Reporter : Chu Yunshen
Editor : Yuan Mingqing
Publisher : Sound Of Hope
Extract translation, editing : Gan Yung Chyan
/ KUCINTA SETIA
Image courtesy : AP
China may have its biggest flood since 1949
The Ministry of Water Resources of the Communist Party of China has warned that since the beginning of 2020, the cumulative precipitation in China has been 6% higher than that of normal years. The 138 rivers in the Xijiang and Beijiang Rivers in the Pearl River Basin, the Xiangjiang and Poyang Lake systems in the Yangtze River Basin, and the Qiantang River in Zhejiang Province have exceeded the warning line. Some rivers have floods that exceed historical records, "the flood control situation is very serious."
Ye Jianchun, Deputy Minister of the Ministry of Water Resources of the Communist Party of China, said that this year it is important to focus on the "three major risks" of excessive floods, reservoir accidents, and flash floods. At present, China's flood control projects can defend against the largest flood since 1949, but excessive floods may exceed the existing defense capabilities, which may be a "black swan" event. This passage was interpreted as the biggest flood this year since the Chinese Communist Party established the government. The outside world is also concerned about whether the Three Gorges Dam, which has been repeatedly reported to be deformed by the dam but has been officially denied by the East, can withstand the impact of this flood.
Huang Xiaokun: Yichang runs down below, say the last time
In 2019, the severe distortion of the Three Gorges Dam caused widespread international attention. Although the Yangtze River Three Gorges issued a document admitting that the dam did deform, it also emphasized that this deformation is an elastic displacement under the allowed state.
Since the launching of the Three Gorges Project, there have been controversies about its quality, safety issues and environmental impacts.
In particular, the former secretary of Mao Zedong Li Rui and the water conservancy expert Huang Wanli have repeatedly written to prevent the authorities from promoting the Three Gorges project. 12 predictions were made, including: 1. The collapse of the main bank of the lower reaches of the Yangtze River; 2. The obstruction of shipping; 3. The problem of migration; 4. The problem of siltation; 5. The deterioration of water quality; 6. The insufficient power generation; 7. The abnormal climate; 8. , Frequent earthquakes; nine, the spread of schistosomiasis; ten, ecological deterioration; eleven, serious flooding upstream. Except that the last dam was forced to blow up, all the rest was fulfilled.
The heavy rain in the south has once again attracted attention from the outside world on the Three Gorges Dam. Overseas social media recently circulated a circle of friends of "Huang Xiaokun Fujian Ningde" wrote: "Yichang runs below and say the last time." According to public information, Huang Xiaokun has many titles such as "National First-Class Registered Structural Engineer", "China Academy of Building Research Doctoral Supervisor", "Chief Engineer of Jianyan Technology Co., Ltd." It is unclear whether Huang Xiaokun, who sent the circle of friends, is the same person as "National First Class Registered Structural Engineer" Huang Xiaokun.
The outside world generally questioned the Three Gorges Dam
At the beginning of July last year, some netizens uploaded a Google satellite map of the Three Gorges Dam on social media, which showed that the Three Gorges Dam was severely distorted and deformed, causing public concerns about the dam collapse. In this regard, the Chinese Communist Party official media rumors that the Three Gorges Dam does not have deformation problems, and at the same time said it was a rumor made by "anti-China forces."
Later, the "Beijing News" and other experts quoted, admitting that the dam body indeed deformed, but this is "in a state of elasticity." In a statement, the Three Gorges Company said "the dam moves horizontally", but it is less than three centimeters.
Three Gorges 2009 vs 2018
Water expert Wang Weiluo said in an interview with overseas media that there is no elastic deformation of the Three Gorges Dam because it is not integrated, and he can know that the Three Gorges Dam is deforming without looking at the photos.
Wang Weiluo pointed out that the Three Gorges Dam is composed of dozens of independent concrete dams, each of which is placed on the bedrock, which is separated from the bedrock. Due to the pressure and temperature of the water, the dam will deform differently And displacement, "that is, the dam is moving, and this design determines the vulnerability of the Three Gorges Dam."
He warned at the time that the photos showed that the dam was moving unevenly, so that there would be serious consequences for the dam in the future. Once the Three Gorges broke, the hundreds of thousands of people living in Yichang City would disappear.
Huang Xiaoli, daughter of water engineering expert Huang Wanli and host of Huang Wanli Research Fund, who has written against the launching of the Three Gorges on many occasions, Huang Xiaolu also said that what she saw about the opposition to the construction of the Three Gorges Dam, especially that her father Huang Wanli brought to him before his death the 6 letters from the central leadership. The reason is that the high dam in the Three Gorges of the Yangtze River cannot be repaired at all. It is not a matter of day and night, national finance, environmental ecology, flood control effects, or national defense issues. The problems and objective conditions that exist in economic value do not allow a government that respects science and democracy to host a project that harms the country and the people." If it is built, it will eventually be blown up. At that time, East China Institute of Water Conservancy and now Hohai University also published papers on this point of view.
Huang Xiaolu added that Li Rui’s article “I Know the Process of the Three Gorges Dam Installation” mentioned in his lifetime that there were two recent seminars on dams in the world, and one of the seminars listed the ten most dangerous dams in the world. The Three Gorges ranks first. Therefore, it is reasonable for Chinese citizens to doubt Google photos. We should let residents living in the reservoir area and downstream of the dam know that the danger of the Three Gorges Dam has existed from the day of construction and may happen at any time. There may be 600 million people affected. This is one of the most developed regions in China.
Guo Wengui, a wealthy Chinese businessman in exile in the United States, has also recently issued a warning on the Three Gorges Dam in a live broadcast. He said, "Some people said at the Three Gorges Dam last year, and some people said this year that according to our internal information, some people have clearly learned from the Central Government that the accident at the Three Gorges Dam is only a matter of time. One China will be razed to the ground."
Guo Wengui mentioned that a source from the Academy of Social Sciences used an analogy to describe the danger level of the Three Gorges Dam: "A quilt was used to block a flood."
The source described: "After the quilt is infiltrated, once opened, it cannot be controlled at all. This is completely contrary to nature." "Anything may happen at any time."
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