Reporter : Han Mei
Editor : Yuan Mingqing
Publisher : Sound Of Hope
Direct translation
After the United States declared all the CCP’s claims in the South China Sea illegal, it conducted a dual aircraft carrier exercise in the South China Sea. This is considered a US Indo-Pacific strategy Part of this, combined with the speech by US Secretary of State Pompeo last week challenging the legitimacy of the CCP’s rule, the United States is joining forces with its allies to launch a counterattack against the CCP. In this regard, former CCP Navy Command Lieutenant Colonel Yao Cheng analyzed that the United States has clearly seen the true face of the CCP, and the two sides are engaged in confrontation between democratic and free values and an autocratic dictatorship. If this confrontation manifests itself in the form of a military conflict in the South China Sea, the CCP will quickly collapse.
In a recent interview with Epoch Times, Yao Cheng analyzed Pompeo’s policy speech at the Nixon Presidential Library on July 23, saying that Pompeo has already shown that if the CCP does not change, it will change the Western world, but judging from the current situation. , The CCP has no signs of change and the possibility of change, so the confrontation between China and the United States is probably inevitable. If the confrontation occurs in the South China Sea, it will be a naval and air force confrontation: "China’s naval and air forces, It’s not as good as the US military. It is estimated that in less than a day, the US military’s F35 (fighter aircraft) can destroy the CCP’s navy and air force."
In the event of conflict in the South China Sea, apart from the involvement of Japan and Australia, which are members of the US Indo-Pacific strategy, ASEAN countries that have territorial water disputes in the South China Sea will also choose allies. Yao Cheng believes that all ASEAN countries should support the U.S., and different countries can play different roles. They do not necessarily have to participate in the war. For example, Vietnam can provide the U.S. military with good ports and aircraft takeoff and landing points: "Vietnam also really does not want to be controlled under the influence of CCP. The Vietnamese military has publicly lent the base to the U.S. military for use. That will be a major guarantee for the U.S. military's replenishment and logistics."
As for the CCP, Yao Cheng believes that because it has no advantage in the South China Sea conflict, the CCP may launch an attack on Taiwan in an attempt to divert the attention of the US military and move the battlefield to the Taiwan Strait.
As far as he knows, the CCP’s exercise at Tangshan Port in May 2020 was to simulate the landing of Tamsui, Taipei. Because Tamsui has a large landing pad, it can allow army tanks to log in and capture Taipei directly from the land. In addition, the air force planes cooperate in combat. The CCP army can quickly capture Taipei; the CCP announced on June 28 that the reserve (militia) is under the direct command of the Central Military Commission. This means that the CCP can recruit all civilian fishing boats and is ready to attack Taiwan. The CCP military is targeting the South China Sea. The military exercises on the Dongsha Islands are actually preparations for the occupation of Taiwan’s outer islands.
He said, "The ultimate goal of the CCP's war is to reunify and occupy Taiwan, so it will not use missiles. The military will take a few steps. First take the outer islands, take down Taipei and Kaohsiung, and then use pro-communists to rule Taiwan. ."
However, Yao Cheng believes that the CCP will not be able to win a war. According to his analysis, people in the CCP's army are panic, and it is difficult to say whether the high-level leaders can mobilize the army.
According to Yao Cheng’s line report, many CCP soldiers do not want to be buried with the CCP. All factions within the military are observing the situation and may not cooperate with the CCP’s Central Committee. "If there is a fight, the military may rebel. In 2017, Xi Jinping disrupted. The military system has formed a current situation of restraining each other, but the military internal fighting has never stopped."
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