Report by : Gan Yung Chyan, KUCINTA SETIA / Images : Web Screenshots / xjorrdy on Flickr, FlightRadar24
News (1)
Pelosi's B737 likely to refuel somewhere enroute to Singapore
The aircraft of Nancy Pelosi's U.S. delegation, the U.S. Air Force C-40C , which is a B737 jet, is likely to refuel enroute to Singapore. Pelosi's flight SPAR19 has left Honolulu for an unspecified destination at 7 pm, which is 4 hours 46 minutes ago before Singapore time.
The B737 has only a range of 5,000 km and thus it needs to refuel somewhere enroute on the way to Singapore.
Airport destinations that may serve as stopovers for SPAR19 may include Koror, Songshan airport of Taipei and Clark. Between the route Honolulu-Singapore, Songshan comes up as a better airport for stopover. Pelosi may transit in Songshan but she may not spend one day talking to the VIPs of the Republic of China.
The other alternative airport is Clark, in the Philippines.
On various flight tracking applications and on Internet, on the number of observers tracking the flight path of SPAR19 at one time, nearly 100,000 people watched the flight route, and there are currently more than 13,000 people monitoring the flight path online.
It is understood that Pelosi reiterated in a statement before her trip to Asia, "Today, our congressional delegation travels to the Indo-Pacific region to reaffirm the firm and unshakable commitment of the United States to allies in the region." She is travelling to 4 countries Singapore, Malaysia, South Korea and Japan and hold high-level meetings with local dignitaries to discuss issues including peace, security, economic growth and trade, the covid pandemic, the climate crisis, human rights and democracy. Although the text reiterated the Biden administration's emphasis on the Indo-Pacific region, it did not mention Taiwan.
Netizen Zaid Hamid tweeted, "China said if Nancy Pelosi (Speaker of the House/Most senior after VP) visited Taiwan they will use force to stop her. She is enroute now."
The B737 that Pelosi took this time was the same executive plane that the chairman of the U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee and Democratic Senator Bob Menendez took in April 2022 on a visit to Taiwan. Pelosi took off at 5 pm Singapore / Taiwan time on 30 July 2022 and landed in Hawaii at 9.30 pm that day. On 31 July 2022, SPAR19 departed from Travis Air Base, Honolulu, at 7 pm.
News (2)
SPAR19 landed in Yigo Air Base, Guam on 31 July 2022 before takeoff
According to FlightAware, the first stopover destination of Nancy Pelosi's flight SPAR19 is Yigo Air Base, Guam. It landed in Yigo at 10.39 pm local time of 31 July 2022, which is 26 minutes ago of Singapore time 9.06 pm. It left Yigo for an unspecified airport at 10.28 pm Singapore time on 31 July 2022 at the direction of the Philippines.
If SPAR19 continues to fly without any stopover it can arrive in Singapore by sunrise hour on 1 August 2022.
The B737 can only fly a distance of 5000 km. Pelosi's arrival in Singapore is on 1 August 2022 at 4.21 am, according to TVBS. She will meet Singapore Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong and President Halimah Yacob etc from 1 to 2 August 2022.
Pelosi's entourage also include Gregory Meeks, chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the House of Representatives, Mark Takano, chairman of the House Veterans Committee who came to Taiwan (in 2021), and vice chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee. Suzan DelBene, Raja Krishnamoorthi, a member of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence and Andy Kim, a member of the House Armed Services and Foreign Affairs Committee.
Refs: https://uk.flightaware.com/live/flight/SPAR19, https://news.tvbs.com.tw/world/1863813, https://news.tvbs.com.tw/world/1864034
News (3)
Pelosi is rumoured to visit Taiwan via the Philippines on "this day", foreign media: She will meet Tsai Ing-wen
Report by : Huang Shihui, editor in charge of Hong Kong 01 / https://news.tvbs.com.tw/world/1863835
Image : According to reports, the Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi flew to Taiwan via the Clark U.S. Air Force Base in the Philippines on 4 August 2022. (Composite image/Dazhi Image Reuters, TVBS)
The Chinese website of Radio France Internationale (RFI) quoted a source on 31 July 2022 as saying that U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi flew to Taiwan via Clark U.S. Air Force Base in the Philippines on 4 August 2022 and met with President Tsai Ing-wen in Taipei. Pelosi will arrive at the Yokota US Air Force Base in Tokyo in the afternoon of 5 August and meet with Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida.
The Speaker of the US House of Representatives website announced Pelosi's itinerary on the 31st, confirming that she will visit Japan, South Korea, Singapore and Malaysia. Taiwan was not mentioned in the press release, only that the itinerary was "related to safety and security." Radio France International quoted sources as saying that Pelosi will visit Taiwan via Clark Air Base in the Philippines on 4 August 2022 and meet Tsai Ing-wen in Taipei. In the afternoon of 5 August, its plane will be scheduled to land at the Yokota US Air Force Base in Tokyo. She is the third-ranked Speaker of the House of Representatives in U.S. politics, and as a protocol procedure, she will naturally meet with Prime Minister Fumio Kishida.
