharp decrease in concentration?
Everyone knows that from January to February 2020, it was the climbing stage of the outbreak of the Wuhan epidemic across the country. So is the reduction in mobile phone users related to death?
Fang Fang, a female writer from Wuhan, wrote in her diary back then, "What broke my heart even more was a picture sent by my doctor friend. This made the sadness of the previous days come back again. In the picture, It's the unowned mobile phones that the funeral home threw all over the floor, and their owners have been reduced to ashes."
The CCP government will conceal the numbers, but the mobile phone user data will not deceive people, and there are two other data that will not deceive people, one is the cremation data of the crematorium. Although there are some places where burials are carried out, most of them still use cremation, so this data is relatively accurate.
The third is also more accurate, that is, the number of account cancellations. We know that after a person dies, the family members have to go to the local police station to cancel their household registration. It is very easy for the CCP’s public security if the total number of canceled household registrations in the whole country in this month is adjusted.
However, I believe that the CCP will not adopt either method. Because the CCP does not want people to know the truth, it will always deceive the people of the country and the world.
Then I would like to remind everyone to think about a problem. It has been 3 years. In the past 3 years, SARS-CoV-2 has always enveloped different places in mainland China. So in the past three years, how many people died in China in total?
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