Direct translation
Before the Fourth Plenary Session, Zhang Youxia's five harsh words shocked Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao
Editor: Fang Xun / Source: Epoch Times Focus / https://www.aboluowang.com/2025/1008/2288049.html / Image : Web Screenshot
With only two weeks until the Fourth Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, the overt and covert infighting between anti-Xi factions and Xi Jinping's supporters has reached a climax.
Recent revelations indicate that Xi Jinping delivered a one-on-one message to all members of the Central Committee of the Xi Jinping's supporters, urging them to resist divisive forces within the Party and defend Xi Jinping's core.
Hu Jintao, Wen Jiabao, and Zhang Youxia also held a secret meeting, where Zhang Youxia reportedly delivered a five-sentence, shocking speech, stating the military's bottom line and demanding emergency plans.
Today's Epoch Times Focus analyzes the political risks and possible solutions to this power struggle.
Xi Jinping mobilizes Central Committee members. "Party divisions" became the fuse for the Fourth Plenary Session.
On October 6th, commentator "Xiao Shuojia" pointed out on his YouTube program that multiple revelations, corroborated by multiple sources, indicate that Xi Jinping has issued a general mobilization order, which has reached all members of the Central Committee of the Xi Jinping faction through one-on-one and verbal communications with members of the Xi faction. The core content of this mobilization order is that Xi Jinping hinted that some within the Party are sowing division, and demanded that Central Committee members clearly uphold the "two establishments" and "two safeguards" at the upcoming Fourth Plenum, combating so-called "separatist forces."
This revelation confirms a previously hotly debated issue: it would be nearly impossible for Zhang Youxia and Hu Jintao to remove Xi Jinping through normal Party procedures.
Because the majority of the current Central Committee members are Xi Jinping's associates, it would be extremely difficult to get them to vote publicly to remove Xi Jinping.
Unless Xi Jinping's major flaws can be publicly exposed at the Central Committee level before the vote, completely discrediting him and forcing all Central Committee members to abandon him.
Previously, some analysts speculated that the elders held a trump card: the Li Keqiang death case. If Xi Jinping did not follow the agreed-upon scenario and voluntarily resign at the Fourth Plenum, the elders would launch an investigation into Li Keqiang's death. If the truth about Xi Jinping's assassination of Li Keqiang were to become public, Xi would be ostracized by the entire Party, and his political career would be completely over.
However, even if this investigation plan is already on the table of the elders, it is an option for long-term deterrence, not an immediate solution to the current problem. This is because the investigation process will be protracted and will not quench immediate thirst.
Furthermore, if Xi Jinping continues to hold power after the Fourth Plenum, this lengthy investigation will be of no value. Under Xi Jinping's interference, the conclusion will inevitably be that Li Keqiang died of natural causes.
In other words, Xi Jinping cannot be removed from office through normal voting procedures. And launching an investigation into Li Keqiang's death will do nothing to address the pressing issue of power transition.
If Xi Jinping does not resign voluntarily, then Zhang Youxia and his ilk have only one option left: to force his resignation at the point of a gun.
Zhang Youxia's "Five Strong Statements" shocked Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao's Military, threatening to derail the situation if crossed
On October 6th, commentator "Shandong Hefu" revealed on his YouTube program that Zhang Youxia and Liu Yuan recently met with Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao, and also convened Wang Yang and Hu Chunhua to discuss Xi Jinping's future and future, as well as potential extreme scenarios.
According to sources familiar with the matter, the meeting took place at a heavily guarded residence in Beijing's Western Hills. The meeting lasted over two hours, during which Zhang Youxia made five shocking statements, each of which directly touched upon sensitive issues within the Party.
The following are Zhang Youxia's five key statements, compiled based on the revelations.