Clark Air Base is located in Mabalaca, Pampanga, Philippines.
Singapore's "Lianhe Zaobao" quoted the Ministry of Foreign Affairs as saying that a delegation led by the Speaker of the US House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi will visit Singapore from 1 to 2 August 2022, and will meet with Singaporean President Halimah Yacob and Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong. She will communicate with a number of cabinet ministers.
Refs: https://www.investmentwatchblog.com/pelosi-is-on-her-way-tail-is-spar19-pelosis-plane-has-left-the-us-mainland-after-a-short-stop-at-the-travis-base-just-arrived-at-a-cruise-alt-of-32000-ft/, https://news.tvbs.com.tw/world/1863753, https://news.tvbs.com.tw/world/1863835, https://news.tvbs.com.tw/world/1864034
News (4) to (5) / Editor : Lu Yongxin / https://www.ntdtv.com/gb/2022/07/31/a103491361.html
News (4)
Pelosi launches Asia tour, more than 10 U.S. military planes arrive in Okinawa
Image : Pictured, a U.S. Air Force Boeing KC-135 aerial tanker flies over Villeville, northwest France, on 6 June 2020. Schematic. (Sameer Al-Doumy/AFP via Getty Images)
Whether U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi will visit Taiwan during her Asian trip has attracted international attention. Japan's Ryukyu Shimbun reported that more than 10 military aircraft not belonging to the U.S. military base in Okinawa, Japan, arrived in Okinawa on 31 July 2022, and it was concluded that it may be related to Pelosi's trip to Asia.According to reports, nine KC-135 aerial tankers attached to the U.S. domestic air force base landed at the Kadena base of the U.S. military stationed in Okinawa, Japan one after another.
In addition, two U.S. aircraft carrier carrier-based transport aircraft C-2 Greyhound transport aircraft, and a Tripoli amphibious assault ship carrier-based helicopter MH-60 also flew to the Kadena base.
The report concluded that the arrival of these U.S. military planes in Okinawa may be related to Nancy Pelosi's planned visit to Taiwan, which has raised tensions between CCP China and the United States.
News (5)
Pelosi begins Asia tour
Pelosi led a congressional delegation to visit Asia, including Singapore, Malaysia, South Korea, Japan, but not Taiwan.
The flight tracking website pointed to an Air Force Boeing C-40C transport plane that departed from San Francisco on 30 July and was bound for Hawaii. It is also suspected that Pelosi changed from Hawaii to a C-5 strategic transport plane to fly to Asia today, but the final destination has not yet been known.
Whether or not Pelosi's visit to Taiwan during her Asian trip has aroused international attention. She avoided answering when she was asked about the visit at a press conference on the 29th, saying that this is a security issue, and it is a security issue for every member of Congress who visits. , especially when visiting abroad.
Although Pelosi insisted not to let go her plan, the US media "Washington Post" (Washington Post) reported that diplomatic sources confirmed that Pelosi was determined to visit Taiwan.
The news of Pelosi's possible visit to Taiwan has sparked a strong reaction from the CCP and even military threats. When U.S. President Joe Biden had a phone call with CCP President Xi Jinping on 28 July 2022, the two had a "direct and candid" dialogue on Taiwan issues. Biden reiterated that the U.S. policy would remain unchanged, and expressed his strong opposition to unilaterally changing the status quo or undermining peace across the Taiwan Strait.
In addition, according to Hong Kong media statistics, the CCP has conducted at least 5 exercises in the South China Sea, Taiwan Strait and East China Sea recently.
Chinese experts believe the move is a reaction to Pelosi's possible visit to Taiwan.
According to the information released by the American Chamber of Commerce in Singapore, the "Smart City Cocktail Party" event will be held from 4 pm to 7 pm local time on 1 August 2022, and Pelosi will attend and deliver a speech.
Video (1)
Pelosi's visit to Taiwan, Trump hit the nail on her head. Who are the 2024 running mates of Boss Trump? The American conservative media listed the top ten candidates, and one person was not on the list. | New Horizons Issue 711 20220731
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5PidfSsWddM
Video (2)
Pelosi's itinerary on 1 August 2022 revealed that multiple models will fly around Taiwan
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lEkQUrbRLVc
News (6)
Pelosi's visit to Taiwan script + 1. Mainland Scholars: The US can say "military aircraft failure" and downgrade
Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives Pelosi officially arrived in Singapore today (1) to start a trip to Asia. Although Taiwan was not mentioned in the official itinerary released on the 31st, many people still believe that Pelosi will take advantage of this short trip. Come to Taiwan to meet with high-level government officials. Scholars in mainland China also pointed to another "script of visit to Taiwan" by Pelosi, believing that she may deliberately stop in Taiwan on the grounds of "mechanical failure" of the military aircraft.