The first statement: "If Xi Jinping fails to fully retire at the Fourth Plenum, the consequences for me, Zhang Youxia, are something I'm sure all the senior leaders know." Zhang Youxia said, "While military loyalty is the cornerstone of the Party's cause, loyalty is not blind obedience. If the Fourth Plenum fails to follow the rules, the pressure within the military will be immense. You all understand the burden I bear. If the situation gets out of control, you all understand the consequences."
Secondly, if Xi Jinping does not step down at the Fourth Plenum, Wang Yang and Hu Chunhua will face grave personal danger. I'm not exaggerating; this is a signal from within the military.
Zhang Youxia also addressed Wang Yang and Hu Chunhua at this point: "Chairman Wang, Comrade Chunhua, you are both pillars of the Party, but you understand the current situation. Someone is watching your every move. If the Fourth Plenum's results fall short of expectations, your positions will be in jeopardy."
Third, the struggle within the Party will spread from underwater to surface, and may even escalate into full-scale armed conflict.
Zhang Youxia said to Hu Jintao: "Old leader, the struggle within the Party has always been undercurrent, but things are different now. Some contradictions can no longer be suppressed and may surface." If not handled properly, it could even escalate into open conflict, even physical violence.
Liu Yuan also spoke here, saying: "Comrade Jintao, Comrade Jiabao, you experienced countless storms in the past, and you know the cruelty of intra-Party struggles better than we do. The current situation is even more complicated than it was then. If we don't prepare early, the consequences will be disastrous."
The situation Liu Yuan was referring to was the 2012 struggle between Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao and the coup group led by Bo Xilai and Zhou Yongkang. Back then, Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao, acting as Party General Secretary and Premier, fought against Bo Xilai and Zhou Yongkang, who were attempting to seize power. The Hu-Wen side enjoyed the legitimacy of suppressing the rebellion and having a legitimate reason to do so.
This time, the situation is reversed. Hu Jintao is allying with the military to rebel against the current top leaders of the Party, government, and military, and their vast network of subordinates. Hu Jintao's side is at a disadvantage in terms of status. Therefore, at the Fourth Plenum, Hu Jintao and Zhang Youxia must nominally seize leadership of the Party, government, and military to legitimize this rebellion.
Liu Yuan was, of course, warning Hu Jintao that, if necessary, drastic measures must be taken, even resorting to military coercion, to ensure a smooth transfer of power by Xi Jinping at the Fourth Plenum.
Let's move on to Zhang Youxia's fourth, shocking statement. Regarding the possibility that Xi Jinping might not voluntarily hand over power, Zhang Youxia said that the veteran leaders must prepare contingency plans. If such a scenario were to occur, I, Zhang Youxia, might not be able to control the situation. Zhang Youxia replied, "Old leaders, I've been in the military for decades. I know where the bottom line lies. But if the situation gets out of control, I might be powerless. So, you need to help me think of a solution and prepare a contingency plan."
Here, Zhang Youxia was referring to the possibility that if Xi Jinping did not voluntarily hand over power, such an action would cross the military's line and provoke public outrage. The military might then openly rebel, and the situation could spiral out of control, something he himself might not be able to control. Zhang Youxia's fifth statement is, "Some things, once done, cannot be changed or stopped, just like a rock rolling down a mountain, unable to be stopped. We can only do our best to guide them, but the outcome is unpredictable."
The above is the basic content of the revelation. Let's now summarize it.
While we cannot verify the authenticity of this revelation, the tone of these five statements is very consistent with Zhang Youxia's status as a veteran military leader, and the description of the military situation in his speeches is quite accurate.
In fact, the core point of these five weighty statements summarized by the whistleblower is a single one: If Xi Jinping refuses to step down, the military may spiral out of control, and civil war may erupt in China, with unpredictable consequences. And if Xi Jinping returns to power, Zhang Youxia, Wang Yang, and others will be utterly annihilated.
This revelation vividly depicts the current tense standoff between anti-Xi factions like Zhang Youxia and Xi Jinping's faction, and highlights the dilemma facing the anti-Xi faction.