According to Lianhe Zaobao, Lv Xiang, an expert on American issues at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, was interviewed by the Global Times on 31 July 2022 and was asked if Pelosi would "play tricks" during his visit. At the time, Lv Xiang said that if Pelosi suddenly landed in Taiwan on the grounds of a temporary mechanical failure of the military plane during his visit, and landed on Taiwan by means of "deception", there would also be serious consequences.
Lv Xiang analyzed that the special plane that Pelosi took this time was provided by the U.S. military, so if we really want to visit Taiwan with this plan, we must have the cooperation of the Pentagon, which means that Pelosi and Biden need to have a "tacit understanding". ” to complete the operation. However, Lu Xiang also admitted that he thinks this possibility is not high, but China still needs to take precautions against it.
In addition, Shen Yi, a researcher at the Department of International Politics at Fudan University, also posted on Weibo on the 31st to analyze the "risk points" of Pelosi's possible visit to Taiwan. Shen Yi mentioned that when Pelosi ended her visit to Singapore and Malaysia, when she flew north to South Korea and Japan, she would pass through the airspace adjacent to Taiwan in the middle, and may take the opportunity to stopover in Taiwan. In addition, when she and the congressional delegation ended their trip to Japan and South Korea and were about to return to the United States, she might also come to Taiwan on her own or send other officials to visit Taiwan.
News (7)
Foreign media revealed that Pelosi's visit to Taiwan will meet President Su: The meeting will be properly arranged
President Tsai Ing-wen attended the Forum on Indigenous Rights and was in the same frame as Executive President Su Zhenchang, but as soon as he arrived at the gate of the venue, people suddenly ambush to protest, held up signs and choked, and accidentally broke the glass, causing a commotion. The President still did not respond to the issue of the visit to Taiwan.
President Tsai Ing-wen v.s reporter: "President Pelosi has arrived in Asia. Does the national army have any special preparations?"
No matter how you asked, the president would not answer. Su Zhenchang attended the forum on indigenous rights in the same frame, but at this moment there was a sudden sound of glass breaking.
Protesters vs. President Tsai Ing-wen: "Don't lie to Tsai Ing-wen, the loss of indigenous land is serious."
There was a burst of exclamation at the scene. The people who were eating in the restaurant next to the door suddenly protested. The police immediately stepped forward to stop it. Fortunately, no one was injured. However, everyone was most concerned about whether Pelosi would come. Su Zhenchang warmly welcomed him with open arms.
Executive Director Su Zhenchang said, "We will make proper arrangements for the visits of foreign guests, and of course respect the planning of the visiting guests."
According to French media reports, Pelosi will arrive in Taiwan to meet the president on 4 August but the South Korean speaker confirmed that he will meet with Pelosi that morning, and the chance of visiting Taiwan on the 4th seems slim.
However former diplomat Liu Shijie said that, judging from his experience, Pelosi will come, because this trip will be the "perfect footnote" to her brilliant political career, and she will be handing out 100 free chicken chops.
Su Ziyun, Director of the Strategy Institute of the National Defense Academy: "For the reason of technical landing, I transferred to Taipei Airport for refueling. From Singapore to Yokota, Japan, it is about 4,500 kilometers, so it is possible to arrive directly without refueling, but for safety reasons, it can also be midway. Fuel it up and make it safer."
Experts analyzed that although refueling is actually not required on the voyage, it can be "technically" reasonable for safety reasons, but the sense of crisis in the surrounding situation has risen, and it has been reported that the internal combat readiness level of the national army has been upgraded. All main fighters are on guard to prevent possible conflicts occur.
Su Ziyun, director of the Strategic Institute of the National Defense Academy, said, "If the combat readiness is often raised to the alert combat readiness, it will be a standby machine, and the preparation time will be shorter."
In this regard, the Ministry of National Defense said in a low-key manner that all threats to the Communist military, the national military has a complete plan, and whether there is an upgrade will not be confirmed nor denied, which adds more reverie to the issue of Pelosi's visit to Taiwan.
News (8)
Pelosi visits South Korea on 4 August, will meet with the speaker of the Congress, strengthen bilateral cooperation, and will come to Taiwan on 3 August
"Yonhap" (Yonhap) reported that Nancy Pelosi, the speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, who is currently visiting Singapore, has attracted great attention from the Taiwanese media as her next destination; South Korean Speaker Kim Jin-pyo said on the 1st, According to the current plan, Pelosi will arrive in Seoul on 4 August 2022, and will meet with Congress at that time to discuss the situation on the Korean Peninsula, economic cooperation between the United States and South Korea and related issues.