On the one hand, Hu Jintao did not want to expose the intra-Party struggle. He sought to achieve a smooth transition by having Xi Jinping resign voluntarily, concealing all the brutal internal struggle within the black box of Zhongnanhai and completing the transfer of power through so-called legal procedures.
Zhang Youxia, however, pointed out the biggest flaw in Hu Jintao's plan: Xi Jinping's tendency to go back on his word. What if Xi Jinping did not follow the internal agreement and resign voluntarily at the Fourth Plenum? What kind of contingency plan would be needed? Would the military be deployed to publicly carry Xi Jinping out of the meeting?
Whether this revelation is true or false, it does publicly address a key concern: has Hu Jintao devised a contingency plan that would reassure and satisfy the military if Xi Jinping did not resign voluntarily?
The Lesson of the Chenqiao Mutiny: Decisive action may be Zhang Youxia's final escape route
In fact, as a soldier, at critical moments in history, one cannot rely solely on politicians. Instead, one should prioritize the overall situation, make decisive decisions when necessary, and not miss opportunities. Furthermore, one should not risk the country's unrest and civil war by indecisiveness. To avoid this situation, Zhang Youxia and Liu Yuan may have to rely on themselves, rather than solely on so-called senior leaders to formulate contingency plans. If Hu Jintao remains obsessed with the illusory goal of intra-party unity, he will be exploited by Xi Jinping, who may then act cautiously and create an opportunity for Xi Jinping to turn the tables.
As the saying goes, the situation is stronger than the individual. When their own safety becomes paramount, Zhang Youxia and Liu Yuan may no longer care about the nonsense of intra-party unity. In fact, drawing on the historical experience of the Chenqiao Mutiny may be a way out for them.
In 960 AD, the Northern Han and Khitan armies jointly marched south, preparing to attack the Later Zhou Dynasty. The Later Zhou emperor was only seven years old, and the empress dowager was only in her early twenties. It was a situation of young rulers and a precarious situation. Under the threat of foreign enemies, the Central Plains court was in imminent danger.
At the time, Zhao Kuangyin, the then-Commander-in-Chief of the Central Army, Minister of National Defense, and Chief of the General Staff, was entrusted with the task of leading the troops into battle. However, the military commanders had already lost faith in the Later Zhou court. When the army reached Chenqiao Station, they stopped advancing and demanded a change of dynasty, enthroning Zhao Kuangyin as emperor.
Unbeknownst to Zhao Kuangyin, the military commanders acted decisively and placed a dragon robe on him, forcing him to the throne. With no escape route, he had no choice but to accept the situation and establish the Song Dynasty.
This became known as the "Chenqiao Mutiny," which resulted in no war and no disruption to the lives of the people in the capital. It was the lowest-cost change of dynasty in Chinese history.
Zhang Youxia and Liu Yuan, in light of the current situation, should perhaps develop a contingency plan similar to the Chenqiao Mutiny. The best approach for them would not be to wait for Xi Jinping to change his mind at the Fourth Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and then take action, but to act immediately on the eve of the Fourth Plenary Session, placing Xi Jinping under house arrest, preventing him from appearing in public, and forcing him to resign citing health reasons.
They also pressured Xi Jinping to propose personnel changes within the Standing Committee for review at the Fourth Plenary Session. This proposal should at least include proposing Wang Yang as acting General Secretary and Hu Chunhua as Premier of the State Council. If such action is taken, what could possibly go wrong at the Fourth Plenary Session?
The above is our rational analysis of the possible actions Zhang Youxia and Liu Yuan might take at this critical juncture. Whether they will take such action remains to be seen.
Conclusion
From Zhao Kuangyin's Chenqiao Rebellion to the turbulent power crisis in Zhongnanhai today, military decisions often determine the fate of a nation.
In times of turmoil and uncertainty, who will make decisive decisions? Who will miss opportunities?
This will be the focus of global attention in the coming weeks.
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