Kim Jin-pyo also pointed out that after a brief meeting, he will hold a joint press conference with Pelosi, and the outside world is expected to issue a new version of the joint statement.
According to the current public and circulating information, Pelosi's Asian itinerary is as follows:
8/1-8/2 Singapore
8/2 Malaysia
8/3 (suspected to be Taiwan)
8/4 Meeting with the Speaker of the Korean National Assembly
8/5 Japan
News (9)
Pelosi plans to visit Taiwan, Communist military scholars threaten: "Anti-secession law" will be activated if you step on the red line
U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi plans to visit Taiwan, and tensions between Taiwan, the United States, and CCP China are heating up. The People's Political Consultative Conference, the official newspaper of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, quoted an unnamed PLA strategist as saying that if the United States and Taiwan dare to step on the red line drawn by the mainland, the "anti-secession law" will be activated.
An unnamed PLA strategist was quoted in a July 30 report by the People's Political Consultative Conference discussing Nancy Pelosi's planned visit to Taiwan.
An unnamed PLA strategist claimed that the CCP government and military can take all means within the scope of international law and the UN Charter, "Of course, it is far from the mere kinds that the media at home and abroad have said recently, and the means are far more than what the media say. Many".
The expert threatened, "As long as the U.S. and Taiwan dare to step on the red line drawn by the mainland, we will activate the Anti-Secession Law and attack Taiwan with thunderous momentum, greatly advancing the pace of complete national reunification. It can be said responsibly. , we do what we say.”
The Anti-Secession Law is a basic law passed by China at the third session of the 10th National People's Congress on March 14, 2005. There are 10 articles in total, which are intended to fight against independence and promote reunification.
Article 8 of the Anti-Secession Law states, "Taiwan independence separatist forces in any name or in any way cause the fact of Taiwan's secession from China, or the occurrence of major incidents that will lead to Taiwan's secession from China, or the possibility of peaceful reunification is completely lost. The state must take non-peaceful means and other necessary measures to safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity.”
In addition, the report also quoted an unnamed cross-strait observer who pointed out that under normal circumstances, the United States and China would not suddenly escalate the relationship between the two countries to the point of war due to Pelosi's visit to Taiwan.
The person also said that the United States and Taiwan should realize that without the approval of the Chinese government, once Pelosi's visit to Taiwan is successful, "it will undoubtedly be the most serious and brutal provocation of China's territorial sovereignty by the United States in the past 25 years." and aggression, and it will actually break the status quo that has maintained peace across the Taiwan Strait for decades.”
"Pelosi had better given up her visit to Taiwan", he said.
The person also pointed out that both the United States and the Tsai government must know that the Taiwan issue involves China's core interests. Core interests refer to "interests that can be fought desperately for, and will not hesitate to fight." Core interests cannot be negotiated.
U.S. President Joe Biden had a phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping on July 28. The Chinese Foreign Ministry said afterward that "this call was held against the backdrop of Speaker Pelosi's long-planned visit to Taiwan." (Central News Agency)
News (10)
Washington Post: Pelosi will come to Taiwan as soon as the evening of 2 August to meet with senior officials of the Taiwan government
Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi recently led a delegation of congressmen to start a trip to Asia. According to comprehensive foreign media reports, the special plane suspected of Pelosi landed in Singapore early this morning (1), and the next stop will be Malaysia; and Although Taiwan is not included in the public itinerary, Josh Rogin, a reporter for the Washington Post, pointed out in a tweet that Pelosi may go to Taiwan after visiting Malaysia, and the time point may be "on the 2nd. In the evening or the morning of the 3rd.”
Rogin quoted a source in the diplomatic circle on Twitter that the real-time flight status website "Flightradar24" showed that the U.S. Air Force C-40C (military B737) transport aircraft suspected of carrying Pelosi's call sign "SPAR19" on today (1 August 2022). ) landed at Paya Lebar Air Base in Singapore at around 4.20 am. Rogin pointed out that Pelosi may visit Taiwan after visiting Malaysia, and the time may be in the evening of the 2nd or the morning of the 3rd, and is expected to meet with senior officials of the Taiwan government during the stay.
Drew Thompson, who served as director of the U.S. Department of Defense's China, Taiwan and Mongolia Office from 2011 to 2018, also tweeted on July 31 that although Pelosi has not made a public statement Taiwan is mentioned in the itinerary, but the visiting group may make a brief stop in Taiwan on an "unofficial basis" because such an approach is in line with the "one China policy" of the United States.
Tang Anzhu analyzed that Taiwan was not included in Pelosi's public itinerary, nor was it tied with the other four sovereign countries, which means that if she really visited Taiwan, it would be "unofficial." He pointed out that this approach is to consider the Beijing authorities. concern, but not "give in"; because the Chinese government wants to see Taiwan excluded from the official agenda, and it does not want Taiwan to be side-by-side with other countries.
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